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-   -   It's NOT about Oil? What part don't you understand? (https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=113922)

JeremySF 03-07-2003 03:52 PM

It's NOT about Oil? What part don't you understand?
 
Only Bush's most extreme critics think the coming war with Iraq is about oil.

It's not!

Even if the U.S. was to seize Iraq's oil fields, the expense of the war and of occupation would far exceed any benefit from Iraq's 2.5 million barrels a day of production.

And a two-term presidency would be long over before Iraq's desperate economy could realize it's full capacity.

Yes, oil companies would love to get production-sharing agreements in Iraq, but they haven't even been allowed to participate in post-war planning. There are too many issues such as antitrust, competition law and international law.

In post-war Iraq Bush has been very public in saying that oil would continue to be funneled through the U.N. Oil-for-food Program.

If you recall, the U.S. returned Kuwaiti oil back to Kuwait over a decade ago.

If America simply wanted cheap oil, Bush could cut a deal with Saddam which would be far easier and cheaper than going to war.

While there are many reasons for war with Iraq, particularly humanitarian reasons, the top reason Bush wants it is because by ousting Saddam and establishing a democracy in Iraq will send a strong message to other autocrats in the region.

First, that pursuing development of WMDs will not be tolerated.
Second, that other leaders need to reform their political systems.

For lack of a better word, an ice breaker is needed to address and unravel the Islamic world's frozen mass of dysfunction. Backward autocratic regimes like Saudi Arabia only foster Islamist radicalism.

Since 9/11 we've done quite bit to diversify our oil supplies beyond the middle east. We've got new sources in Africa, Alaska, Russia, etc. In fact, Europe is more dependent on Middle Eastern oil than the U.S.

Oil in this war is one thing: black gravy.

Juicy D. Links 03-07-2003 03:53 PM

too long can u summarize?

JeremySF 03-07-2003 03:56 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by juicylinks
too long can u summarize?
no, but you can buy the cliff notes :winkwink:

Rocky 03-07-2003 04:01 PM

:ugone2far

xdcdave 03-07-2003 04:01 PM

I heard an interesting report on the radio last night (coast 2 coast radio) about this war being about a Stargate that is located in Iraq. Apparently this Stargate will allow Saddam to go back in time and win the Gulf War conflict.

I couldn't make this shit up if I tried, I swear!

This filled up a 1 hour radio show!!

JeremySF 03-07-2003 04:04 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by xdcdave
I heard an interesting report on the radio last night (coast 2 coast radio) about this war being about a Stargate that is located in Iraq. Apparently this Stargate will allow Saddam to go back in time and win the Gulf War conflict.

I couldn't make this shit up if I tried, I swear!

This filled up a 1 hour radio show!!


LMFAO

:thumbsup

ChrisH 03-07-2003 04:06 PM

Oh it's all about oil to France. They have more applications to the UN for deals with Iraq then any country in the world.

It's ALL about oil :thumbsup

DavePlays 03-07-2003 04:10 PM

The biggest thing oil has to do with it is that it is where Saddam got his money and power.

That is exclusive of France - but excluding France is fine with me.


:Graucho

theking 03-07-2003 04:21 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by xdcdave
I heard an interesting report on the radio last night (coast 2 coast radio) about this war being about a Stargate that is located in Iraq. Apparently this Stargate will allow Saddam to go back in time and win the Gulf War conflict.

I couldn't make this shit up if I tried, I swear!

This filled up a 1 hour radio show!!

He has been there and done that. During his interview with Rather he said that Iraqi forces were not defeated during the first Gulf War.

Dildozer 03-07-2003 04:23 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by theking


He has been there and done that. During his interview with Rather he said that Iraqi forces were not defeated during the first Gulf War.

They didn't have time to be defeated they just surrendered at the first sight of american troops

FlyingIguana 03-07-2003 04:28 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Dildozer


They didn't have time to be defeated they just surrendered at the first sight of american troops

they went fuckabazoo

ChrisH 03-07-2003 04:32 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Dildozer


They didn't have time to be defeated they just surrendered at the first sight of american troops

That's not true....

They surrendered to CNN. LOL

But at least the French never surrendered to a news agency. Well not yet. :1orglaugh

Sly_RJ 03-07-2003 04:46 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by ChrisH

But at least the French never surrendered to a news agency. Well not yet. :1orglaugh

Well duh! That would mean they were actually in combat!

