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-   -   Would you fly on the Shuttle knowing there's a 1:50 chance you'll die? (https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=496296)

Mako 07-26-2005 03:41 AM

Would you fly on the Shuttle knowing there's a 1:50 chance you'll die?
 
Out of 113 shuttle missions, two have led to complete loss of their crews. Quick math points to a 1:57 chance that something happens on a given mission that results in catastrophe.

Probability experts at NASA peg the number at 1:100 under perfect safety conditions (Challenger was rushed to launch during conditions that were too cold in retrospect due to a teacher being on board creating PR pressure, meaning that the same launch wouldn't be greenlighted today, thus raising the odds of a successful launch according to these experts) but non-manned lift vehicles currently only achieve a successful liftoff that's closer to 1:25.

Regardless, if we put the number at 1:50, one chance out of 50 that you'll die, would you go?

sonofsam 07-26-2005 03:43 AM

some people play russian roulette, now THOSE odds are crazy....

me personally... if i had the chance to go to space.. yah i think i'd take it. thats a once in a lifetime thing... however TODAY i wouldn't because we arn't that far from having realistic solutions for everyday people like use wanting to take a quick space trip :)

Nightwind 07-26-2005 03:52 AM

Hell yea if i could physically and mentally handle the actual trip.

Roald 07-26-2005 04:01 AM

Ofcourse, you will never get a chance like that again.

beemk 07-26-2005 04:03 AM

i would do it if i was older, i mean i wouldnt have much life to live anyway even if i did die.

polish_aristocrat 07-26-2005 04:04 AM

definitely not, not even for $100 Million

my life is most important for me

i am even afraid of getting on the plane ;)

sonofsam 07-26-2005 04:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by beemk
i would do it if i was older, i mean i wouldnt have much life to live anyway even if i did die.

what if they give you the oppertunity to diddle the moon?

budz 07-26-2005 04:06 AM

yeah, I would .. always wanted to be an astronaut

especially if they gave me elite life insurance for my family :)

Mako 07-26-2005 04:09 AM

I would have definitely said yes 10 years ago. But as I age I feel that life is more precious, I'm becomming more aware of what it means to me. I want to squeeze every last drop from it before my ticket is punched from cancer, or a car crash, or whatever.

But I admire you ballsy people saying you'd go...

BlueDesignStudios 07-26-2005 04:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by polish_aristocrat
definitely not, not even for $100 Million

my life is most important for me

i am even afraid of getting on the plane ;)


don't be afraid of the plane, you got more chance dying in a car crash

sonofsam 07-26-2005 04:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mako
But I admire you ballsy people saying you'd go...

don't worry buddy, we arn't that far from commercial planes dipping into space for a bit during flights... and reasonable prices also.. and keep in mind... you have no idea how much more we will advance in 30 years then you can go :thumbsup


(thats if nuclear war doesn't completely wipe out the human species)

jacked 07-26-2005 04:12 AM

i'd be scared considering the fact that they've been having problems i'd rather them scrub the mission then send me up on a spaceship with a problem they can't fix even if it's just a gauge lol

Mako 07-26-2005 04:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sonofsam
don't worry buddy, we arn't that far from commercial planes dipping into space for a bit during flights... and reasonable prices also.. and keep in mind... you have no idea how much more we will advance in 30 years then you can go :thumbsup


(thats if nuclear war doesn't completely wipe out the human species)

When I was a kid, 9, 10 years old, I used to say to myself "shit we've already got the Concorde, by the time I'm 35 we'll be travelling at the edge of space and Tokyo will be two hours away". A few years later I watched with rapt attention as Reagan initiated the call for the "Orient Express" or "Space Plane" project which also promised the same result...

And now I'm almost 35 and we fly SLOWER than we did 10 years ago to improve fuel economy, we're packed into these giant aluminum cattle cars like flying city buses, and NASA has no answers for SSTO (single-stage-to-orbit) designs saying that it will take at least another "30 years" from today to even get close....

