do you think an Asteroid will hit Earth in the 21st century ? - Page 2 - GoFuckYourself.com

Big_Red · 10-07-2006, 07:38 AM

50 the skies are falling.

MaddCaz · 10-07-2006, 07:38 AM

wouldnt surprise me

More Booze · 10-07-2006, 07:51 AM

asteroid-traffic convert at 1:300

pigman · 10-30-2006, 03:39 PM

Ofcourse, we get hit all the time. But just small ones ;D

Mr Pheer · 10-30-2006, 03:41 PM

I hope one hits this evening.

Mediachick · 10-30-2006, 03:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoCarrier

LMAO--good one!

After Shock Media · 10-30-2006, 03:57 PM

Even with the current predictions we are still in the ahhh shit phase. Nasa has less than twenty people trying to find all the potential impact rocks in space. Only a very small few have been found and checked for orbit and the like.
Even those can not be certain due to outside collisions in the asteroid belt that very well could push stable rocks out of their current orbit.

Then as we have learned with the meteor in Tunguska, that was an air burst and not an actual impact. Even bigger air bursts sites are being found and looked into a lot now. Example is the one that went off over the Sahara in Egypt that created the desert glass, and other locations in China and places where we have glass and or shocked quartz. Impact is not always needed to be extremely damaging no mater what is below it.

As for the silly replies about shooting it down, blowing it up, whatever. It just does not work that way. Stupid gravity and all just would reassemble the large rock into a huge pile of smaller rocks to pelt us with. Rubble piles are just as bad, and even worse if we do nuke them or something since they would now also be radioactive. Our only real chance if we find one is to find a way to push it some to change its course.

8 Characters · 10-30-2006, 04:02 PM

Asteroids hit the earth every day.

8 Characters · 10-30-2006, 04:04 PM

Oh, and don't worry about NASA, they are useless. There's a hundred thousand people around the world looking at the sky almost round the clock. At least we'll KNOW if we're about to become extinct.

jimthefiend · 10-30-2006, 04:22 PM

There is a mass extinction about every 30 million years. We're LONG overdue.

The theory is that every 30 million years the solar system passes through a VERY dense cloud of asteroids and such. We are RIGHT IN THE MIDDLE of that cloud right now.

Kapitan Ivanov II · 10-30-2006, 04:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jimthefiend

There is a mass extinction about every 30 million years. We're LONG overdue.

The theory is that every 30 million years the solar system passes through a VERY dense cloud of asteroids and such. We are RIGHT IN THE MIDDLE of that cloud right now.

Plus, the fairy godmother is out on business and cannot watch our boiling kettles for us.

Barefootsies · 10-30-2006, 06:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jact

It's entirely possible that it can happen at any given moment. We had a very near miss a couple of years ago that we didn't even notice until it would have been far too late. We're only tracking what, 1% of the sky? And even if we do see it, we can't do fuck all about it.

Um.. you want, and believe a little too much of that Armageddon movie there chief. The space agencies track everything for years to come. So we would know long in advance.

You might want to do a bit more research, and a little less movie watching.

polish_aristocrat · 10-31-2006, 06:06 AM

nice bump, although no idea why

Barefootsies · 10-31-2006, 08:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by polish_aristocrat

nice bump, although no idea why

Maybe they just watched the movie, and wanted to use the quote?

CaptainWolfy · 10-31-2006, 09:22 AM

i think it will

bobby666 · 10-31-2006, 09:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by More Booze

asteroid-traffic convert at 1:300

which affiliate programm ?

jimthefiend · 10-31-2006, 09:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Barefootsies

The space agencies track everything for years to come.

Thats not exactly accurate.

polish_aristocrat · 11-29-2006, 07:08 AM

Quote:

MIAMI.- The U.S. space agency Nasa evokes Hollywood in effort to avoid catastrophe in a mission that would bridge gap between moon and Mars

It?s the stuff of nightmares and, until now, Hollywood thrillers. A huge asteroid is on a catastrophic collision course with Earth and mankind is poised to go the way of the dinosaurs.

