ABC News: Bird Flu Warning - Page 2 - GoFuckYourself.com

Helix · 03-13-2006, 12:53 PM

So far, the project has run about 200 simulations of an avian flu epidemic, models that have helped Longini's group reach provocative conclusions that fall along two lines: how a nationwide outbreak might take hold, and what policies would best combat it.

EpiCast reveals that, in contrast with flu epidemics of decades past, an outbreak today won't progress "like a wave across the country," spreading from town to town and state to state. Instead, no matter where it erupts - Seattle, Chicago, Miami - it will swiftly blanket the nation. "It starts in Chicago one day," Germann says, "and a couple of weeks later it's everywhere at once." Thank the airlines. Even though disease has piggybacked on air travel for decades, we generally had only isolated outbreaks of low-transmission viruses - like when SARS leapt from Hong Kong to Canada in 2003 but failed to spread beyond Toronto. In an epidemic of a highly communicable disease, the airlines' hub network would effectively seed every metropolitan area in the country within a month or two - and then reseed them, repeatedly.

EpiCast showed that local intervention measures can have some impact: Close the schools, enforce a quarantine, and the disease will slow down. That buys the federal government time to develop and mass-produce a vaccine. But Germann quickly adds a caveat: Acting locally may not be enough. In a worst-case outbreak, without a viable vaccine, "the disease will climb, and eventually go exponential. And once it's on the exponential curve, it's very difficult to contain.

CyberHustler · 03-13-2006, 12:53 PM

Holly · 03-13-2006, 12:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KRL

Its hard to believe people are laughing about such a serious threat.

You won't be laughing when it comes here. You saw how FEMA handled one hurricane. Wait till you see what they got planned for this scene and they try to quarantine entire metro areas.

You're right. I'm selling my house, going to the Antarctic, and buying an igloo.

Wait... do penguins get bird flu?

CaptainHowdy · 03-13-2006, 12:59 PM

[IMG][/IMG]

Quote:

Originally Posted by Helix

Computer model of a pandemic

Greg B · 03-13-2006, 12:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KRL

Exactly. I'm more worried about the over reaction and the government plans that will really make this place look like a police state.

Also, on the killer bees, they are migrating North at a rate of 2 Miles per day. So far on this continent about 1,000 killer bee attacks have been reported on humans and over 100,000 animals attacked and killed.

The Killer Bees won't move too far north. 2 miles a day is too fast I would say. At that rate they'd be in Montana in a year and a half. I'd say more like 10 miles a year.

They can't tolerate cold nor the bee mite infections.

They're vicious no doubt but not as bad as predicted. No where near as bad.

sumphatpimp · 03-13-2006, 12:59 PM

what the hell ever happened to 2257, Acacia and all the rest of the horseshiters?
we don't want to leave anyone out here.
you'll hurt there feelings.

Nathan · 03-13-2006, 01:03 PM

You guys are more paranoid than europeans, I did not think this would be possible.

1) The bird flu is not transmittable to humans without extreme direct contact with infected birds.
2) For it to become an HUMAN epidemic it needs to first mutate to even be transmittable between humans.
3) There is NO SINGLE COUNT of human to human transmittion even in asia where many humans got infected
4) For it to be actually likely that it mutates it needs a host that already has a human transmittable flu.
5) Even if that is given does not mean that it happends.

sweetpiece · 03-13-2006, 01:09 PM

matty · 03-13-2006, 01:12 PM

were all dead, im getting one of those masks

mattyboy · 03-13-2006, 01:12 PM

For those in the UK, you might want to watch Channel 4 now.
http://www.channel4.com/science/micr.../bird_flu.html

CDSmith · 03-13-2006, 01:19 PM

Re-reading Steven King's "The Stand" now....

The Truth Hurts · 03-13-2006, 01:21 PM

wait a tick.... wasn't this just another 'scare tactic' by the fascist regime occupying the government?

WiredGuy · 03-13-2006, 01:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Phoenix

where can i buy tamiflu?

