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intellect 05-21-2003 12:46 AM

Question about Gambling/Roulette
 
Do casino's get pissed off when you sit at the roulette table & wait for it to hit red 3 times...then bet 500$ on black?

Is this against the rules or what?

:Graucho

psyko514 05-21-2003 12:47 AM

Always, always go for red.

jasonir 05-21-2003 12:48 AM

LOL. :1orglaugh :1orglaugh

This is my official 100th worthless post here on GFY. :321GFY

intellect 05-21-2003 12:49 AM

seriously is this against the rules?

someone who knows gambling...please fill me in

jasonir 05-21-2003 12:51 AM

No, it is not against the rules. Remember, though, the ball does not have a memory. It could land on red a thousand times in a row.

psyko514 05-21-2003 12:53 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by jasonir
No, it is not against the rules. Remember, though, the ball does not have a memory. It could land on red a thousand times in a row.
:thumbsup :thumbsup

B Sandwich 05-21-2003 12:54 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by intellect
Do casino's get pissed off when you sit at the roulette table & wait for it to hit red 3 times...then bet 500$ on black?

Is this against the rules or what?

:Graucho

yeah, u can do that, but I wouldn't suggest it

try that on Hoyle and see how quick you go broke

Lane 05-21-2003 12:54 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by intellect
seriously is this against the rules?

someone who knows gambling...please fill me in


hahaha

do you seriously think that if it came red 3 times in a row there is a higher than 50% chance that it will be black on the 4th time?

lol, go back to college or something, take a statictics course

intellect 05-21-2003 12:55 AM

Well i only lost once using this method, & its because it landed on 00, or 0 i forget, one of the green ones.

intellect 05-21-2003 12:57 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Lane



hahaha

do you seriously think that if it came red 3 times in a row there is a higher than 50% chance that it will be black on the 4th time?

lol, go back to college or something, take a statictics course

thank you jedi master

Nasty D 05-21-2003 01:10 AM

its random just like dice, they don't have a memory -- bet $500 on the don't pass line on a cold craps table if you want the best chance of doubling your money!

SpaceAce 05-21-2003 01:13 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by intellect
Well i only lost once using this method, & its because it landed on 00, or 0 i forget, one of the green ones.
If it worked for you, it was pure coincidence and/or luck. The roulette wheel has, let's say, 37 spots on it for the ball to land in (varies slightly by casino; "0" only or "0" and "00"). When that wheel gets spun, there is a 1/37 chance of that ball landing in any given spot. There is approximately a 1/2 (again, the 0's tip the odds against you) of it landing on black. That <B>does not change</B> no matter how many times you spin the wheel. Every single spin is a 1/2 chance of either color coming up. It doesn't matter if it lands on red 500 times in a row, the 501st time you spin that wheel there is exactly the same chance of the ball landing on black as there was in the previous 500 spins.

You may think you see patterns in the short term, but it's an illusion. After a billion spins, you're going to have very nearly 500,000,000 red and 500,000,000 black (disregarding the 0's).

Bottom line: there is <B>no</B> correlation between the ball landing on any given color and the colors it landed on before that.

SpaceAce

MetaMan 05-21-2003 01:25 AM

never play insides on roulette unless u want to waste moola,
and yes its all the same shit like said above 50/50,

couldnt u figure that out?
casinos dont give a fuck wat u bet,
they have odds on every game in the house or it wouldnt b there,

the 0,00 gives them the slightest odds.

DatingGold 05-21-2003 01:28 AM

they'd love it if you did that...

they would hate if you had a system of doubling each time you lost, but thats why they have the limits, odds are they will get a run and clean you out.

I dont think they allow the double system, at least not for long.

Play blackjack its the best odds...

stocktrader23 05-21-2003 01:29 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by SpaceAce


If it worked for you, it was pure coincidence and/or luck. The roulette wheel has, let's say, 37 spots on it for the ball to land in (varies slightly by casino; "0" only or "0" and "00"). When that wheel gets spun, there is a 1/37 chance of that ball landing in any given spot. There is approximately a 1/2 (again, the 0's tip the odds against you) of it landing on black. That <B>does not change</B> no matter how many times you spin the wheel. Every single spin is a 1/2 chance of either color coming up. It doesn't matter if it lands on red 500 times in a row, the 501st time you spin that wheel there is exactly the same chance of the ball landing on black as there was in the previous 500 spins.

You may think you see patterns in the short term, but it's an illusion. After a billion spins, you're going to have very nearly 500,000,000 red and 500,000,000 black (disregarding the 0's).

Bottom line: there is <B>no</B> correlation between the ball landing on any given color and the colors it landed on before that.