So to save the day, Nasa now plans to go where only Bruce Willis has gone before. The US space agency is drawing up plans to land an astronaut on an asteroid hurtling through space at more than 30,000 mph. It wants to know whether humans could master techniques needed to deflect such a doomsday object when it is eventually identified.

Though the proposals are at an early stage, and a spacecraft needed just to send an astronaut that far into space exists only on the drawing board, they are deadly serious. A smallish asteroid called Apophis has already been identified as a possible threat to Earth in 2036.

Nasa?s Chris McKay, of the Johnson Space Centre in Houston told the website Space.com: ``There's a lot of public resonance with the notion that Nasa ought to be doing something about killer asteroids ... to be able to send serious equipment to an asteroid.?

http://www.dominicantoday.com/app/article.aspx?id=19846

polish_aristocrat · 12-29-2006, 01:44 PM

Different end of human civilization scenarios from Wikipedia

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/End_of_civilization

Quote:

It is certain that events in space will cause life on Earth to come to an end. The certain events, however, will happen at an extremely long timescale measured in billions of years. Projections indicate that the Andromeda Galaxy is on a collision course with the Milky Way. Impact is predicted in about 3 billion years, and so Andromeda will approach at an average speed of about 140 kilometres (87 miles) per second; the two galaxies will probably merge to form a giant elliptical. This merging could eject the solar system in a more eccentric orbit[citation needed] and an unwanted position in the merged galaxy causing our planet to become uninhabitable (an actual collision is unnecessary)[citation needed]. In about 5 billion years, stellar evolution predicts our sun will exhaust its core hydrogen and become a red giant. In so doing, it will become thousands of times more luminous.[3] Even in its current phase of stellar evolution, the sun is increasing in luminosity (at a very slow rate). Many scientists predict that in fewer than one billion years, the runaway greenhouse effect will make Earth unsuitable for life.

On an even longer time scale, the universe may come to an end. The current age of the universe is estimated as being 13.8 billion years old in 2007. There are several competing theories as to the nature of our universe and how it will end, but in all cases, there will be no life possible. These scenarios take place on a considerably longer timescale than the expanding of the sun.

[edit] Meteorite impact
In the history of the Earth, it is widely accepted that several large meteorites have hit Earth. The Cretaceous-Tertiary asteroid, for example, is theorized to have caused the extinction of the dinosaurs. If such an object struck the Earth it could have a serious impact on civilization. It's even possible that humanity would be completely destroyed: for this, the asteroid would need to be at least 1 km (0.6 miles) in diameter, but probably between 3?10 km (2?6 miles).[4] Asteroids with a 1 km diameter impact the Earth every 0.5 million years[4] on average. Larger asteroids are more rare. The last large (>10 km) impact happened 65 million years ago. So-called Near-Earth asteroids are regularly being observed.

Some scientists believe there are patterns in the number of meteorites hitting Earth. An interesting explanation of such a pattern is given by the hypothetical star Nemesis. This hypothesis states that a star named Nemesis regularly passes through a denser part of the Oort cloud, causing meteorite rains to collide onto Earth. However, the very existence of this pattern is not widely accepted, and the existence of the Nemesis star is highly controversial.

A star passage that will cause an increase of meteorites is the arrival of a star called Gliese 710. This star is probably moving on a collision course with the Solar System and will likely be at a distance 1.1 light years from the Sun in 1.4 million years. Some models predict that this will send large amounts of comets from the Oort cloud to the Earth.[5] Other models, such as the one by García-Sánchez, predict an increase of only 5%.

[edit] Less likely cosmic threats
A number of other scenarios have been suggested. A Black Hole could enter the solar system.[6] If this happened, the result would be catastrophic. Another threat might come from Gamma ray bursts; some scientists believe this may have caused mass extinction 450 million years ago.[7] Both are very unlikely.[2] Still others see Extraterrestrial life as a possible threat to mankind;[8] although alien life has never been found, scientists such as Carl Sagan have postulated that the existence of extraterrestrial life is very likely. Even NASA sterilizes items returning from space to kill any potential extraterrestrial life forms that might threaten humanity, like viruses. Scientists consider such a scenario technically possible, but unlikely.[9]

[edit] Earth
In the history of the Earth, many ice ages have occurred. More ice ages will almost certainly come at an interval of 40,000?100,000 years. This would have a serious impact on civilization as we know it today, because vast areas of land (mainly in North-America and Europe) could become uninhabitable. It would still be possible to live in the tropical regions, but with possible loss of humidity/water.

