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Question about Gambling/Roulette
Do casino's get pissed off when you sit at the roulette table & wait for it to hit red 3 times...then bet 500$ on black?
Is this against the rules or what? :Graucho |
Always, always go for red.
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LOL. :1orglaugh :1orglaugh
This is my official 100th worthless post here on GFY. :321GFY |
seriously is this against the rules?
someone who knows gambling...please fill me in |
No, it is not against the rules. Remember, though, the ball does not have a memory. It could land on red a thousand times in a row.
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try that on Hoyle and see how quick you go broke |
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hahaha do you seriously think that if it came red 3 times in a row there is a higher than 50% chance that it will be black on the 4th time? lol, go back to college or something, take a statictics course |
Well i only lost once using this method, & its because it landed on 00, or 0 i forget, one of the green ones.
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its random just like dice, they don't have a memory -- bet $500 on the don't pass line on a cold craps table if you want the best chance of doubling your money!
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You may think you see patterns in the short term, but it's an illusion. After a billion spins, you're going to have very nearly 500,000,000 red and 500,000,000 black (disregarding the 0's). Bottom line: there is <B>no</B> correlation between the ball landing on any given color and the colors it landed on before that. SpaceAce |
never play insides on roulette unless u want to waste moola,
and yes its all the same shit like said above 50/50, couldnt u figure that out? casinos dont give a fuck wat u bet, they have odds on every game in the house or it wouldnt b there, the 0,00 gives them the slightest odds. |
they'd love it if you did that...
they would hate if you had a system of doubling each time you lost, but thats why they have the limits, odds are they will get a run and clean you out. I dont think they allow the double system, at least not for long. Play blackjack its the best odds... |
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SpaceAce |
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Say the roulette table is a fair table (no tricks or flaws cause the ball to fall onto any slot more often than any other slot). Say that there is a one-in-a-billion situation where red was hit 200 times in a row (200 times in a row is realy rare... don't feel like doing the math so I'll just pretend it's one in a billion chance of that happening). Ignoring 0 and 00, what are the odds that the next ball will fall in red after 200 reds in a row? Remember, it's one in a billion that the previous run of 200 reds would happen. Answer: 50/50 (assuming 1/2 the slots are red and the other slots are black... remember, I'm ignoring the 0 and 00 for now). The ball doesn't give a shit if it had a streak of 200 reds before; it'll fall wherever physics tells it to fall. Thus, the ball has no memory. It's operating on the laws of physics and the randomness that the roulette table introduces on purpose. Runs happen naturally, and runs DO NOT change the probability of a future outcome. Runs can last 2 times, 3 times, 6 times, even 200 times... but each next outcome is not dependant of the previous outcome. Mathmatically, it's called "Discrete Probability" I'd throw up a link, but all of the ones I've found rely on mathematical formulas and not logic to prove their case. I don't think most folks here want to resolve a formula for proof :) So if the outcome is 50/50 for red and black, you'd make money if you only bet black and a black streak happened to occur while you were betting. If you bet red while a red streak occured, you'd make money too. So how do casinos make money given these even odds? There *are* no even odds in casinos. Thus the 0 and 00 on a craps table. There are 35 numbers to bet on, and 37 places that the ball can fall into... 35+2 (2= 0 and 00)=37. They typically pay out as if there were only 35 places for the ball to fall into, and they keep the difference when it falls into a 0 or 00. And if they allow you to bet on a 0 or 00, they *still* pay out as if you only had a 1 in 35 chance to win, and not the true 1 in 37 chance. Some casinos are worse, and always pay out as if you have a 1 in 30 chance to win (less of a payout)... which means that the casino pockets over 3 cents for every dollar you bet. Doesn't sound like much, but if you consider the billions of dollars bet in casinos, I'd take 3% of that in a heartbeat. Slots are even worse; some take over 15% of the money poured into them. Craps and blackjack are better, if you know some "rules" to follow... they can limit your losses to under 1%. But no matter what, unless you know enough to stop gambling when you're ahead, if you play long enough, you *will* lose. It's all a matter of how much you will lose in the long run, based upon a percentage of how much money you put on the table. |
Great post, Baal. http://www.kduk.pwp.blueyonder.co.uk...leidung089.gif
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I have seen far too many 30-40 straight red/black streaks to ever bet that way again |
I'd imagine if you were to do it 3or4 times in a night they would even give you a free room....:)
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me and my mates used the "double up" strategy for a couple of months. got a couple of grand up on the casino. that soon came right back down to a couple of hundred profit. i ended up $300 ahead of the casino. i havent been back.
they will always get you in the end so i decided to stay ahead of them. |
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actually, I read somewhere there's less thAN 0.50% of chances for the ball to NOT skip a turn after 8 shots (IE if you be red-black-red-black-red-black etc.) That's why you see most of the casino's have a limit on roulette... that is most of the time... AND... most of the time, it gives you 5 turns.. for example, say you bet 25.. you loose.. then you bet 50, you loose, then you bet 100, you loose, then you bet 200, you loose... well, you'd have only one more time at 400 to bet... that's 5 times you can do that.... so the house keeps the odds... off ocurse, that % is also depending on if there's 0 and 00 |
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dunno.. was gambling at the Belagio last month... and some guy just said he wanted some free pass to eat, and some buffet passes... how does that shit work? |
have to take into consideration that with roulette you can play corners or sides for a 1/4 or 1/2 chance as well, so the odds are actually a bit better then 1/39 (including green)
I've never walked away from a roulette table having lost money. roulette's the easiest game in the casino |
I'll share some of my knowledge...
red could come up a million times in a row.... but wont happen (i have seen several 12 in a row) in theory 37 (singlezero) different numbers can show up in 37 spins but in average only 22 different numbers will show. Law of the third.... now I have gone thru statistics of several million real casino spins and never have I seen more than 31 (only once) different numbers show up in 37 spins.... goto: http://www.spielbank-hamburg.de/spie...rmanenzen.php4 all the casino numbers are uploaded daily from the casino from all tables. Thats how you learn to play the game of roulette (or read my ebook at www.roulettebucks.com ) Rgds Vegas |
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Don't bother with casino games. As others have pointed out, they're all mathematically impossible to beat in the long run. If you must feel that rush that comes with gambling, following a good handicapper and bet on sports.
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No fucking rules... Just do it!
I have seen full table of red or black many times. |
Nope. Casino is gonna love you to death. Go ahead and follow that strategy. They will LOVE you to become a regular customer. Watching you lose money will make them VERY happy!!
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By no means am I saying you can't win consistantly, I do it on blackjack all the time and have people argue with me all the time when I tell them my record. I live by casinos and I don't just go there to piss my money away like most people. I don't drink while I play, I pay attention, I win, and I leave while I'm ahead. |
Statistics class made my head hurt.
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yes i know the odds are always stacked in the casino's favor, but there are methods to help make the odds a little better for you. |
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