:winkwink:

DamnGoodRatio 03-07-2003 05:00 PM

It may not be about oil, but big oil is getting rich.

You see, the opec price of oil on the commodities market has spiked about $15 (US) per barrel. Did the price of a domestic barrel of oil stay the same? No, they also increased prices about $15 (also US) per barrel. That is why we all get hammered at the pump.

I will not even begin to explain why the price should not increase for about three to six months.

Cliff Note: It may not be about Oil, but the oilmen are making tons of cash!

DyannaDoes 03-07-2003 05:00 PM

It's on Yahoo News

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmp...g_to_rebuild_2

Joe Sixpack 03-07-2003 05:11 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by JeremySF
Only Bush's most extreme critics think the coming war with Iraq is about oil.

It's not!

Even if the U.S. was to seize Iraq's oil fields, the expense of the war and of occupation would far exceed any benefit from Iraq's 2.5 million barrels a day of production.

And a two-term presidency would be long over before Iraq's desperate economy could realize it's full capacity.

Yes, oil companies would love to get production-sharing agreements in Iraq, but they haven't even been allowed to participate in post-war planning. There are too many issues such as antitrust, competition law and international law.

In post-war Iraq Bush has been very public in saying that oil would continue to be funneled through the U.N. Oil-for-food Program.

If you recall, the U.S. returned Kuwaiti oil back to Kuwait over a decade ago.

If America simply wanted cheap oil, Bush could cut a deal with Saddam which would be far easier and cheaper than going to war.

While there are many reasons for war with Iraq, particularly humanitarian reasons, the top reason Bush wants it is because by ousting Saddam and establishing a democracy in Iraq will send a strong message to other autocrats in the region.

First, that pursuing development of WMDs will not be tolerated.
Second, that other leaders need to reform their political systems.

For lack of a better word, an ice breaker is needed to address and unravel the Islamic world's frozen mass of dysfunction. Backward autocratic regimes like Saudi Arabia only foster Islamist radicalism.

Since 9/11 we've done quite bit to diversify our oil supplies beyond the middle east. We've got new sources in Africa, Alaska, Russia, etc. In fact, Europe is more dependent on Middle Eastern oil than the U.S.

Oil in this war is one thing: black gravy.

http://www.ratical.org/ratville/CAH/RRiraqWar.html

JeremySF 03-07-2003 05:18 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Joe Sixpack


http://www.ratical.org/ratville/CAH/RRiraqWar.html

and a website called "ratical.org" doesn't have an agenda.....


pu-lease.....

of all the reasons why this administration wants to go to war with Iraq, oil is not even in the top 5.

Joe Sixpack 03-07-2003 05:20 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by JeremySF


and a website called "ratical.org" doesn't have an agenda.....


pu-lease.....

of all the reasons why this administration wants to go to war with Iraq, oil is not even in the top 5.

Why not read it first and then make your judgement.

JeremySF 03-07-2003 05:34 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Joe Sixpack


Why not read it first and then make your judgement.


I will read it later....no time right now.

flashfreak 03-07-2003 05:43 PM

if it's not the oil why is Bush so angry?
Iraq is destroying ALL al-samoud II misilles, they allowed ONU inspectors EVERYWHERE . But nooooooo... Bush wants bang-bang... ? WHAT FOR IF NOt THE OIL?

PS: please don't bother to post shit like: "saddam is a cruel dictator, we're bringing democracy in iraq..." ...

stocktrader23 03-07-2003 05:48 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by JeremySF



I will read it later....no time right now.

My friend you just don't get it. OIL PRICES ARE UP NOW! Just the threat of a war in Iraq has sent the prices rising. Our Presidents cronies are getting richer NOW! We don't have to take the fucking oil fields over for them to make money.

JeremySF 03-10-2003 02:28 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by flashfreak
if it's not the oil why is Bush so angry?



The reason Bush is probably so angry is:

1) Saddam tried to assassinate Bush Sr.
2) Bush is a born-again Christian who thinks its his moral duty to weed out evil.