A less predictable scenario is a global pandemic. For example, if HIV mutates and becomes as transmissible as the common cold, the consequences would be disastrous, but probably not fatal to the human species,[10] as some people are immune to HIV.[11] This particular scenario would also contradict the observable tendency for pathogens to become less fatal over time as a natural function of biological pressure.

Another possibility is the megatsunami. A megatsunami could, for example, destroy the entire east coast of the United States of America (see La Palma). The coastal areas of the entire world could be flooded in case of the collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet.[12] While none of these scenarios could possibly destroy humanity completely, they could regionally threaten civilization as we know it.

When the supervolcano at Yellowstone last erupted, 600,000 years ago, the magma and ash covered roughly all of the area of North America west of the Mississippi river. Another such eruption could threaten civilization. Such an eruption could also release large amounts of gases that could alter the balance of the planet's carbon dioxide and cause a runaway greenhouse effect, or enough pyroclastic debris and other material may be thrown into the atmosphere to partially block out the sun and cause a natural nuclear winter, similar to 1816, the Year Without A Summer.

[edit] Humanity
Probably the biggest threat for humanity comes from humanity itself.[13] The scenario that has been explored most is a nuclear war or another weapon with similar possibilities. It is difficult to predict whether it would exterminate humanity, but very certainly could alter civilization as we know it, in particular if there was a nuclear winter event.[14]

Another category of disasters are unforeseen consequences of technology. It has been suggested that learning computers take unforeseen actions or that robots would out-compete humanity.[15] Biotechnology could lead to the creation of a pandemic, Nanotechnology could lead to grey goo - in both cases, either deliberately or by accident.[16] It has also been suggested that physical scientists might accidentally create a device that could destroy the earth and the solar system.[17] In string theory, there are some unknown variables. If those turn out to have an unfortunate value, the universe may not be stable and alter completely, destroying everything in it,[18] either at random or by an accidental experiment. This is called Quantum Vacuum Collapse by some.[19] Another kind of accident is the Ice-9 Type Transition, in which our planet including everything on it becomes a strange matter planet in a chain reaction. Some do not view this as a credible scenario.[20]

It has been suggested that runaway global warming might cause the climate on Earth to become like Venus, which would make it uninhabitable. In less extreme scenarios it could cause the end of civilization as we know it.[21]

Other scenarios that have been named are:

Antibiotic resistance. Natural selection would create super bacteria that are resistant to antibiotics, devastating the world population and causing a global collapse of civilization.[citation needed]
Demography. Demographic trends create a "baby bust" that threatens the order of civilization as we know it.[22]
Mutual assured destruction A full scale Nuclear war could kill billions, and the resulting Nuclear fallout effectively crush any form of civilization.
Dysgenics. A lack of natural selection and the tendency of the more intelligent to have fewer children would lower the average health and intelligence enough to lead to an eventual collapse of civilization, associated with controversial eugenics theories.[23]
Ecology. Natural resources are used up, or the environment is so damaged through pollution and destruction that civilization fails.[citation needed]
Finance. Markets fail worldwide, resulting in economic collapse: mass unemployment, rioting, famine, and death.[citation needed]
Infertility. Human fertility continues to decline, eventually ending with no fertile humans left to continue the species.[citation needed]
Gray Goo. Out-of-control self-replicating robots consume all living matter on Earth while building more of themselves.[citation needed]
Overpopulation. World population may increase to such an extent in the future that it would lead to lack of space for habitation.[citation needed]
Peak oil. Oil runs out before an economically viable replacement is devised, leading to global chaos.[24]
Quantum energy. In the search for new quantum particles, scientists accidentally destroy the universe. This, however, is highly unlikely; a Chernobyl style disaster is much more possible.[citation needed]
Telomere. Some researchers theorize a tiny loss of telomere length from one generation to the next, mirroring the process of aging in individuals. Over thousands of generations the telomere erodes down to its critical level. Once at the critical level we would expect to see outbreaks of age-related diseases occurring earlier in life and finally a population crash.

