Formula for Determining Active Users - GoFuckYourself.com

FTVGirls · 12-15-2004, 11:22 AM

There is a formula I use, that has worked very well in all my projects to predict where my active members will be:

Its formula of 15 for a 1000.
That is if you have an average of 15 signups a day for a quality site (decent rebilling), you should expect about 1000 active members for your site.

So to have 4000, you need to get yourself about 60 signups a day.

FTVgirls.com, when it broke 10,000 members a year ago it was doing about 150 signups a day.

Its a good way to predict where your active members will fluctuate at, or a way to create a goal eg. you want 20,000 active members? then you need 300 signups a day to reach it.

I bet though, that this formula would have been off quite a bit 4 years ago during the adult internet boom haha. But we are talking about today.

bigdog · 12-15-2004, 11:27 AM

nice to see a sponsor acutally posting how many joins they do a day

FTVGirls · 12-15-2004, 11:29 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by bigdog
nice to see a sponsor acutally posting how many joins they do a day

well... not exactly, I posted what we did approx. a year ago. Lagwagon of FTV would not like me to pass out our current figures I think haha

lagwagon · 12-15-2004, 11:45 AM

This does hold very solid. But the one thing that is not in this formula is the retention %. If a site sucks and is lacking content there will surely be a lot of chargebacks and cancellations.

XxXotic · 12-15-2004, 11:46 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by lagwagon
This does hold very solid. But the one thing that is not in this formula is the retention %. If a site sucks and is lacking content there will surely be a lot of chargebacks and cancellations.

bigdog · 12-15-2004, 12:10 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by FTVGirls
well... not exactly, I posted what we did approx. a year ago. Lagwagon of FTV would not like me to pass out our current figures I think haha

hehe proably double

FTVGirls · 12-15-2004, 12:25 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by lagwagon
This does hold very solid. But the one thing that is not in this formula is the retention %. If a site sucks and is lacking content there will surely be a lot of chargebacks and cancellations.

I said "That is if you have an average of 15 signups a day for a quality site (decent rebilling), you should expect about 1000 active members for your site." Foo

BuckLover · 12-15-2004, 12:26 PM

I think there are many other factors like content quality, initial traffic quality etc...

European Lee · 12-15-2004, 12:28 PM

Um.. isnt that the forumal for rebills?

I always thought that an active member was one who actually logged into the members area otherwise, you are just making money from them without them being active thus, have a higher percentage of getting a chargeback from an inactive member.

Regards,

Lee

Chichio · 12-15-2004, 12:42 PM

I hate you and your 10,000 members.

(actually this is for lagwagon)

Tanker · 12-15-2004, 12:45 PM

It really depends on how long your retention is if its only one or 2 months then its going to take a lot more joins per day to keep up with the cancells

xclusive · 12-15-2004, 12:46 PM

Good numbers and a heck of a program...

Stephen · 12-15-2004, 01:06 PM

"In mathematics, there is truth" - good stuff, thanks

CC · 12-15-2004, 01:30 PM

I think that's a pretty solid formula based on my experience with my own paysites.

AnaNicole · 12-15-2004, 02:27 PM

I like that formula!!

12-15-2004, 11:22 AM	#1
FTVGirls So Fucking Banned Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: Phoenix AZ Posts: 1,052	Formula for Determining Active Users There is a formula I use, that has worked very well in all my projects to predict where my active members will be: Its formula of 15 for a 1000. That is if you have an average of 15 signups a day for a quality site (decent rebilling), you should expect about 1000 active members for your site. So to have 4000, you need to get yourself about 60 signups a day. FTVgirls.com, when it broke 10,000 members a year ago it was doing about 150 signups a day. Its a good way to predict where your active members will fluctuate at, or a way to create a goal eg. you want 20,000 active members? then you need 300 signups a day to reach it. I bet though, that this formula would have been off quite a bit 4 years ago during the adult internet boom haha. But we are talking about today.

12-15-2004, 11:45 AM	#4
lagwagon Confirmed User Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: az Posts: 8,464	This does hold very solid. But the one thing that is not in this formula is the retention %. If a site sucks and is lacking content there will surely be a lot of chargebacks and cancellations. __________________ FTVGirls - FTVMilfs - DanielleFTV

12-15-2004, 12:28 PM	#9
European Lee Confirmed User Join Date: Dec 2002 Location: Daytona Beach Posts: 7,133	Um.. isnt that the forumal for rebills? I always thought that an active member was one who actually logged into the members area otherwise, you are just making money from them without them being active thus, have a higher percentage of getting a chargeback from an inactive member. Regards, Lee __________________ YOUR TRAFFIC IS SAFE WITH US - CONDOM CASH PUTTING THE GAY ADULT INDUSTRY ON YOUR PC!! AFFORDABLE 2257 COMPLIANT GAY + BI CONTENT

12-15-2004, 12:42 PM	#10
Chichio Confirmed User Join Date: Mar 2002 Location: Seattle Posts: 1,467	I hate you and your 10,000 members. (actually this is for lagwagon) __________________ Exclusive Asian Content Program - FlyHighCash

12-15-2004, 12:45 PM	#11
Tanker Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Nov 2000 Location: Oakville, Ontario, Canada Posts: 9,287	It really depends on how long your retention is if its only one or 2 months then its going to take a lot more joins per day to keep up with the cancells __________________ Tanker ICQ 3427575 CCBTools Now featured in the CCBill.com APP STORE

12-15-2004, 11:27 AM	#2
bigdog Confirmed User Join Date: Jul 2001 Posts: 6,964	nice to see a sponsor acutally posting how many joins they do a day

12-15-2004, 12:26 PM	#8
BuckLover Confirmed User Join Date: Feb 2003 Location: I'm everywhere Bitches!! Posts: 1,656	I think there are many other factors like content quality, initial traffic quality etc...

12-15-2004, 12:46 PM	#12
xclusive Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Buffalo, NY Posts: 35,218	Good numbers and a heck of a program... __________________ I support MediumPimpin.com / Shemp's Outlawtgp.com /

12-15-2004, 01:06 PM	#13
Stephen Consigliere Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 1,771	"In mathematics, there is truth" - good stuff, thanks

12-15-2004, 01:30 PM	#14
CC Confirmed User Join Date: Feb 2001 Posts: 1,690	I think that's a pretty solid formula based on my experience with my own paysites.

12-15-2004, 02:27 PM	#15
AnaNicole Confirmed User Join Date: Sep 2004 Location: PANAMA Posts: 454	I like that formula!! __________________ [email protected] This is as simple as it gets!!! 30+ products to promote....All webmasters accepted....All traffic accepted....Downloadable executables....and much more!!!