Would you fly on the Shuttle knowing there's a 1:50 chance you'll die? - GoFuckYourself.com

Mako · 07-26-2005, 03:41 AM

Out of 113 shuttle missions, two have led to complete loss of their crews. Quick math points to a 1:57 chance that something happens on a given mission that results in catastrophe.

Probability experts at NASA peg the number at 1:100 under perfect safety conditions (Challenger was rushed to launch during conditions that were too cold in retrospect due to a teacher being on board creating PR pressure, meaning that the same launch wouldn't be greenlighted today, thus raising the odds of a successful launch according to these experts) but non-manned lift vehicles currently only achieve a successful liftoff that's closer to 1:25.

Regardless, if we put the number at 1:50, one chance out of 50 that you'll die, would you go?

sonofsam · 07-26-2005, 03:43 AM

some people play russian roulette, now THOSE odds are crazy....

me personally... if i had the chance to go to space.. yah i think i'd take it. thats a once in a lifetime thing... however TODAY i wouldn't because we arn't that far from having realistic solutions for everyday people like use wanting to take a quick space trip

Nightwind · 07-26-2005, 03:52 AM

Hell yea if i could physically and mentally handle the actual trip.

Roald · 07-26-2005, 04:01 AM

Ofcourse, you will never get a chance like that again.

beemk · 07-26-2005, 04:03 AM

i would do it if i was older, i mean i wouldnt have much life to live anyway even if i did die.

polish_aristocrat · 07-26-2005, 04:04 AM

definitely not, not even for $100 Million

my life is most important for me

i am even afraid of getting on the plane ;)

sonofsam · 07-26-2005, 04:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by beemk

i would do it if i was older, i mean i wouldnt have much life to live anyway even if i did die.

what if they give you the oppertunity to diddle the moon?

budz · 07-26-2005, 04:06 AM

yeah, I would .. always wanted to be an astronaut

especially if they gave me elite life insurance for my family

Mako · 07-26-2005, 04:09 AM

I would have definitely said yes 10 years ago. But as I age I feel that life is more precious, I'm becomming more aware of what it means to me. I want to squeeze every last drop from it before my ticket is punched from cancer, or a car crash, or whatever.

But I admire you ballsy people saying you'd go...

BlueDesignStudios · 07-26-2005, 04:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by polish_aristocrat

definitely not, not even for $100 Million

my life is most important for me

i am even afraid of getting on the plane ;)

don't be afraid of the plane, you got more chance dying in a car crash

sonofsam · 07-26-2005, 04:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mako

But I admire you ballsy people saying you'd go...

don't worry buddy, we arn't that far from commercial planes dipping into space for a bit during flights... and reasonable prices also.. and keep in mind... you have no idea how much more we will advance in 30 years then you can go

(thats if nuclear war doesn't completely wipe out the human species)

jacked · 07-26-2005, 04:12 AM

i'd be scared considering the fact that they've been having problems i'd rather them scrub the mission then send me up on a spaceship with a problem they can't fix even if it's just a gauge lol

Mako · 07-26-2005, 04:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sonofsam

don't worry buddy, we arn't that far from commercial planes dipping into space for a bit during flights... and reasonable prices also.. and keep in mind... you have no idea how much more we will advance in 30 years then you can go

(thats if nuclear war doesn't completely wipe out the human species)

When I was a kid, 9, 10 years old, I used to say to myself "shit we've already got the Concorde, by the time I'm 35 we'll be travelling at the edge of space and Tokyo will be two hours away". A few years later I watched with rapt attention as Reagan initiated the call for the "Orient Express" or "Space Plane" project which also promised the same result...

And now I'm almost 35 and we fly SLOWER than we did 10 years ago to improve fuel economy, we're packed into these giant aluminum cattle cars like flying city buses, and NASA has no answers for SSTO (single-stage-to-orbit) designs saying that it will take at least another "30 years" from today to even get close....