StuartD · 12-29-2006, 02:10 PM

damn, spooky... I had just done a search for this thread 30 mins ago to re-watch the videos of the asteroids.

carol.prime · 12-29-2006, 02:14 PM

probably no...but the chance of killing yourself with taking some drugs are high...LOL

tony286 · 12-29-2006, 02:30 PM

I hope it doesnt happen in our lifetime, its very scary and the government only gives about 8 mil in fund for it .

Dragar · 12-29-2006, 02:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by polish_aristocrat

anyone here interested a little in this subject?

from what I know, the chances for a big collision are minimal because they happen once every few millions years, but f.e chances for an impact similar in scale to the Tunguska Event aren't that small.....

I'll be dead by then so no biggy to me

baddog · 12-29-2006, 02:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mikeyddddd

Indubitably

That used to ba a catch phrase with me and friends back in 1966-1967

geeksta · 12-29-2006, 05:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by notabook

Even then? repopulating the planet with such a small genetic pool seems very unlikely. You may be able to sustain a small pool of humans for x number of years, but eventually (and probably sooner than later) the remainder of the human population will dwindle and dwindle until there simply just isn?t enough genetic variance to sustain a healthy population. More and more kids will start being born with more and more genetic abnormalities until the species eventually inbreeds itself into extinction. And that is story of how Moses saved Egypt from the robots.

You're assuming that the reproductive process that would take place after such and event with a smaller group of humans would be as it is now, natural. With the genetic technology we have available now we could create very genetically diverse embryos for womb implantation, and the interbreeding problem would be solved. In such a scenerio, "eugenics" would no longer be a dirty word, as survival of the human species would depend on it.

Dagwolf · 12-29-2006, 05:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by More Booze

asteroid-traffic convert at 1:300

E$_manager · 12-29-2006, 05:52 PM

I don't think so.

shekinah · 12-29-2006, 06:28 PM

If that would happen, we're all doomed

Dagwolf · 12-29-2006, 06:30 PM

It's an interesting question.. but pointless unless you're prepared to do something about it.

notabook · 12-29-2006, 06:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by geeksta

You're assuming that the reproductive process that would take place after such and event with a smaller group of humans would be as it is now, natural. With the genetic technology we have available now we could create very genetically diverse embryos for womb implantation, and the interbreeding problem would be solved. In such a scenerio, "eugenics" would no longer be a dirty word, as survival of the human species would depend on it.

We do not have such advanced genetic technology at our disposal at this present date and time. We could, practically, collect massive amounts of egg and sperm samples from various ethnic groups and locals throughout the world and keep them in a sort of huge databank to do kinda what you suggest though we would still be extremely limited in what we could do with them? we do not have ?artificial wombs? yet, and as such we are limited directly to the amount of females left on the planet/bunker/wherever they are hiding out in. Also since artificial insemination only has around a 7-29% success rate a lot of those genetic samples are going to go to waste.

Humanity is fucked at the moment. We have done essentially no preparing for a cataclysmic event, celestial or otherwise. If it were to happen soon our species would go the way of the hard working straight white male -- extinct.

polish_aristocrat · 12-30-2006, 06:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dragar

I'll be dead by then so no biggy to me

well, you don't know it

chances of a big (1 mile / 1kilometer+) asteroid or comet hitting Earth in the 21st century are extremely small. Such events happen once every milion years or so...

BUT

Quote:

A near earth Object (NEO) does not need to be large to devastate. One the size of a small garage would annihilate a large city. One big enough to leave a 10km crater, still nowhere near the size of the biggest (there is a 300km crater on Earth), would have the destructive force of every one of the world's 10,000 nuclear warhead combined.

(...)

How often is Earth hit by an asteroid?