Its tougher than you may think, governments are stock piling it. Even doctors can't prescribe it as the demand is nuts.
WG

Jarmusch · 03-13-2006, 01:23 PM

ColBigBalls · 03-13-2006, 01:29 PM

we had the bird flu last year here in canada.. same thing too. Big Hype.. not alot happened. A few people died but probably wold have had they gotten a normal flu anyway. Heck they even put out travel advisory's not to go to toronto.

But back then we called it s.a.r.s.

DatingGold · 03-13-2006, 01:49 PM

This is the exact reason I have bought EMFp stock.

They make a mask that protects humans from bird flu and otehr airbourne diseases.

Luc · 03-13-2006, 02:00 PM

i sale short bird flu vaccine. $5 for 1 tablet. $10 for 2. i throw in free vitamins.

ArkansasDave · 03-13-2006, 02:00 PM

hide your chickens ..!

BoyAlley · 03-13-2006, 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jarmusch

Greg B · 03-13-2006, 07:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CDSmith

Re-reading Steven King's "The Stand" now....

Now THAT's scary

Greg B · 03-13-2006, 08:06 PM

Oh this is fucked up! ABC evening news states that the 2nd variant of the bird flu virus is faster and more lethal. Because of this second mutation the first vaccine is now useless. The first wave will hit Alaska in as little as three weeks and then be fully in the lower 48 states by August. Just in time to fuck up all the birds that will then begin to start flying south for the winter and possibly infecting all the birds in Central and S. America.

Is that fucked up or what???

Because Alaska is so remote it would take experts about a month to know if it has arrived.

This year is gonna be a doozy.

minusonebit · 03-13-2006, 08:14 PM

Ah well, the good thing is that if it does finally hit, it will reduce the world population to sustainable levels -- something even abortion hasnt managed to do yet. Bush and his buddies are out to make a buck, its nothing new for them by any strech. It very well could be that Bird Flu is just a bunch of bird shit.

Greg B · 03-13-2006, 08:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by minusonebit

Ah well, the good thing is that if it does finally hit, it will reduce the world population to sustainable levels -- something even abortion hasnt managed to do yet. Bush and his buddies are out to make a buck, its nothing new for them by any strech. It very well could be that Bird Flu is just a bunch of bird shit.

If it was bird shit it wouldn't have mutated already. That's the definite warning sign. Not a total final sign but a warning sign.

Most of the time, viri reach a crescendo and just go less vital. Once in a while one doesn't. The indicators are the intensity of the first 2 or 3 waves. Other factors build on that by giving the viri an environment to thrive in for good or bad.

Bird shit? Not by a long shot. Something to keep an eye on as ABC News is running a round the clock vigil and running nightly reports. Obviously they know something we don't?

JD · 03-13-2006, 09:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Greg B

If it was bird shit it wouldn't have mutated already. That's the definite warning sign. Not a total final sign but a warning sign.

Most of the time, viri reach a crescendo and just go less vital. Once in a while one doesn't. The indicators are the intensity of the first 2 or 3 waves. Other factors build on that by giving the viri an environment to thrive in for good or bad.

Bird shit? Not by a long shot. Something to keep an eye on as ABC News is running a round the clock vigil and running nightly reports. Obviously they know something we don't?

they're just hyping it because it gets people to view their shitty newscasts and their advertisers love it

Bob_cougar · 03-13-2006, 09:53 PM

i hope it's not yet too late before experts discover the cure to this killer disease.

Greg B · 03-14-2006, 07:54 PM

Sheesh! The scientist who discovered the bird flu was on ABC News tonight. Fuckin' scary what he said. to put it lightly he's got 3 months of food and water stored.

Scootermuze · 03-14-2006, 09:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Greg B

..............

The rich won't care because that means more room for them.

If it hits, it'll be no respecter of wealth...

fr0gman · 03-14-2006, 09:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WEG Cory

I respectfully disagree.

If you look back in history, you will see we are long overdue for an epidemic. It is a natural way of life.