Oh well. At least we also have "much more realistic video games" which was also on my list at 10 years old, playing 1x1 pixel Atari 2600 games...

kuthi123 · 07-26-2005, 04:18 AM

my life is precious then travelling to space.no no for me

BlueDesignStudios · 07-26-2005, 04:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mako

When I was a kid, 9, 10 years old, I used to say to myself "shit we've already got the Concorde, by the time I'm 35 we'll be travelling at the edge of space and Tokyo will be two hours away". A few years later I watched with rapt attention as Reagan initiated the call for the "Orient Express" or "Space Plane" project which also promised the same result...

And now I'm almost 35 and we fly SLOWER than we did 10 years ago to improve fuel economy, we're packed into these giant aluminum cattle cars like flying city buses, and NASA has no answers for SSTO (single-stage-to-orbit) designs saying that it will take at least another "30 years" from today to even get close....

Oh well. At least we also have "much more realistic video games" which was also on my list at 10 years old, playing 1x1 pixel Atari 2600 games...

Hey you win some, you lose some.. today's video games are pretty impressive!

cool1 · 07-26-2005, 04:39 AM

I would jump at the chance to go onto space.
even if the odds were 1 in 10 that I may die

sonofsam · 07-26-2005, 04:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cool1

I would jump at the chance to go onto space.
even if the odds were 1 in 10 that I may die

1 in 10.. you sure you would go?

BlueDesignStudios · 07-26-2005, 04:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cool1

I would jump at the chance to go onto space.
even if the odds were 1 in 10 that I may die

i can offer you those odds of death here on earth at a fraction of the cost of going to space

sonofsam · 07-26-2005, 04:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BlueDesignStudios

i can offer you those odds of death here on earth at a fraction of the cost of going to space

Nicky · 07-26-2005, 04:54 AM

1:50 id take my chances, if it was 1:5 I wouldnt do it.....

adonthenet · 07-26-2005, 04:55 AM

probably not..

Red Ezra · 07-26-2005, 05:08 AM

space so what

BuggyG · 07-26-2005, 09:13 AM

damn right I would!
without thinking 2X about it

Theo · 07-26-2005, 09:15 AM

for $100mil i'll fly to space to fight with aliens

Poppy · 07-26-2005, 09:16 AM

In a heartbeat.

crockett · 07-26-2005, 09:16 AM

Hell yea I'd fly.. that's gotta be the ride of your life so I think it's worth the risk.

sperbonzo · 07-26-2005, 09:17 AM

The chances are that 100% of us will die

Barefootsies · 07-26-2005, 10:51 AM

Nah. I personally have no interest in such things. Sure, it's a once in a lifetime and all, but nothing about space is all that interesting to me on the personal tip. So I think I would take my money to the track before gambling on my space shuttle chances.

CynthiaB · 07-26-2005, 10:54 AM

I wouldn't want to go into space because I'm claustrophobic! As for the chances of getting killed - well, heck, I drive the LA freeways every day so that's no big deal.

Cyn

Doctor Dre · 07-26-2005, 11:01 AM

Any fucking day ... This would be an AWESOME experience ...

You got 49 chances out of 50 to be one of the lucky man that would go into space

Doctor Dre · 07-26-2005, 11:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sperbonzo

The chances are that 100% of us will die

Good point ;)

Mako · 07-26-2005, 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CynthiaB

I wouldn't want to go into space because I'm claustrophobic! As for the chances of getting killed - well, heck, I drive the LA freeways every day so that's no big deal.

Cyn

Your odds of dying on an LA Freeway via a car accident are approximately 1:100,000 every time you pull out of the driveway. But your odds of dying on an LA Freeway from accidentally cutting off some gang leader who then promptly shoots you dead are more in the range of 1:5, so I see your point.

Tuga · 07-26-2005, 11:55 AM

They have porn in space?

phogirl69 · 07-26-2005, 12:03 PM

Not in a million years. I am terrified of dying. To be totally honest, I am terrified of dying in a car accident as well, I know people who have... Sometimes I get edgy and very uptight when driving, especially on the freeway. I try to avoid fwy as much as possible ( i try to take inside streets whenever I can), so there is no way in hell i am going on a damn spaceship.