More frequently than you may think. An incident like Tunguska occurs approximately once per every hundred years. Smaller ones, but easily big enough to take out a large city, occur at least 3 times per century, for example Brazil in 1930. While most of the recent recorded impacts have happened in places that were barely inhabited, we won't always be that lucky. If the Tunguska event had happened over the city of New York it would have been nearly leveled.

more info here http://www.armageddononline.org/asteroid.php

Mr Pheer · 12-30-2006, 06:22 PM

I still hope one hits this evening.

Alky · 12-30-2006, 08:29 PM

What I don't understand is from this site: http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/torino_scale.html

Level 8

Quote:

A collision is certain, capable of causing localized destruction for an impact over land or possibly a tsunami if close offshore. Such events occur on average between once per 50 years and once per several 1000 years.

but then on the other link posted in the thread, for the next hundred years it shows only the maximum on the Torino scale as 1.

Seems a bit off if you ask me...

polish_aristocrat · 01-19-2007, 05:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alky

What I don't understand is from this site: http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/torino_scale.html

Level 8

but then on the other link posted in the thread, for the next hundred years it shows only the maximum on the Torino scale as 1.

Seems a bit off if you ask me...

The thing is that not all asteroids has been discovered. From the ones that has been discovered, there's currently no real risk that one of them will hit Earth in the 21st century.

check out this page for more explanation about NEO'S - Near Earth Objects

http://impact.arc.nasa.gov/intro_faq.cfm

some quotes:

Quote:

What size NEOs are dangerous?

The Earth's atmosphere protects us from most NEOs smaller than a modest office building (40 m diameter, or impact energy of about 3 megatons). From this size up to about 1 km diameter, an impacting NEO can do tremendous damage on a local scale. Above an energy of a million megatons (diameter about 2 km), an impact will produce severe environmental damage on a global scale. The probable consequence would be an "impact winter" with loss of crops worldwide and subsequent starvation and disease. Still larger impacts can cause mass extinctions, like the one that ended the age of the dinosaurs 65 million years ago (15 km diameter and about 100 million megatons).

How many NEOs exist?

There are many more small NEOs than large ones. Astronomers estimate that there are approximately 1100 Near Earth Asteroids (NEAs) larger than 1 km in diameter, and more than a million larger than 40 m in diameter (the approximate threshold for penetration through the Earth's atmosphere).

Are any NEOs predicted to hit the Earth?

As of the end of 2004, astronomers had discovered more than two thirds of the larger Near Earth Asteroids (diameter greater than 1 km). None of the known asteroids is a threat, but we have no way of predicting the next impact from an unknown object.

What is the risk of impacts?

We don't know when the next NEO impact will take place, but we can calculate the odds. Statistically, the greatest danger is from an NEO with about 1 million megatons energy (roughly 2 km in diameter). On average, one of these collides with the Earth once or twice per million years, producing a global catastrophe that would kill a substantial (but unknown) fraction of the Earth's human population. Reduced to personal terms, this means that you have about one chance in 40,000 of dying as a result of a collision.

How much warning will we have?

With so many of even the larger NEOs remaining undiscovered, the most likely warning today would be zero -- the first indication of a collision would be the flash of light and the shaking of the ground as it hit.

What about smaller, more frequent impacts?

The Spaceguard Survey and most associated search and tracking programs are concentrating on NEAs larger than 1 km in diameter -- large enough to risk a global ecological catastrophe if one of them hit the Earth. But there are many more smaller undiscovered NEAs, and we are likely to be hit somewhere on Earth by one of these, with an energy equivalent to a large nuclear bomb, sometime in the next couple of centuries. The last such impact was in 1908 in Tunguska ( Siberia ) with an estimated explosive energy of 15 megatons. In 2003 NASA completed a study of these sub-km impacts and concluded that it was both technically feasible and cost-effective to to mount an expanded Spaceguard Survey, with much larger telescopes, to search for these smaller asteroids.

Jim_Gunn · 01-19-2007, 06:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by notabook

We do not have such advanced genetic technology at our disposal at this present date and time.

The human species could probably be sustained with even a small surviving population without scientific genetic intervention. In pre-history, there was a time where the entire human population was reduced to as few as 10,000 individuals worldwide due to climate change and other factors. Scientists know this because of markers and similarities on human genes genes from that time period. It's not ideal, but it could conceivably work. Hope we never have to find out.