Oh well. At least we also have "much more realistic video games" which was also on my list at 10 years old, playing 1x1 pixel Atari 2600 games... :upsidedow

kuthi123 07-26-2005 04:18 AM

my life is precious then travelling to space.no no for me

BlueDesignStudios 07-26-2005 04:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mako
When I was a kid, 9, 10 years old, I used to say to myself "shit we've already got the Concorde, by the time I'm 35 we'll be travelling at the edge of space and Tokyo will be two hours away". A few years later I watched with rapt attention as Reagan initiated the call for the "Orient Express" or "Space Plane" project which also promised the same result...

And now I'm almost 35 and we fly SLOWER than we did 10 years ago to improve fuel economy, we're packed into these giant aluminum cattle cars like flying city buses, and NASA has no answers for SSTO (single-stage-to-orbit) designs saying that it will take at least another "30 years" from today to even get close....

Oh well. At least we also have "much more realistic video games" which was also on my list at 10 years old, playing 1x1 pixel Atari 2600 games... :upsidedow

Hey you win some, you lose some.. today's video games are pretty impressive!

cool1 07-26-2005 04:39 AM

I would jump at the chance to go onto space.
even if the odds were 1 in 10 that I may die

sonofsam 07-26-2005 04:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cool1
I would jump at the chance to go onto space.
even if the odds were 1 in 10 that I may die

1 in 10.. you sure you would go?

BlueDesignStudios 07-26-2005 04:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cool1
I would jump at the chance to go onto space.
even if the odds were 1 in 10 that I may die

i can offer you those odds of death here on earth at a fraction of the cost of going to space :winkwink:

sonofsam 07-26-2005 04:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BlueDesignStudios
i can offer you those odds of death here on earth at a fraction of the cost of going to space :winkwink:

:1orglaugh

Nicky 07-26-2005 04:54 AM

1:50 id take my chances, if it was 1:5 I wouldnt do it.....

adonthenet 07-26-2005 04:55 AM

probably not..

Red Ezra 07-26-2005 05:08 AM

space so what

BuggyG 07-26-2005 09:13 AM

damn right I would!
without thinking 2X about it

Theo 07-26-2005 09:15 AM

for $100mil i'll fly to space to fight with aliens

Poppy 07-26-2005 09:16 AM

In a heartbeat.

crockett 07-26-2005 09:16 AM

Hell yea I'd fly.. that's gotta be the ride of your life so I think it's worth the risk.

sperbonzo 07-26-2005 09:17 AM

The chances are that 100% of us will die

Barefootsies 07-26-2005 10:51 AM

Nah. I personally have no interest in such things. Sure, it's a once in a lifetime and all, but nothing about space is all that interesting to me on the personal tip. So I think I would take my money to the track before gambling on my space shuttle chances.

:pimp

CynthiaB 07-26-2005 10:54 AM

I wouldn't want to go into space because I'm claustrophobic! As for the chances of getting killed - well, heck, I drive the LA freeways every day so that's no big deal.

Cyn

Doctor Dre 07-26-2005 11:01 AM

Any fucking day ... This would be an AWESOME experience ...

You got 49 chances out of 50 to be one of the lucky man that would go into space

Doctor Dre 07-26-2005 11:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sperbonzo
The chances are that 100% of us will die

Good point ;)

Mako 07-26-2005 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CynthiaB
I wouldn't want to go into space because I'm claustrophobic! As for the chances of getting killed - well, heck, I drive the LA freeways every day so that's no big deal.

Cyn

Your odds of dying on an LA Freeway via a car accident are approximately 1:100,000 every time you pull out of the driveway. But your odds of dying on an LA Freeway from accidentally cutting off some gang leader who then promptly shoots you dead are more in the range of 1:5, so I see your point.

:)

Tuga 07-26-2005 11:55 AM

They have porn in space?

phogirl69 07-26-2005 12:03 PM

Not in a million years. I am terrified of dying. To be totally honest, I am terrified of dying in a car accident as well, I know people who have... Sometimes I get edgy and very uptight when driving, especially on the freeway. I try to avoid fwy as much as possible ( i try to take inside streets whenever I can), so there is no way in hell i am going on a damn spaceship.

I have flown in airplanes as well, but i also try to avoid those. Best thing is to stay home for me...

abadfish 07-26-2005 12:13 PM

I would do it without a doubt.... Astronauts know the risk... but they have such an amazing interest and love for what they do that they accept that. I'd rather die doing something I love then doing something I have to do... like the thousands of people that die yearly in car accidents going to jobs they hate.


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