I have flown in airplanes as well, but i also try to avoid those. Best thing is to stay home for me...

abadfish · 07-26-2005, 12:13 PM

I would do it without a doubt.... Astronauts know the risk... but they have such an amazing interest and love for what they do that they accept that. I'd rather die doing something I love then doing something I have to do... like the thousands of people that die yearly in car accidents going to jobs they hate.

07-26-2005, 03:41 AM	#1
Mako Confirmed User Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: The OC baby! Posts: 1,986	Would you fly on the Shuttle knowing there's a 1:50 chance you'll die? Out of 113 shuttle missions, two have led to complete loss of their crews. Quick math points to a 1:57 chance that something happens on a given mission that results in catastrophe. Probability experts at NASA peg the number at 1:100 under perfect safety conditions (Challenger was rushed to launch during conditions that were too cold in retrospect due to a teacher being on board creating PR pressure, meaning that the same launch wouldn't be greenlighted today, thus raising the odds of a successful launch according to these experts) but non-manned lift vehicles currently only achieve a successful liftoff that's closer to 1:25. Regardless, if we put the number at 1:50, one chance out of 50 that you'll die, would you go? __________________

07-26-2005, 03:43 AM	#2
sonofsam Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Vancouver Posts: 18,638	some people play russian roulette, now THOSE odds are crazy.... me personally... if i had the chance to go to space.. yah i think i'd take it. thats a once in a lifetime thing... however TODAY i wouldn't because we arn't that far from having realistic solutions for everyday people like use wanting to take a quick space trip __________________ I like turtles.

07-26-2005, 03:52 AM	#3
Nightwind Confirmed User Join Date: May 2005 Location: ICQ: 303-282-636 Posts: 4,786	Hell yea if i could physically and mentally handle the actual trip. __________________

07-26-2005, 04:01 AM	#4
Roald SecretFriends.com Industry Role: Join Date: May 2001 Location: IMC Headquarters Posts: 27,888	Ofcourse, you will never get a chance like that again. __________________ WE ARE BUYING PAY SITES! CONTACT ME ClubSweethearts \| ManUpFilms \| SinfulXXX \| HOT * AdultPrime * HOT Paying webmasters since 1996! Contact: r.riepen @ sansylgroup.com \| telegram: roaldr

07-26-2005, 04:03 AM	#5
beemk CLICK HERE Industry Role: Join Date: Jan 2002 Posts: 20,829	i would do it if i was older, i mean i wouldnt have much life to live anyway even if i did die. __________________ I host with Vacares

07-26-2005, 04:04 AM	#6
polish_aristocrat Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Jul 2002 Posts: 40,377	definitely not, not even for $100 Million my life is most important for me i am even afraid of getting on the plane ;) __________________ I don't use ICQ anymore.

07-26-2005, 04:06 AM	#8
budz Disruptive Innovator Industry Role: Join Date: Sep 2003 Location: Vegas Posts: 4,230	yeah, I would .. always wanted to be an astronaut especially if they gave me elite life insurance for my family __________________ C:\Code\ C:\Code\Run\

07-26-2005, 04:09 AM	#9
Mako Confirmed User Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: The OC baby! Posts: 1,986	I would have definitely said yes 10 years ago. But as I age I feel that life is more precious, I'm becomming more aware of what it means to me. I want to squeeze every last drop from it before my ticket is punched from cancer, or a car crash, or whatever. But I admire you ballsy people saying you'd go... __________________

07-26-2005, 04:12 AM	#12
jacked sperm tail Industry Role: Join Date: May 2004 Location: nj Posts: 11,019	i'd be scared considering the fact that they've been having problems i'd rather them scrub the mission then send me up on a spaceship with a problem they can't fix even if it's just a gauge lol __________________ Got Cam Models? icq: 361-607-616

07-26-2005, 04:18 AM	#14
kuthi123 Confirmed User Join Date: Jan 2005 Posts: 6,478	my life is precious then travelling to space.no no for me

07-26-2005, 04:39 AM	#16
cool1 sex is good Join Date: Sep 2001 Location: Carman, MB Canada Posts: 24,939	I would jump at the chance to go onto space. even if the odds were 1 in 10 that I may die __________________

07-26-2005, 04:54 AM	#20
Nicky Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Sweden Posts: 30,069	1:50 id take my chances, if it was 1:5 I wouldnt do it..... __________________ gfynicky @ gmail.com

07-26-2005, 04:55 AM	#21
adonthenet Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 16,753	probably not..