SpaceAce

What he said. You are thinking of it over short term betting. This in no way works. Now if you had known what the ball had landed on say the last 100,000 times, your theory would be more accurate. Roulette is one of the shittiest odds in a casino regardless of where or how you bet. I think the percentage is 3 to 4% in favor of the house and in gambling that sucks.

SpaceAce 05-21-2003 01:37 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by DatingGold
I dont think they allow the double system, at least not for long.

Are you kidding? Casinos love it if you double up every time. First of all, the double-up system is one of the most popular and least useful methods of gambling ever invented. Keep in mind that if you double a penny 30 times it comes up to over $10,000,000. So, go ahead and start with your $5 bet and keep doubling it. You'll be into the trillions of dollars in no time. Even assuming you win within a reasonable number of bets, you basically win back all the money you bet before that and you break even. The casinos love the doubling method.

SpaceAce

B Sandwich 05-21-2003 01:50 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by SpaceAce




Bottom line: there is <B>no</B> correlation between the ball landing on any given color and the colors it landed on before that.

SpaceAce

agreed, thats why they put the "recent numbers" screen up, to create the illusion of a certain number or set of numbers to come up

Lykos 05-21-2003 01:56 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by intellect
seriously is this against the rules?

someone who knows gambling...please fill me in

No it is not against rules,go gambling :thumbsup

Baal 05-21-2003 02:07 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by intellect
Do casino's get pissed off when you sit at the roulette table & wait for it to hit red 3 times...then bet 500$ on black?

Is this against the rules or what?

:Graucho

Like many people have said, the roulette ball has no memory. But what does that mean?

Say the roulette table is a fair table (no tricks or flaws cause the ball to fall onto any slot more often than any other slot). Say that there is a one-in-a-billion situation where red was hit 200 times in a row (200 times in a row is realy rare... don't feel like doing the math so I'll just pretend it's one in a billion chance of that happening). Ignoring 0 and 00, what are the odds that the next ball will fall in red after 200 reds in a row? Remember, it's one in a billion that the previous run of 200 reds would happen.

Answer: 50/50 (assuming 1/2 the slots are red and the other slots are black... remember, I'm ignoring the 0 and 00 for now). The ball doesn't give a shit if it had a streak of 200 reds before; it'll fall wherever physics tells it to fall. Thus, the ball has no memory. It's operating on the laws of physics and the randomness that the roulette table introduces on purpose. Runs happen naturally, and runs DO NOT change the probability of a future outcome. Runs can last 2 times, 3 times, 6 times, even 200 times... but each next outcome is not dependant of the previous outcome. Mathmatically, it's called "Discrete Probability" I'd throw up a link, but all of the ones I've found rely on mathematical formulas and not logic to prove their case. I don't think most folks here want to resolve a formula for proof :)

So if the outcome is 50/50 for red and black, you'd make money if you only bet black and a black streak happened to occur while you were betting. If you bet red while a red streak occured, you'd make money too. So how do casinos make money given these even odds? There *are* no even odds in casinos. Thus the 0 and 00 on a craps table. There are 35 numbers to bet on, and 37 places that the ball can fall into... 35+2 (2= 0 and 00)=37. They typically pay out as if there were only 35 places for the ball to fall into, and they keep the difference when it falls into a 0 or 00. And if they allow you to bet on a 0 or 00, they *still* pay out as if you only had a 1 in 35 chance to win, and not the true 1 in 37 chance. Some casinos are worse, and always pay out as if you have a 1 in 30 chance to win (less of a payout)... which means that the casino pockets over 3 cents for every dollar you bet. Doesn't sound like much, but if you consider the billions of dollars bet in casinos, I'd take 3% of that in a heartbeat.

Slots are even worse; some take over 15% of the money poured into them. Craps and blackjack are better, if you know some "rules" to follow... they can limit your losses to under 1%. But no matter what, unless you know enough to stop gambling when you're ahead, if you play long enough, you *will* lose. It's all a matter of how much you will lose in the long run, based upon a percentage of how much money you put on the table.

jasonir 05-21-2003 02:12 AM

Great post, Baal. http://www.kduk.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk...leidung089.gif

B Sandwich 05-21-2003 02:53 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Baal


Like many people have said, the roulette ball has no memory. But what does that mean?

Say the roulette table is a fair table (no tricks or flaws cause the ball to fall onto any slot more often than any other slot). Say that there is a one-in-a-billion situation where red was hit 200 times in a row (200 times in a row is realy rare... don't feel like doing the math so I'll just pretend it's one in a billion chance of that happening). Ignoring 0 and 00, what are the odds that the next ball will fall in red after 200 reds in a row? Remember, it's one in a billion that the previous run of 200 reds would happen.