And you need to look at what this flu does to healthy lungs, then you understand why it is so dangerous. The issue is that the virus, like others in the past, is manifesting and becoming more agile; more intelligent.

I have said from day 1 this is our most dangerous enemy in our current climate. Al Quada can not do in 20 years what this can do in a matter of weeks.

Very well stated. I'll just delete my post now since it was pretty much word-4-word.

Our world is due for another population thinning. And like all death we can stave it off for a while but it will happen sooner or later. We are to the Earth nothing but parasites and like any living organism it can only tolerate so much then it is time for a clensing.

I am not sure why the one guy said he was gong to buy a gun. Diseases kill people with guns also.

potter · 03-14-2006, 09:38 PM

I really don't understand how I see the biggest birdflu fanatics on a webmaster board. If bird flu strikes, just stay in your house sitting in front of the computer posting bullshit on gfy. Just like you do every other day of the week.

OzMan · 03-14-2006, 10:41 PM

This bird flu forum has some great info, especially on what supplies to stockpile.

http://www.superflutalk.com/

clickhappy · 03-14-2006, 10:54 PM

holy shit! I had no idea how far it was spread already
http://www.pandemicflu.gov/images/popmap.jpg

r-c-e · 03-14-2006, 10:55 PM

http://www.deadlypandemic.com

KRL · 03-15-2006, 12:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by clickhappy

holy shit! I had no idea how far it was spread already
http://www.pandemicflu.gov/images/popmap.jpg

Estimates it'll be in the US in about 6 months.

Just hope the fucker doesn't mutate, or start doing shit like killing cats and dogs, cattle, cows, pigs, too.

rodney25 · 03-15-2006, 12:16 AM

This bird flu issue is making me paranoid.

Centurion · 03-15-2006, 01:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KRL

Hello. They're already here.

And I do believe that everyone is now dead from stings in those shaded counties..so please, get ready to die immediately from the bird flu that should show up in it's first cases toward the end of April in Alaska.

Centurion · 03-15-2006, 01:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Holly

I think SARS killed them all before they made it here.

LOL!!

Centurion · 03-15-2006, 01:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KRL

Its hard to believe people are laughing about such a serious threat.

You won't be laughing when it comes here. You saw how FEMA handled one hurricane. Wait till you see what they got planned for this scene and they try to quarantine entire metro areas.

I'm not laughing..I'm taking the administration's advice and have plenty of duck tape (hope IT'S not infected) and lots of plastic to insulate my home from the flu.

Centurion · 03-15-2006, 02:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Greg B

Because Alaska is so remote it would take experts about a month to know if it has arrived.

If that's the case, then the simple solution is just build a big dome over Alaska so the birds can't get out. That way they can play baseball in the winter too!

poondaddy · 03-15-2006, 02:08 AM

Bird Flu can actually make you a quick buck...anyone know some good hypodermic needle manufacturers to invest in?

VIPimp · 03-15-2006, 02:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by poondaddy

Bird Flu can actually make you a quick buck...anyone know some good hypodermic needle manufacturers to invest in?

I bought this stock around November at 50cents... today it closed at $2.38... NNVC - NANOVIRICIDES INC

xclusive · 03-15-2006, 02:51 AM

On the bright side those who survive will be indoors buying porn

Teodora · 03-15-2006, 02:53 AM

still i can see a lot of old bitch feeding wild pigeons out in the parks... they are too stupid to understand the dangers of bird flu

reed_4 · 03-15-2006, 03:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OzMan

This bird flu forum has some great info, especially on what supplies to stockpile.

http://www.superflutalk.com/

that is a very informative site you posted.

Greg B · 03-15-2006, 03:33 AM

Tonight's ABC News had the guy who discovered bird flu on.

To put it bluntly he said two things worth alarm:

1) Worse case scenario is 50% of humanity dying from this shit

2) He and his family have 3 months worth of food and water stored up.

The second one emphasizes what a top scientist like him feels about the situation.

chadglni · 03-15-2006, 03:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SPeRMiNaToR

1. it mutates
2. for now
3. it'll most likely be airbourne once it begins to hit humans

How can you even go outside with all the killer bees infected with SARS flying around?

chadglni · 03-15-2006, 03:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DatingGold

This is the exact reason I have bought EMFp stock.