Let me say that I don't buy into most of the arguments for going to war with Iraq, such as an Al Qaeda/Saddam connection (although given Saddam's history of sponsoring terrorism and ties to terrorist organizations in Palestine, it's not out of the realm of possibility) or that this war will reduce terrorism (particularly in the short term).

3) Saddam has long had nuclear ambitions since the 70s. What would change now? Should we let him build nukes first? You know how problematic it is dealing with little tyrants with big bombs.

My personal reasons for supporting war with Iraq are Humanitarian and Strategic.

1) I think it was Stalin who observed:

"The death of one man is a tragedy. The death of a million is a statistic." Sickening, no

Having had relatives survive (and not survive) the holocaust and Russian pogroms, I find it appalling when the West turns a blind eye to brutal regimes that wage genocide. I find it astonishing that we did nothing about genocide commited by brutal Rwandan, Burundian and Ugandan regimes, Saddam against the Kurds, Sudan (against the Christians), etc. move

2) We encouraged the overthrow of Saddam and in fact something like 21 out of 24 provinces rebelled. We didn't do shit. Now is an opportunity to make good on an old promise.

3) Toppling Saddam--a brutal dictator who makes Milosevic look like a Sunday school teacher--and implementing real democratic change in Iraq would send a clear message to the rest of the Arab world. Cultivating democracy in the Middle East, while obviously an incredible challenge, is not impossible. Look at Qatar for example, one of our strongest allies in the region. They are now enjoying real elections, their women can vote and hold public office...they've made tremendous strides over the past 10 years.

We do have an opportunity to establish a precedent.

4) I'd just as soon eliminate the possiblity that Hussein does acquire nukes.

Quote:



Iraq is destroying ALL al-samoud II misilles, they allowed ONU inspectors EVERYWHERE . But nooooooo... Bush wants bang-bang... ? WHAT FOR IF NOt THE OIL?




There's been 13 years of non-compliance and Saddam has played this game time and again. Once he's up against the wall, he makes concessions and it looks like he's ready to comply. He's a master at this kind of manipulation.

Quote:


PS: please don't bother to post shit like: "saddam is a cruel dictator, we're bringing democracy in iraq..." ...

[/QUOTE][/B]

I've cited many reasons beyond Saddam being a brutal dictator, although in mind this is a major reason why we should be going in.

I'm not going to defend every reason the administration is determined to go to war. There are literally probably a hundred reasons why we should, some public, others not.

But as I said, oil is not the reason. Oil is one thing, BLACK GRAVY. There are far more cost efficient ways to exploit oil than invading Iraq.

Snapper 03-10-2003 02:33 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by ChrisH
Oh it's all about oil to France. They have more applications to the UN for deals with Iraq then any country in the world.

It's ALL about oil :thumbsup

Dead right! :thumbsup

Iarq owes France over a billion dollars in oil for weapons bought, including a nuclear power plant that the isrealis bombed back in the 80's. It has everything to do with oil.....for the French! Despite the bullshit they feed everyone about it being about humanitarian reasons.

FRANCE HAS ALWAYS SUPPORTED DICTATORS!! Does the Munich treaty of 36 mean anything to anyone?

Snapper 03-10-2003 02:37 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by flashfreak
if it's not the oil why is Bush so angry?
Iraq is destroying ALL al-samoud II misilles, they allowed ONU inspectors EVERYWHERE . But nooooooo... Bush wants bang-bang... ? WHAT FOR IF NOt THE OIL?

PS: please don't bother to post shit like: "saddam is a cruel dictator, we're bringing democracy in iraq..." ...


Because, MORON, he doesn't want another 9/11 but with nuclear weapons this time. Iraq has been backing, funding, providing refuge for terrorists for the last 20 years. ANY expert on the subject will testify to that.

Take your head out of the sand, you fuckin ostrich!!!

playa 03-10-2003 02:42 PM

Well i wish it was about oil

the price is at 1.53 per gallon here. if it can drop to $1 per gallon then i what do you have to loose?

JeremySF 03-10-2003 02:51 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by playa
Well i wish it was about oil

the price is at 1.53 per gallon here. if it can drop to $1 per gallon then i what do you have to loose?


Are you serious? Gas is only $1.53?!?!? Shit, it's $2.30 for unleaded in SF.