4Man · 01-19-2007, 06:08 PM

I don't wona think about that...

shekinah · 01-19-2007, 06:27 PM

Maybe that would happen when I leave the earth

polish_aristocrat · 01-30-2007, 04:03 PM

Astronaut touts asteroid-bumping mission

Quote:

HONOLULU - NASA astronaut Edward Lu is campaigning for a new spacecraft that would divert asteroids on a path to slam into Earth.

The small space tractor, costing between $200 million and $300 million, would hover near an asteroid to exert enough gravitational pull that the space rock's orbit would change and a collision with our planet would be averted, Lu told an audience at the University of Hawaii-Manoa Monday night.

"We're only trying to get a really tiny change in the velocity of the asteroid to prevent an impact," said Lu, a former University of Hawaii solar physicist.

Lu was part of a panel including three Hawaii scientists who characterized the chances of an asteroid colliding with Earth as rare but deserving of the same level of attention as major earthquakes, tsunamis and hurricanes.

The asteroid Apophis will pass within about 20,000 miles of Earth on Friday, April 13, 2029.

"It's going to come so close to the Earth in 2029 that its orbit will change, and it might change enough so that it comes back and hits us in 2036," said Hawaii planetary scientist David Tholen, who discovered Apophis.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/16788616/

WZRogeR · 01-30-2007, 05:45 PM

Maybe this is Inevitability.

WZRogeR · 01-30-2007, 05:46 PM

Though procent is little

WZRogeR · 01-30-2007, 05:50 PM

i somewere read he though 4km

WZRogeR · 01-30-2007, 05:51 PM

Armageddon?Call bruce willis

Tiffany Preston · 01-30-2007, 06:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by polish_aristocrat

anyone here interested a little in this subject?

from what I know, the chances for a big collision are minimal because they happen once every few millions years, but f.e chances for an impact similar in scale to the Tunguska Event aren't that small.....

Dont want to Scared you but they have already predict a collision in the next few century ! They have already an eye on the asteroid! Push your research on the nasa website and you will see!

lorine · 01-31-2007, 03:56 PM

It happened in the past. Sooner or later it will happen again,it`s only a matter of time. Let`s hope it will be a small one and also let`s hope it will fall into a ocean or a sea and won`t kill people

polish_aristocrat · 03-23-2007, 09:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lorine

It happened in the past. Sooner or later it will happen again,it`s only a matter of time. Let`s hope it will be a small one and also let`s hope it will fall into a ocean or a sea and won`t kill people

a big asteroid falling into the ocean would cause a mega-tsunami killing millions of people

cool1 · 03-23-2007, 09:59 AM

it will happen, just hope it is not in my time

D · 03-23-2007, 10:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by polish_aristocrat

interesing question is what would happen if a really big asteroid hit Earth and destroyed most of the human civilisation

let's say if 1% of mankind would survive, then how would the "new" civilisation look like f.e 100 years after the impact, assuming the Eart's climate would turn back to what we know today, after few decades

It'd cause a genetic bottleneck, and give our species even less genetic diversity than we have today.

Recently I heard that any 2 people taken from anywhere in the world will have less genetic diversity between them than most random samples of chimpanzees from the same tribe.

Juicy D. Links · 04-17-2007, 01:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoCarrier

i have a pet flamingo running around the yard trying to bang my dog

this is all i needed today

polish_aristocrat · 10-20-2007, 10:44 AM

Quote:

New Delhi, Sept. 25: An asteroid three football fields wide might crash into Earth in 2036 seven years after whizzing past the planet closer than some satellites in orbit, a US space scientist said today.

If the asteroid named Apophis passes a specific, small region of space during its close fly-by in 2029, it will return to impact Earth in 2036, said William Ailor, director of the Centre for Orbital and Re-entry Studies with the Aerospace Corporation.

In this small region of space that scientists compare to a ?keyhole?, Earth?s gravity will perturb the asteroid?s trajectory such that the subsequent encounter in 2036 would lead to an impact.

The chance of such an impact is currently predicted to be 1 in 45,000, Ailor said in a talk on Earth-threatening asteroids at the International Astronautical Congress, 2007, in Hyderabad.

