NO Roulette system works ! - GoFuckYourself.com

dudus · 01-18-2005, 07:34 AM

Tearing my hair out reading some of the posts in the other Roulette thread. Just want to be clear - no fucking system works. By works I mean gives you an advantage..

It really doesn't matter any one person's individual experience (I know someone who's won at baccarrat over the last three years but that doesn't mean they have an advantage, it doesnt mean they have a disadvantage - it means almost nothing, its just a one person's outcome).

To be clear to show a betting system works you MUST show how you can spot/generate a bet with a return better than your stake. For example, on Roulette the probability on winning a bet on a single number is 2.6% and on a double is 5.3%. Therefore the expected yield on a $1 single bet is $0.91 (0.026 x $35) and on a $1 double bet is $0.90 (0.053 x $17). Thus the expected return is less than your stake.

No real need to run simulations/tests on the above as it is known in advance (simulations are only necessary for probabilities of complex problems).

Packaging the bets together has absolutely NO merit as it cannot change these odds. Therefore packages of 4 or 5 bets is meaningless...

Fuckin Bill · 01-18-2005, 07:37 AM

Only game in the casino where it's possible for the player to gain a legitimate advantage is Blackjack, and even then it's only a 1-2% advantage if you're an extremely skilled player and counter.

dudus · 01-18-2005, 07:42 AM

Damn straight Fuckin Bill.

In fact its so tough to get good enough for the advantage a lot of casino's even sell books on counting / strategy 'cos they know very few people have the time+smarts to do it.

DEA - banned for life · 01-18-2005, 07:43 AM

the one that works is..dont play

01-18-2005, 07:34 AM	#1
dudus Confirmed User Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: UK Posts: 175	NO Roulette system works ! Tearing my hair out reading some of the posts in the other Roulette thread. Just want to be clear - no fucking system works. By works I mean gives you an advantage.. It really doesn't matter any one person's individual experience (I know someone who's won at baccarrat over the last three years but that doesn't mean they have an advantage, it doesnt mean they have a disadvantage - it means almost nothing, its just a one person's outcome). To be clear to show a betting system works you MUST show how you can spot/generate a bet with a return better than your stake. For example, on Roulette the probability on winning a bet on a single number is 2.6% and on a double is 5.3%. Therefore the expected yield on a $1 single bet is $0.91 (0.026 x $35) and on a $1 double bet is $0.90 (0.053 x $17). Thus the expected return is less than your stake. No real need to run simulations/tests on the above as it is known in advance (simulations are only necessary for probabilities of complex problems). Packaging the bets together has absolutely NO merit as it cannot change these odds. Therefore packages of 4 or 5 bets is meaningless...

01-18-2005, 07:37 AM	#2
Fuckin Bill Confirmed User Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 1,020	Only game in the casino where it's possible for the player to gain a legitimate advantage is Blackjack, and even then it's only a 1-2% advantage if you're an extremely skilled player and counter.

01-18-2005, 07:42 AM	#3
dudus Confirmed User Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: UK Posts: 175	Damn straight Fuckin Bill. In fact its so tough to get good enough for the advantage a lot of casino's even sell books on counting / strategy 'cos they know very few people have the time+smarts to do it.

01-18-2005, 07:43 AM	#4
DEA - banned for life V.I.P. Join Date: Nov 2004 Location: InYour Head Posts: 7,886	the one that works is..dont play