JeremySF 03-10-2003 02:57 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Snapper


Dead right! :thumbsup

Iarq owes France over a billion dollars in oil for weapons bought, including a nuclear power plant that the isrealis bombed back in the 80's. It has everything to do with oil.....for the French! Despite the bullshit they feed everyone about it being about humanitarian reasons.

FRANCE HAS ALWAYS SUPPORTED DICTATORS!! Does the Munich treaty of 36 mean anything to anyone?


Actully, not only France but Russia is also owed this money. Both countries fear that if we go to war with Iraq they'll never get repaid. A major, major issue for Russia.

While obviously Germany has major financial ties, I think Gerald Schroeder is the only one who is genuinely opposing war out of any minute amount of pacifiscm. He did get elected on an anti-war platform. Nonetheless, plenty of the top brass in Germany don't want war w/ Iraq b/c of far more sinister reasons.

Snapper 03-10-2003 03:01 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by JeremySF



Actully, not only France but Russia is also owed this money. Both countries fear that if we go to war with Iraq they'll never get repaid. A major, major issue for Russia.

While obviously Germany has major financial ties, I think Gerald Schroeder is the only one who is genuinely opposing war out of any minute amount of pacifiscm. He did get elected on an anti-war platform. Nonetheless, plenty of the top brass in Germany don't want war w/ Iraq b/c of far more sinister reasons.

Yeah, here are some of the reasons

1. they are fuckin ostriches
2. They actually think naive wishing for peace solves any issue
3. They think supporting the arab world now will lead to a more powerful Euro by it being the official marking currency for barrels of oil
4. They Blame the US for all their problems

JeremySF 03-10-2003 03:02 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Snapper



Iraq has been backing, funding, providing refuge for terrorists for the last 20 years. ANY expert on the subject will testify to that.


Totally. As I mentioned, this has long been documented. Saddam pays a $25,000 bounty to any family whose kid kills Israelis. Moreover, Saddam has long provided safehaven for terrorists. I don't know about Al Qaeda. I haven't seen any evidence that definitely supports it, but it's not unfathomable.

JeremySF 03-10-2003 03:11 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Snapper


Yeah, here are some of the reasons

2. They actually think naive wishing for peace solves any issue


I don't think most of the politicians are this naive, but this kind of naivetee is definitely endemic among the peaceniks. They naively believe there is always a peaceful solution to any problem.

Quote:


3. They think supporting the arab world now will lead to a more powerful Euro by it being the official marking currency for barrels of oil

Very likely a factor/move

Quote:

4. They Blame the US for all their problems
Muslim countries? Yes. European countries? No. Sure there are some European politicians might blame the U.S. for all their problems, but it's definitely a small minority. Ironically, European politicians blame the influx of muslims as the source of all their problems, particularly in France and Germany!!

roly 03-10-2003 03:35 PM

Quote:

Only Bush's most extreme critics think the coming war with Iraq is about oil.

It's not!

Even if the U.S. was to seize Iraq's oil fields, the expense of the war and of occupation would far exceed any benefit from Iraq's 2.5 million barrels a day of production.
yeah but a controling influence on the supply (and hence price) of massive amounts of oil (which would be much more that 2.5 million barrels per day you say) , outside of opec influence, for the next X years is worth far more than the cost of war/occupation. If the price of oil rises too high so does inflation, which leads to unemployment and recession. and these costs are uncalcuable.

i read that israel has been pushing for this war for a long time also and that cheney and rumsfeld amongst others have been major lobbyists for the israelis for years, and that was a factor also.

Que? 03-10-2003 03:38 PM

So controlling the oilprice keeping it low has nothing to do with us economy??:Graucho

That was a new one...

NBDesign 03-10-2003 03:59 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by DavePlays
The biggest thing oil has to do with it is that it is where Saddam got his money and power.


:Graucho

At almost 2.00 per gallon here in Phoenix, He will be able to finance his war just fine.

:ak47: FUCK Saddam and the camel he rode in on!

JeremySF 03-10-2003 04:06 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Roly
yeah but a controling influence on the supply (and hence price) of massive amounts of oil (which would be much more that 2.5 million barrels per day you say) , outside of opec influence, for the next X years is worth far more than the cost of war/occupation. If the price of oil rises too high so does inflation, which leads to unemployment and recession. and these costs are uncalcuable.

i read that israel has been pushing for this war for a long time also and that cheney and rumsfeld amongst others have been major lobbyists for the israelis for years, and that was a factor also.