?It?s not a civilisation-ender, but if it does strike, it?ll cause significant damage. People alive today ? young people in schools and colleges ? are going to see it go by or will have to deal with it,? Ailor told The Telegraph in an interview.

Further observations of Apophis in 2012 and 2013 will allow scientists to recalculate the chance of an impact.

?The probability of impact could go up or come down,? Ailor said.

In 2029, Apophis will get closer than some geostationary satellites parked about 37,000km above Earth. A realisation at that time that it will impact in seven years would give scientists too little time to prepare, Ailor said

full article

http://www.telegraphindia.com/107092...ry_8362339.asp

I also read recently in an offline magazine that an impact with a few kilometers big object could eventually totally eliminate not only our civilisation but whole life on earth... in worst case scenario.

Basically Earth would become a second Vernus.

oh, I forgot this quote

Quote:

Over the past eight years, a concerted search has helped find 90 per cent of the asteroids 1km and larger ? the civilisation-killers. ?But we have yet to find some 20,000 objects between 300 metres and 140 metres,? Ailor said

polish_aristocrat · 10-20-2007, 10:47 AM

shit, I need to double my income, retire from GFY and put my energy into studying asteroids and comets

10-07-2006, 07:38 AM	#51
Big_Red Confirmed User Join Date: Jun 2006 Location: Do you care? Posts: 4,147	50 the skies are falling. __________________ 60% Revshare. http://www.boobycash.com We got the boobs and the cash! ICQ 198-580-197 24/7 support

10-07-2006, 07:38 AM	#52
MaddCaz Confirmed User Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: Illinois Posts: 9,483	wouldnt surprise me __________________ BigCocks.com - MatureWomen.com - Tranny.com - DrunkGirls.com - TeenGirls.com - MonsterCock.com and many more... Click here to see them all!

10-30-2006, 03:41 PM	#55
Mr Pheer Retired Industry Role: Join Date: Dec 2002 Posts: 20,984	I hope one hits this evening. __________________ Get your booster! It's safe

10-30-2006, 03:57 PM	#57
After Shock Media It's coming look busy Join Date: Mar 2001 Location: "Ph'nglui mglw'nafh Cthulhu R'lyeh wgah'nagl fhtagn". Posts: 35,299	Even with the current predictions we are still in the ahhh shit phase. Nasa has less than twenty people trying to find all the potential impact rocks in space. Only a very small few have been found and checked for orbit and the like. Even those can not be certain due to outside collisions in the asteroid belt that very well could push stable rocks out of their current orbit. Then as we have learned with the meteor in Tunguska, that was an air burst and not an actual impact. Even bigger air bursts sites are being found and looked into a lot now. Example is the one that went off over the Sahara in Egypt that created the desert glass, and other locations in China and places where we have glass and or shocked quartz. Impact is not always needed to be extremely damaging no mater what is below it. As for the silly replies about shooting it down, blowing it up, whatever. It just does not work that way. Stupid gravity and all just would reassemble the large rock into a huge pile of smaller rocks to pelt us with. Rubble piles are just as bad, and even worse if we do nuke them or something since they would now also be radioactive. Our only real chance if we find one is to find a way to push it some to change its course. __________________ [email protected] ICQ:135982156 AIM: Aftershockmed1a MSN: [email protected]

10-31-2006, 06:06 AM	#63
polish_aristocrat Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Jul 2002 Posts: 40,377	nice bump, although no idea why __________________ I don't use ICQ anymore.

10-07-2006, 07:51 AM	#53
More Booze Confirmed User Join Date: Mar 2004 Posts: 5,116	asteroid-traffic convert at 1:300

10-30-2006, 03:39 PM	#54
pigman Confirmed User Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 760	Ofcourse, we get hit all the time. But just small ones ;D

10-30-2006, 04:02 PM	#58
8 Characters So Fucking Banned Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: This month's character: Dirty Franck Posts: 2,336	Asteroids hit the earth every day.

