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Welcome to the GoFuckYourself.com - Adult Webmaster Forum forums. You are currently viewing our boards as a guest which gives you limited access to view most discussions and access our other features. By joining our free community you will have access to post topics, communicate privately with other members (PM), respond to polls, upload content and access many other special features. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free so please, join our community today! If you have any problems with the registration process or your account login, please contact us. |
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| Discuss what's fucking going on, and which programs are best and worst. One-time "program" announcements from "established" webmasters are allowed. |
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10-06-2005, 09:08 AM
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#1 |
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Confirmed User
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Very small penis
Posts: 5,809
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Who is good at math?
If I send 20k clicks from the same source to two different accounts with the same sponsors resulting in 2 sales in account one and 10 sales in account 2
What are the odds of that happening? |
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10-06-2005, 09:11 AM
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#2 |
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WINNING!
Industry Role:
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 14,579
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I think its to few sales to set a trend, or call drama (not saying you are)
sign up to our program and send 200k surfers our way, and then we will see ;-) |
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10-06-2005, 09:11 AM
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#3 |
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Confirmed User
Industry Role:
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Wisconsin
Posts: 4,517
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If it happened to you, the odds are 100%.
__________________
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10-06-2005, 09:42 AM
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#4 |
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Confirmed User
Join Date: May 2005
Location: T.O.
Posts: 2,849
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You would need historical data.. then you could run a poisson distribution to find a probability.
__________________
I died. |
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10-06-2005, 09:47 AM
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#5 |
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AdultTubeSubmits.com
Industry Role:
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: The Netherlands
Posts: 10,598
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The possibillity of getting 2 sales is 1 in 20.000.
The possibillity of getting 10 sales is 1 in 20.000 as well. This makes this scenario has a chance of 1/20.000 times 1/20.000.
__________________
https://stripcash.com/sign-up/?userI...fff832eb95ab6a |
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10-06-2005, 09:55 AM
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#6 |
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Confirmed User
Join Date: May 2005
Posts: 742
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Yea, this isn't really a question that you can calculate odds on, since odds are based on an event that occurs with a fixed probability, which you don't have.
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10-06-2005, 10:01 AM
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#7 |
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Confirmed User
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: The Sunshine State
Posts: 4,365
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Yes, if the real question is how could one sponsor convert your traffic better than the next then you have to look at all factors.
Comparing how sponsors convert is like comparing apples and oranges. You have to look at an infinite number of variables. For example my program can sometimes take a bit longer to convert than some programs. Not because we're bad, it's just the opposite and it's a function of our registration and membership dynamics, however, that little patience pays off big dividends in a higher than average conversion rate. So sorry for a tidbit of spam there, but there are reasons why on an initial burst of traffic that one program will convert better than the next.
__________________
You deserve to make more money. I'll help you do that.
Our affiliates earn up to $3/email or $107/sale  email steve <at> eroticy.com - icq 290153464 |
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10-06-2005, 10:08 AM
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#8 |
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Registered User
Industry Role:
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Ontario
Posts: 3,916
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its a loaded Question. You can Flip a Coin 49 Times and everytime come up heads. the odds of it coming up heads the 50th time.........
50% |
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