Answer: 50/50 (assuming 1/2 the slots are red and the other slots are black... remember, I'm ignoring the 0 and 00 for now). The ball doesn't give a shit if it had a streak of 200 reds before; it'll fall wherever physics tells it to fall. Thus, the ball has no memory. It's operating on the laws of physics and the randomness that the roulette table introduces on purpose. Runs happen naturally, and runs DO NOT change the probability of a future outcome. Runs can last 2 times, 3 times, 6 times, even 200 times... but each next outcome is not dependant of the previous outcome. Mathmatically, it's called "Discrete Probability" I'd throw up a link, but all of the ones I've found rely on mathematical formulas and not logic to prove their case. I don't think most folks here want to resolve a formula for proof :)

So if the outcome is 50/50 for red and black, you'd make money if you only bet black and a black streak happened to occur while you were betting. If you bet red while a red streak occured, you'd make money too. So how do casinos make money given these even odds? There *are* no even odds in casinos. Thus the 0 and 00 on a craps table. There are 35 numbers to bet on, and 37 places that the ball can fall into... 35+2 (2= 0 and 00)=37. They typically pay out as if there were only 35 places for the ball to fall into, and they keep the difference when it falls into a 0 or 00. And if they allow you to bet on a 0 or 00, they *still* pay out as if you only had a 1 in 35 chance to win, and not the true 1 in 37 chance. Some casinos are worse, and always pay out as if you have a 1 in 30 chance to win (less of a payout)... which means that the casino pockets over 3 cents for every dollar you bet. Doesn't sound like much, but if you consider the billions of dollars bet in casinos, I'd take 3% of that in a heartbeat.

Slots are even worse; some take over 15% of the money poured into them. Craps and blackjack are better, if you know some "rules" to follow... they can limit your losses to under 1%. But no matter what, unless you know enough to stop gambling when you're ahead, if you play long enough, you *will* lose. It's all a matter of how much you will lose in the long run, based upon a percentage of how much money you put on the table.

that idea works, but only in theory

I have seen far too many 30-40 straight red/black streaks to ever bet that way again

Wizzo 05-21-2003 05:37 AM

I'd imagine if you were to do it 3or4 times in a night they would even give you a free room....:)

PR_Phil 05-21-2003 05:42 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by intellect
Do casino's get pissed off when you sit at the roulette table & wait for it to hit red 3 times...then bet 500$ on black?

Is this against the rules or what?

:Graucho

that is a very common strategy for roulette, but the magic number is usually around 6 not 3, and casino's can't get pissed off, there's nothing wrong with playing one roll then taking a break. It's kinda like when someone sits out a few hands in blackjack to try to change the cards that the dealer is getting, except in blackjack, when you do that you also change the hands that other people are getting which can piss people off unless they start winning because of it.

Living For Today 05-21-2003 08:53 AM

me and my mates used the "double up" strategy for a couple of months. got a couple of grand up on the casino. that soon came right back down to a couple of hundred profit. i ended up $300 ahead of the casino. i havent been back.

they will always get you in the end so i decided to stay ahead of them.

magnatique 05-21-2003 09:04 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by jasonir
No, it is not against the rules. Remember, though, the ball does not have a memory. It could land on red a thousand times in a row.

actually, I read somewhere there's less thAN 0.50% of chances for the ball to NOT skip a turn after 8 shots (IE if you be red-black-red-black-red-black etc.)

That's why you see most of the casino's have a limit on roulette... that is most of the time...

AND... most of the time, it gives you 5 turns..


for example, say you bet 25.. you loose.. then you bet 50, you loose, then you bet 100, you loose, then you bet 200, you loose... well, you'd have only one more time at 400 to bet... that's 5 times you can do that.... so the house keeps the odds...


off ocurse, that % is also depending on if there's 0 and 00

magnatique 05-21-2003 09:12 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Wizzo
I'd imagine if you were to do it 3or4 times in a night they would even give you a free room....:)
Hey Wizzo... How does it work in Casinos really... with the comps I mean... do ya have to ASK for it, or they just wake up and give you something at some point?

dunno.. was gambling at the Belagio last month... and some guy just said he wanted some free pass to eat, and some buffet passes...

how does that shit work?