07-26-2005, 05:08 AM	#22
Red Ezra redezra.com Industry Role: Join Date: May 2004 Location: Vegas Baby! Posts: 4,680	space so what

07-26-2005, 09:13 AM	#23
BuggyG Confirmed User Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Ottawa Posts: 4,179	damn right I would! without thinking 2X about it

07-26-2005, 09:15 AM	#24
Theo HAL 9000 Industry Role: Join Date: May 2001 Posts: 34,515	for $100mil i'll fly to space to fight with aliens

07-26-2005, 09:16 AM	#25
Poppy Confirmed User Join Date: Apr 2002 Location: O H I O Posts: 6,254	In a heartbeat. __________________ VP Sales, Peak5Payments [email protected] Skype: consultpoppy In adult since 98'

07-26-2005, 09:16 AM	#26
crockett in a van by the river Industry Role: Join Date: May 2003 Posts: 76,806	Hell yea I'd fly.. that's gotta be the ride of your life so I think it's worth the risk. __________________ In November, you can vote for America's next president or its first dictator.

07-26-2005, 09:17 AM	#27
sperbonzo I'd rather be on my boat. Industry Role: Join Date: May 2003 Location: Miami, FL Posts: 9,748	The chances are that 100% of us will die __________________ Michael Sperber / Acella Financial LLC/ Online Payment Processing [email protected] / http://Acellafinancial.com/ ICQ 177961090 / Tel +1 909 NET BILL / Skype msperber

07-26-2005, 10:51 AM	#28
Barefootsies Choice is an Illusion Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2005 Location: Land of Obama Posts: 42,635	Nah. I personally have no interest in such things. Sure, it's a once in a lifetime and all, but nothing about space is all that interesting to me on the personal tip. So I think I would take my money to the track before gambling on my space shuttle chances. __________________ Should You Email Your Members? Link1 \| Link2 \| Link3 Enough Said. "Would you rather live like a king for a year or like a prince forever?"

07-26-2005, 10:54 AM	#29
CynthiaB Confirmed User Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: The OC Posts: 1,274	I wouldn't want to go into space because I'm claustrophobic! As for the chances of getting killed - well, heck, I drive the LA freeways every day so that's no big deal. Cyn __________________ DDC -- Power Parking Success is the Only Option

07-26-2005, 11:55 AM	#33
Tuga Confirmed User Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: Portugal Posts: 7,678	They have porn in space? __________________ Go Fuck Yourself! ICQ 101411627

07-26-2005, 12:03 PM	#34
phogirl69 Confirmed User Join Date: Jul 2001 Posts: 3,330	Not in a million years. I am terrified of dying. To be totally honest, I am terrified of dying in a car accident as well, I know people who have... Sometimes I get edgy and very uptight when driving, especially on the freeway. I try to avoid fwy as much as possible ( i try to take inside streets whenever I can), so there is no way in hell i am going on a damn spaceship. I have flown in airplanes as well, but i also try to avoid those. Best thing is to stay home for me... Last edited by phogirl69; 07-26-2005 at 12:04 PM..

07-26-2005, 12:13 PM	#35
abadfish Confirmed User Join Date: Jul 2003 Location: WA Posts: 1,482	I would do it without a doubt.... Astronauts know the risk... but they have such an amazing interest and love for what they do that they accept that. I'd rather die doing something I love then doing something I have to do... like the thousands of people that die yearly in car accidents going to jobs they hate.