10-30-2006, 04:04 PM	#59
8 Characters So Fucking Banned Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: This month's character: Dirty Franck Posts: 2,336	Oh, and don't worry about NASA, they are useless. There's a hundred thousand people around the world looking at the sky almost round the clock. At least we'll KNOW if we're about to become extinct.

10-30-2006, 04:22 PM	#60
jimthefiend So Fucking Banned Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: icq: 121189 Posts: 18,889	There is a mass extinction about every 30 million years. We're LONG overdue. The theory is that every 30 million years the solar system passes through a VERY dense cloud of asteroids and such. We are RIGHT IN THE MIDDLE of that cloud right now.

10-31-2006, 09:22 AM	#65
CaptainWolfy Playa Industry Role: Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: Somewhere on the Earth Posts: 8,439	i think it will

12-29-2006, 02:10 PM	#70
StuartD Sofa King Band Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: Outside the box Posts: 29,903	damn, spooky... I had just done a search for this thread 30 mins ago to re-watch the videos of the asteroids. __________________ This is me on facebook This is me on twitter

12-29-2006, 02:14 PM	#71
carol.prime Confirmed User Join Date: Jul 2006 Location: Manila, Philippines Posts: 6,960	probably no...but the chance of killing yourself with taking some drugs are high...LOL __________________ Prime Outsourcing \| offshore staffing solutions \| manual labor \| employee leasing \| full time employees starting at $695.00/month = managed and dedicated icq.: 309570461 live chat

12-29-2006, 02:30 PM	#72
tony286 lurker Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2002 Location: atlanta Posts: 57,021	I hope it doesnt happen in our lifetime, its very scary and the government only gives about 8 mil in fund for it .

12-29-2006, 05:52 PM	#77
E$_manager Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: pink adult dreams Posts: 13,557	I don't think so. __________________ Enjoy more sales with EnjoyBucks! Homemade: Asian : Ebony : GFs : Voyeur : Nudist : Public : 3D

12-29-2006, 06:28 PM	#78
shekinah Confirmed User Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 8,452	If that would happen, we're all doomed __________________ [Web Design \| Development \| Programming \| Content Writing ] ICQ: 238-890-469

12-29-2006, 06:30 PM	#79
Dagwolf President of Canada Join Date: Sep 2003 Location: Leaving Hell, Entering Limbo Posts: 23,141	It's an interesting question.. but pointless unless you're prepared to do something about it. __________________ Sleep well, and dream of large women.

12-30-2006, 06:22 PM	#82
Mr Pheer Retired Industry Role: Join Date: Dec 2002 Posts: 20,984	I still hope one hits this evening. __________________ Get your booster! It's safe

01-19-2007, 06:08 PM	#86
4Man Confirmed User Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 3,830	I don't wona think about that...

01-19-2007, 06:27 PM	#87
shekinah Confirmed User Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 8,452	Maybe that would happen when I leave the earth __________________ [Web Design \| Development \| Programming \| Content Writing ] ICQ: 238-890-469

01-30-2007, 05:45 PM	#89
WZRogeR My Sig was too Big! :( Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 1,126	Maybe this is Inevitability. __________________

01-30-2007, 05:46 PM	#90
WZRogeR My Sig was too Big! :( Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 1,126	Though procent is little __________________

01-30-2007, 05:50 PM	#91
WZRogeR My Sig was too Big! :( Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 1,126	i somewere read he though 4km __________________

01-30-2007, 05:51 PM	#92
WZRogeR My Sig was too Big! :( Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 1,126	Armageddon?Call bruce willis __________________

01-31-2007, 03:56 PM	#94
lorine Confirmed User Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 994	It happened in the past. Sooner or later it will happen again,it`s only a matter of time. Let`s hope it will be a small one and also let`s hope it will fall into a ocean or a sea and won`t kill people __________________ Lorine - ebony escort for sensitive gentlemen

03-23-2007, 09:59 AM	#96
cool1 sex is good Join Date: Sep 2001 Location: Carman, MB Canada Posts: 24,939	it will happen, just hope it is not in my time __________________

10-20-2007, 10:47 AM	#100
polish_aristocrat Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Jul 2002 Posts: 40,377	shit, I need to double my income, retire from GFY and put my energy into studying asteroids and comets __________________ I don't use ICQ anymore.