They make a mask that protects humans from bird flu and otehr airbourne diseases.

Well you were smart enough to buy the stock and not the mask because the mask does shit. Doesn't mean a billion morons (including many from this board) won't own one.

chadglni · 03-15-2006, 03:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Greg B

Sheesh! The scientist who discovered the bird flu was on ABC News tonight. Fuckin' scary what he said. to put it lightly he's got 3 months of food and water stored.

Are you always such a gullible moron?

chadglni · 03-15-2006, 03:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Greg B

Tonight's ABC News had the guy who discovered bird flu on.

To put it bluntly he said two things worth alarm:

1) Worse case scenario is 50% of humanity dying from this shit

2) He and his family have 3 months worth of food and water stored up.

The second one emphasizes what a top scientist like him feels about the situation.

3 months of food, whatever will they do after 3 months? I probably have 3 months of food in my house "just because". Stop buying in to every fucking thing that is slammed down your throat by people with something to gain by spreading the information.

I am so sick of this fucking epidemic bullshit that I wish it would come and wipe you cocksmokers out that think staying indoors with powdered milk and Tamiflu would make a fucking difference.

Grapesoda · 03-15-2006, 06:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SPeRMiNaToR

looks like it's time to buy that rifle i was planning on picking up.

if yer reallly, really lucky that guy that said we were assholes for buying guns will be stocking up on stuff and live right next door to ya

Grapesoda · 03-15-2006, 06:17 AM

[3 months of food, whatever will they do after 3 months? I probably have 3 months of food in my house "just because".

**** after 3 months only the fleash eating zombies will be left anyway so it won't matter

I am so sick of this fucking epidemic bullshit that I wish it would come and wipe you cocksmokers out that think staying indoors with powdered milk and Tamiflu would make a fucking difference.

*** search 'the spanish lady' just for yucks!!

03-13-2006, 12:53 PM	#51
Helix Confirmed User Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: Michigan Posts: 5,997	So far, the project has run about 200 simulations of an avian flu epidemic, models that have helped Longini's group reach provocative conclusions that fall along two lines: how a nationwide outbreak might take hold, and what policies would best combat it. EpiCast reveals that, in contrast with flu epidemics of decades past, an outbreak today won't progress "like a wave across the country," spreading from town to town and state to state. Instead, no matter where it erupts - Seattle, Chicago, Miami - it will swiftly blanket the nation. "It starts in Chicago one day," Germann says, "and a couple of weeks later it's everywhere at once." Thank the airlines. Even though disease has piggybacked on air travel for decades, we generally had only isolated outbreaks of low-transmission viruses - like when SARS leapt from Hong Kong to Canada in 2003 but failed to spread beyond Toronto. In an epidemic of a highly communicable disease, the airlines' hub network would effectively seed every metropolitan area in the country within a month or two - and then reseed them, repeatedly. EpiCast showed that local intervention measures can have some impact: Close the schools, enforce a quarantine, and the disease will slow down. That buys the federal government time to develop and mass-produce a vaccine. But Germann quickly adds a caveat: Acting locally may not be enough. In a worst-case outbreak, without a viable vaccine, "the disease will climb, and eventually go exponential. And once it's on the exponential curve, it's very difficult to contain. __________________ Free jscott !!! Free OneHungLo !!! Free Baddog !!!