XxXotic 05-21-2003 09:36 AM

have to take into consideration that with roulette you can play corners or sides for a 1/4 or 1/2 chance as well, so the odds are actually a bit better then 1/39 (including green)

I've never walked away from a roulette table having lost money. roulette's the easiest game in the casino

vegasdude 05-21-2003 09:49 AM

I'll share some of my knowledge...

red could come up a million times in a row....

but wont happen (i have seen several 12 in a row)

in theory 37 (singlezero) different numbers can show up in 37 spins but in average only 22 different numbers will show.

Law of the third....

now I have gone thru statistics of several million real casino spins and never have I seen more than 31 (only once) different numbers show up in 37 spins....

goto:
http://www.spielbank-hamburg.de/spie...rmanenzen.php4

all the casino numbers are uploaded daily from the casino from all tables.

Thats how you learn to play the game of roulette (or read my ebook at www.roulettebucks.com )

Rgds
Vegas

Giorgio_Xo 05-21-2003 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by intellect
Do casino's get pissed off when you sit at the roulette table & wait for it to hit red 3 times...then bet 500$ on black?

Is this against the rules or what?

:Graucho

Casinos don't give a shit because the odds are in their favor... don't forget the 0 and 00 and table limits which prevent doubling.

Bobby Fissure 05-21-2003 10:29 AM

Don't bother with casino games. As others have pointed out, they're all mathematically impossible to beat in the long run. If you must feel that rush that comes with gambling, following a good handicapper and bet on sports.

PR_Phil 05-21-2003 10:35 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Bobby Fissure
Don't bother with casino games. As others have pointed out, they're all mathematically impossible to beat in the long run. If you must feel that rush that comes with gambling, following a good handicapper and bet on sports.
Smart words, If only I didn't live 1000 feet from a casino maybe their gravity and oxygen jacked air wouldn't suck me in!

brutus 05-21-2003 10:36 AM

No fucking rules... Just do it!

I have seen full table of red or black many times.

TheEnforcer 05-21-2003 10:42 AM

Nope. Casino is gonna love you to death. Go ahead and follow that strategy. They will LOVE you to become a regular customer. Watching you lose money will make them VERY happy!!

stocktrader23 05-21-2003 10:56 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by XxXotic
have to take into consideration that with roulette you can play corners or sides for a 1/4 or 1/2 chance as well, so the odds are actually a bit better then 1/39 (including green)

I've never walked away from a roulette table having lost money. roulette's the easiest game in the casino

Sorry but it is impossible to change the odds on roulette regardless of how you play. You are probably just smart and take off when you are ahead. Roulette is in the house favor much more than some games and you can bet all the corners and halves you want.

By no means am I saying you can't win consistantly, I do it on blackjack all the time and have people argue with me all the time when I tell them my record. I live by casinos and I don't just go there to piss my money away like most people. I don't drink while I play, I pay attention, I win, and I leave while I'm ahead.

On-top 05-21-2003 11:01 AM

Statistics class made my head hurt.

B Sandwich 05-21-2003 12:20 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by NWPhil


Smart words, If only I didn't live 1000 feet from a casino maybe their gravity and oxygen jacked air wouldn't suck me in!

same here, i am a 5 minute walk from one

B Sandwich 05-21-2003 12:21 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by XxXotic

I've never walked away from a roulette table having lost money. roulette's the easiest game in the casino

if that were true you would be a multi-billionaire

B Sandwich 05-21-2003 12:23 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by stocktrader23



By no means am I saying you can't win consistantly, I do it on blackjack all the time and have people argue with me all the time when I tell them my record. I live by casinos and I don't just go there to piss my money away like most people. I don't drink while I play, I pay attention, I win, and I leave while I'm ahead.

what, do u count cards? u from miss. or louisiana?

XxXotic 05-21-2003 12:36 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by stocktrader23


Sorry but it is impossible to change the odds on roulette regardless of how you play. You are probably just smart and take off when you are ahead. Roulette is in the house favor much more than some games and you can bet all the corners and halves you want.

By no means am I saying you can't win consistantly, I do it on blackjack all the time and have people argue with me all the time when I tell them my record. I live by casinos and I don't just go there to piss my money away like most people. I don't drink while I play, I pay attention, I win, and I leave while I'm ahead.

i think 4 chances of winning as opposed to 1 chance of winning on 1 bet does increase the odds of winning. Obviously the more ground you cover with minimal bets is going to give you a better chance of winning. Then just placing a stack of chips on #12

yes i know the odds are always stacked in the casino's favor, but there are methods to help make the odds a little better for you.

XxXotic 05-21-2003 12:38 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by B Sandwich


if that were true you would be a multi-billionaire

maybe if i was throwing down 10,000$ bets on every spin, but my balls aren't that big yet and I don't like casino's all that much, I'm not big on gambling


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