GoFuckYourself.com - Adult Webmaster Forum - View Single Post - Would you fly on the Shuttle knowing there's a 1:50 chance you'll die?

Mako · 07-26-2005, 03:41 AM

Out of 113 shuttle missions, two have led to complete loss of their crews. Quick math points to a 1:57 chance that something happens on a given mission that results in catastrophe.

Probability experts at NASA peg the number at 1:100 under perfect safety conditions (Challenger was rushed to launch during conditions that were too cold in retrospect due to a teacher being on board creating PR pressure, meaning that the same launch wouldn't be greenlighted today, thus raising the odds of a successful launch according to these experts) but non-manned lift vehicles currently only achieve a successful liftoff that's closer to 1:25.

Regardless, if we put the number at 1:50, one chance out of 50 that you'll die, would you go?

07-26-2005, 03:41 AM
Mako Confirmed User Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: The OC baby! Posts: 1,986	Would you fly on the Shuttle knowing there's a 1:50 chance you'll die? Out of 113 shuttle missions, two have led to complete loss of their crews. Quick math points to a 1:57 chance that something happens on a given mission that results in catastrophe. Probability experts at NASA peg the number at 1:100 under perfect safety conditions (Challenger was rushed to launch during conditions that were too cold in retrospect due to a teacher being on board creating PR pressure, meaning that the same launch wouldn't be greenlighted today, thus raising the odds of a successful launch according to these experts) but non-manned lift vehicles currently only achieve a successful liftoff that's closer to 1:25. Regardless, if we put the number at 1:50, one chance out of 50 that you'll die, would you go? __________________