You do realize that we are in a recession now. Oil prices continue to climb and if we do go to war with Iraq they think oil prices will go even higher. If it was about oil, now would not be the time.

It's not like we invade Iraq, then control all the oil. They said that was the motivation behind the last gulf war, yet we gave the oil right back to Kuwaitis. Will we get a discount once we return stability to Iraq? I'm sure. But, as I said, it is black gravy. There are far more compelling reasons to go war than oil.

As far as Cheney and Rumseld, being longtime lobbyists for Israel, I'm not sure. I do know they have been aligned with many neocons who have long believed Saddam Hussein should be toppled. He didn't just become a threat post 9/11. He's been defiant since the day he committed to disarming.

rossiya2 03-10-2003 04:45 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by JeremySF
Only Bush's most extreme critics think the coming war with Iraq is about oil.

"We are in the Mideast for three letters, oil, O-I-L"
Republican Bob Dole addressing the U.S. Senate

SykkBoy 03-10-2003 04:47 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by ChrisH


That's not true....

They surrendered to CNN. LOL

But at least the French never surrendered to a news agency. Well not yet. :1orglaugh

heheh
I was watching "Fairly Odd parents" with my kids and in the episode where Timmy gets the watch that has a Time Reset button, he's throwing water balloons at a bully..one of them hit pair of French people sitting outside a cafe and they yell "We Surrender!" funny shit......

JeremySF 03-10-2003 05:19 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by rossiya2


"We are in the Mideast for three letters, oil, O-I-L"
Republican Bob Dole addressing the U.S. Senate


When was that quoted? I'm sure Bob Dole thinks differently now.

roly 03-10-2003 05:22 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by JeremySF



You do realize that we are in a recession now. Oil prices continue to climb and if we do go to war with Iraq they think oil prices will go even higher. If it was about oil, now would not be the time.

It's not like we invade Iraq, then control all the oil. They said that was the motivation behind the last gulf war, yet we gave the oil right back to Kuwaitis. Will we get a discount once we return stability to Iraq? I'm sure. But, as I said, it is black gravy. There are far more compelling reasons to go war than oil.

yeah prices will rise when we're at war, but how long do you think this war is gonna last? yeah you gave the oil back to the kuwaitis but you were liberating kuwait, not invading it like with iraq, it's completely different. anyway to be honest i think the war does have benefits for all sides in the long run (excluding sadam) some innocent people will get killed, but they would anyway under his rule.

JeremySF 03-10-2003 05:33 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by roly


yeah prices will rise when we're at war, but how long do you think this war is gonna last?


Not long, but think about this. How much will this war cost the U.S. and the subsequent occupation cost the U.S.? Some say up to half a trillion dollars. The lowest I've heard is 100 billion dollars. The risk/reward and break-even point doesn't justify invading Iraq for oil. There are far more cost-efficient ways than that.

Quote:


yeah you gave the oil back to the kuwaitis but you were liberating kuwait, not invading it like with iraq, it's completely different.
Yes, but most of the people claiming the oil-for-blood card now are the same ones who were calling it during the first war. Likewise, the administration has publicly made a commitment to turnover the fields to the Iraqi people. They've made it clear that the day after Saddam is ousted, they want the Iraqi people to feel better off than they did before.

Quote:

anyway to be honest i think the war does have benefits for all sides in the long run (excluding sadam) some innocent people will get killed, but they would anyway under his rule.

:eek7 :eek7

so are you for or against this?

wonton 03-10-2003 05:37 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by JeremySF


Totally. As I mentioned, this has long been documented. Saddam pays a $25,000 bounty to any family whose kid kills Israelis. Moreover, Saddam has long provided safehaven for terrorists. I don't know about Al Qaeda. I haven't seen any evidence that definitely supports it, but it's not unfathomable.


BAHAHAHAHAHA!

So does the government of Saudi Arabia yet they are our good chums. Attacking Iraq has nothing to do with preventing terrorism. Even the CIA admits that.

And I have already posted umpteen articles and links to articles on this board that PROVES that this war is about oil. It is not black gravy. It is not black gold. Now that peak oil is here and oil is set to run dry within 30 years or less - it is BLACK PLATINUM.


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