03-13-2006, 01:03 PM	#57
Nathan Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Jul 2003 Posts: 3,108	You guys are more paranoid than europeans, I did not think this would be possible. 1) The bird flu is not transmittable to humans without extreme direct contact with infected birds. 2) For it to become an HUMAN epidemic it needs to first mutate to even be transmittable between humans. 3) There is NO SINGLE COUNT of human to human transmittion even in asia where many humans got infected 4) For it to be actually likely that it mutates it needs a host that already has a human transmittable flu. 5) Even if that is given does not mean that it happends. __________________ "Think about it a little more and you'll agree with me, because you're smart and I'm right." - Charlie Munger

03-13-2006, 01:09 PM	#58
sweetpiece Confirmed User Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: bc, canada Posts: 108	__________________ Sweet piece of Ash

03-13-2006, 01:12 PM	#59
matty Mining for Porn! Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2002 Location: New Haven CT Posts: 1,328	were all dead, im getting one of those masks __________________ Want to accept Bitcoin (BTC) on your site without any issues? I modestly estimate a 15%-20% boost in conversions. Projects Like These Cost Big $$$, Please Donate: 112BNRe8WiooVBTqDFSLzjBo6Ve1LunViN

03-13-2006, 01:19 PM	#61
CDSmith Too lazy to set a custom title Industry Role: Join Date: May 2001 Location: My network is hosted at TECHIEMEDIA.net ...Wait, you meant where am I located at? Oh... okay, I'm in Winnipeg, Canada. Oops. :) Posts: 51,460	Re-reading Steven King's "The Stand" now.... __________________ *Promote Wildmatch, ImLive, Sexier.com, and more!!* ALWAYS THE HIGHEST PAYOUTS: Big Bux/ImLive SIGNUP ON NOW!!! Put some PUSSYCA$H in your pocket. ICQ me at: 31024634

03-13-2006, 12:53 PM	#52
CyberHustler Masterbaiter Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2006 Posts: 26,180

03-13-2006, 12:59 PM	#56
sumphatpimp Confirmed User Join Date: Aug 2002 Posts: 5,235	what the hell ever happened to 2257, Acacia and all the rest of the horseshiters? we don't want to leave anyone out here. you'll hurt there feelings.

03-13-2006, 01:12 PM	#60
mattyboy Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Apr 2003 Posts: 1,070	For those in the UK, you might want to watch Channel 4 now. http://www.channel4.com/science/micr.../bird_flu.html

03-13-2006, 01:21 PM	#62
The Truth Hurts Zph7YXfjMhg Industry Role: Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: In Your Skull Posts: 15,304	wait a tick.... wasn't this just another 'scare tactic' by the fascist regime occupying the government?

03-13-2006, 01:23 PM	#64
Jarmusch Industry Role: Join Date: May 2003 Posts: 12,464

03-13-2006, 01:29 PM	#65
ColBigBalls Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2003 Posts: 1,733	we had the bird flu last year here in canada.. same thing too. Big Hype.. not alot happened. A few people died but probably wold have had they gotten a normal flu anyway. Heck they even put out travel advisory's not to go to toronto. But back then we called it s.a.r.s.

03-13-2006, 01:49 PM	#66
DatingGold $6 PER EMAIL JOiN Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2003 Location: California Posts: 13,185	This is the exact reason I have bought EMFp stock. They make a mask that protects humans from bird flu and otehr airbourne diseases. __________________ 9 Years of SOLID payouts and conversions! ADULT DATING - $100 PPS LIVE CAMS - $214 PPS WWW.DATINGGOLD.COM ICQ: 27442303

03-13-2006, 02:00 PM	#67
Luc Confirmed User Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: Houston Posts: 1,130	i sale short bird flu vaccine. $5 for 1 tablet. $10 for 2. i throw in free vitamins. __________________ » Looking for Type-in domais? Page Rank domains? Alexa domains? Popular domains? » Domain Research Tool can scan hundreds of thousands of domains to find whatever you're looking for. » Auto-appraise domains and send automated domain offers in bulk with just one click. » Full support for Proxy Servers and International Overture. Try it Free.

03-13-2006, 02:00 PM	#68
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03-13-2006, 08:06 PM	#71
Greg B So Fucking Banned Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: EARTH (for the time being) Posts: 7,014	Oh this is fucked up! ABC evening news states that the 2nd variant of the bird flu virus is faster and more lethal. Because of this second mutation the first vaccine is now useless. The first wave will hit Alaska in as little as three weeks and then be fully in the lower 48 states by August. Just in time to fuck up all the birds that will then begin to start flying south for the winter and possibly infecting all the birds in Central and S. America. Is that fucked up or what??? Because Alaska is so remote it would take experts about a month to know if it has arrived. This year is gonna be a doozy.

