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dudus · 01-18-2005, 07:34 AM

Tearing my hair out reading some of the posts in the other Roulette thread. Just want to be clear - no fucking system works. By works I mean gives you an advantage..

It really doesn't matter any one person's individual experience (I know someone who's won at baccarrat over the last three years but that doesn't mean they have an advantage, it doesnt mean they have a disadvantage - it means almost nothing, its just a one person's outcome).

To be clear to show a betting system works you MUST show how you can spot/generate a bet with a return better than your stake. For example, on Roulette the probability on winning a bet on a single number is 2.6% and on a double is 5.3%. Therefore the expected yield on a $1 single bet is $0.91 (0.026 x $35) and on a $1 double bet is $0.90 (0.053 x $17). Thus the expected return is less than your stake.

No real need to run simulations/tests on the above as it is known in advance (simulations are only necessary for probabilities of complex problems).

Packaging the bets together has absolutely NO merit as it cannot change these odds. Therefore packages of 4 or 5 bets is meaningless...

01-18-2005, 07:34 AM
dudus Confirmed User Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: UK Posts: 175	NO Roulette system works ! Tearing my hair out reading some of the posts in the other Roulette thread. Just want to be clear - no fucking system works. By works I mean gives you an advantage.. It really doesn't matter any one person's individual experience (I know someone who's won at baccarrat over the last three years but that doesn't mean they have an advantage, it doesnt mean they have a disadvantage - it means almost nothing, its just a one person's outcome). To be clear to show a betting system works you MUST show how you can spot/generate a bet with a return better than your stake. For example, on Roulette the probability on winning a bet on a single number is 2.6% and on a double is 5.3%. Therefore the expected yield on a $1 single bet is $0.91 (0.026 x $35) and on a $1 double bet is $0.90 (0.053 x $17). Thus the expected return is less than your stake. No real need to run simulations/tests on the above as it is known in advance (simulations are only necessary for probabilities of complex problems). Packaging the bets together has absolutely NO merit as it cannot change these odds. Therefore packages of 4 or 5 bets is meaningless...