03-13-2006, 08:14 PM	#72
minusonebit So Fucking Banned Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: [email protected] Posts: 7,391	Ah well, the good thing is that if it does finally hit, it will reduce the world population to sustainable levels -- something even abortion hasnt managed to do yet. Bush and his buddies are out to make a buck, its nothing new for them by any strech. It very well could be that Bird Flu is just a bunch of bird shit.

03-13-2006, 09:53 PM	#75
Bob_cougar Confirmed User Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 1,935	i hope it's not yet too late before experts discover the cure to this killer disease. __________________

03-14-2006, 07:54 PM	#76
Greg B So Fucking Banned Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: EARTH (for the time being) Posts: 7,014	Sheesh! The scientist who discovered the bird flu was on ABC News tonight. Fuckin' scary what he said. to put it lightly he's got 3 months of food and water stored.

03-14-2006, 09:38 PM	#79
potter Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: Denver Posts: 6,559	I really don't understand how I see the biggest birdflu fanatics on a webmaster board. If bird flu strikes, just stay in your house sitting in front of the computer posting bullshit on gfy. Just like you do every other day of the week. __________________

03-14-2006, 10:41 PM	#80
OzMan Confirmed User Join Date: Sep 2003 Location: Los Begas Posts: 9,162	This bird flu forum has some great info, especially on what supplies to stockpile. http://www.superflutalk.com/

03-14-2006, 10:54 PM	#81
clickhappy Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Mar 2004 Posts: 4,027	holy shit! I had no idea how far it was spread already http://www.pandemicflu.gov/images/popmap.jpg

03-14-2006, 10:55 PM	#82
r-c-e Confirmed User Join Date: Jul 2002 Posts: 1,070	http://www.deadlypandemic.com

03-15-2006, 12:16 AM	#84
rodney25 Confirmed User Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,090	This bird flu issue is making me paranoid. __________________ AFFORDABLE Hosting -- Extreme Dependability -- FULL Service ICQ ME for DAMN GOOD HOSTING DEALS: 5380773

03-15-2006, 02:08 AM	#89
poondaddy Confirmed User Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Gulf Coast Posts: 211	Bird Flu can actually make you a quick buck...anyone know some good hypodermic needle manufacturers to invest in?

03-15-2006, 02:51 AM	#91
xclusive Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Buffalo, NY Posts: 35,218	On the bright side those who survive will be indoors buying porn __________________ I support MediumPimpin.com / Shemp's Outlawtgp.com /

03-15-2006, 02:53 AM	#92
Teodora Confirmed User Join Date: Feb 2006 Location: Hungary Posts: 471	still i can see a lot of old bitch feeding wild pigeons out in the parks... they are too stupid to understand the dangers of bird flu __________________ LIVE SEX AWARDS MAY 24-25, 2006 THE LARGEST WEBMASTER AND PERFORMER PRIZES EVER AWARDED - $100,000.00

03-15-2006, 03:33 AM	#94
Greg B So Fucking Banned Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: EARTH (for the time being) Posts: 7,014	Tonight's ABC News had the guy who discovered bird flu on. To put it bluntly he said two things worth alarm: 1) Worse case scenario is 50% of humanity dying from this shit 2) He and his family have 3 months worth of food and water stored up. The second one emphasizes what a top scientist like him feels about the situation.

03-15-2006, 06:17 AM	#100
Grapesoda So Fucking Banned Industry Role: Join Date: Jul 2003 Location: Montana Posts: 46,238	[3 months of food, whatever will they do after 3 months? I probably have 3 months of food in my house "just because". ** after 3 months only the fleash eating zombies will be left anyway so it won't matter I am so sick of this fucking epidemic bullshit that I wish it would come and wipe you cocksmokers out that think staying indoors with powdered milk and Tamiflu would make a fucking difference. * search 'the spanish lady' just for yucks!!