The Law of Truly Large Numbers - GoFuckYourself.com

Shoehorn! · 12-07-2004, 05:45 AM

I was just reading about this, its pretty cool. It basically explains about odds and stuff, for example, did you know that there are around 16 million other people on the planet that share the same birthday as you? When you're in Vegas, and you're at the hotel with say 50,000 other people, there will be about 134 people with the same birthday as you. Unless of course you're born on leap year, then there will only be like 34 people with the same birthday. Anyway, this shit is pretty interesting. Now I have something else interesting for you, I am going to sleep.

Violetta · 12-07-2004, 05:50 AM

I know ONE person that has the same birthday as I do. 9 of April

robfantasy · 12-07-2004, 05:53 AM

i sometimes wonder how many people in a large crowd has killed someone before. like someone standing next to you in line at the bank

Shoehorn! · 12-07-2004, 05:53 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Rockatansky
I know ONE person that has the same birthday as I do. 9 of April

Well, according to the law of truly large numbers, you don't know enough people, that should be reason enough to make the trip to Vegas for Internext.

Either that, or you know a lot of people, but you just don't know when everyones birthday is.

Shoehorn! · 12-07-2004, 05:59 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by robfantasy
i sometimes wonder how many people in a large crowd has killed someone before. like someone standing next to you in line at the bank

Actually, the odds of that would be very easy to find, on average. Obviously a place like Hawaii or another state with a large military population would have higher odds, but I think overall you could just find the numbers on how many people have served in battle over the last 60 or so years, find out how many people have died in all the battles in those 60 years while fighting the army from the country those people are from, and so on and etc. I am too tired to type anymore, but you get the idea.

enter » · 12-07-2004, 06:17 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by TheSmutPeddlerDOTcom
Actually, the odds of that would be very easy to find, on average. Obviously a place like Hawaii or another state with a large military population would have higher odds, but I think overall you could just find the numbers on how many people have served in battle over the last 60 or so years, find out how many people have died in all the battles in those 60 years while fighting the army from the country those people are from, and so on and etc. I am too tired to type anymore, but you get the idea.

Yeah, but there's probably more straight up murderers on the street than ex military. Good point though and cool post.

Fukeneh · 12-07-2004, 06:19 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by enter »
Yeah, but there's probably more straight up murderers on the street than ex military. Good point though and cool post.

i think there are more killers in/from the military, between vietnam and WWII.

yuvalus · 12-07-2004, 06:29 AM

yes it's called "the Bday problem"
is tates that in a room of 30 people there's 50% change that someone will have the same Bday like you!

Little King · 12-07-2004, 06:44 AM

I used to know someone with the same birthday as me. Everyone used to go to her party! Sucks.

Libertine · 12-07-2004, 07:38 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by yuvalus
yes it's called "the Bday problem"
is tates that in a room of 30 people there's 50% change that someone will have the same Bday like you!

Wrong on all accounts. In a group of 30 people, assuming birthdays are distributed equally through the year (which they aren't) chances of 1 birthday being shared by at least 2 of them is ~70%. In a group of 23, the chance is ~23%.

However, the chance of someone in a group of 30 sharing your specific birthday is obviously far smaller.

Quote:

Originally posted by TheSmutPeddlerDOTcom
I was just reading about this, its pretty cool. It basically explains about odds and stuff, for example, did you know that there are around 16 million other people on the planet that share the same birthday as you? When you're in Vegas, and you're at the hotel with say 50,000 other people, there will be about 134 people with the same birthday as you. Unless of course you're born on leap year, then there will only be like 34 people with the same birthday. Anyway, this shit is pretty interesting. Now I have something else interesting for you, I am going to sleep.

Wrong. There are seasonal variations, so some birthdays are less common than others.

Tuga · 12-07-2004, 07:51 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Little King
I used to know someone with the same birthday as me. Everyone used to go to her party! Sucks.

Fukeneh · 12-07-2004, 07:54 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by punkworld
Wrong on all accounts. In a group of 30 people, assuming birthdays are distributed equally through the year (which they aren't) chances of 1 birthday being shared by at least 2 of them is ~70%. In a group of 23, the chance is ~23%.

However, the chance of someone in a group of 30 sharing your specific birthday is obviously far smaller.

Wrong. There are seasonal variations, so some birthdays are less common than others.

interesting post.

Theo · 12-07-2004, 07:57 AM

You know a million people die everyday breathin' in second hand smoke

Libertine · 12-07-2004, 07:58 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by punkworld
In a group of 23, the chance is ~23%.

Obviously, this was a typo. In a group of 23, the chance is ~50%.

Meta Ridley · 12-07-2004, 08:07 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by TheSmutPeddlerDOTcom
I was just reading about this, its pretty cool. It basically explains about odds and stuff, for example, did you know that there are around 16 million other people on the planet that share the same birthday as you? When you're in Vegas, and you're at the hotel with say 50,000 other people, there will be about 134 people with the same birthday as you. Unless of course you're born on leap year, then there will only be like 34 people with the same birthday. Anyway, this shit is pretty interesting. Now I have something else interesting for you, I am going to sleep.

Did you know your post has put me to sleep.

12-07-2004, 05:45 AM	#1
Shoehorn! Die With Your Boots On Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: Hawaii Posts: 22,872	The Law of Truly Large Numbers I was just reading about this, its pretty cool. It basically explains about odds and stuff, for example, did you know that there are around 16 million other people on the planet that share the same birthday as you? When you're in Vegas, and you're at the hotel with say 50,000 other people, there will be about 134 people with the same birthday as you. Unless of course you're born on leap year, then there will only be like 34 people with the same birthday. Anyway, this shit is pretty interesting. Now I have something else interesting for you, I am going to sleep. __________________

12-07-2004, 05:50 AM	#2
Violetta Affiliate Join Date: Jul 2004 Posts: 28,735	I know ONE person that has the same birthday as I do. 9 of April __________________ M&A Queen

12-07-2004, 05:53 AM	#3
robfantasy Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Jun 2002 Location: Medellin, Colombia Posts: 6,445	i sometimes wonder how many people in a large crowd has killed someone before. like someone standing next to you in line at the bank __________________ Looking to speak w/ high volume nutra CPA affiliates or networks... msg me

12-07-2004, 06:29 AM	#8
yuvalus Confirmed User Join Date: Oct 2003 Posts: 1,906	yes it's called "the Bday problem" is tates that in a room of 30 people there's 50% change that someone will have the same Bday like you! __________________ Mail me: [email protected]

12-07-2004, 06:44 AM	#9
Little King Registered User Join Date: Oct 2004 Location: Tonbridge, England Posts: 62	I used to know someone with the same birthday as me. Everyone used to go to her party! Sucks. __________________ Ryan - Adult Content email: [email protected]

12-07-2004, 07:57 AM	#13
Theo HAL 9000 Industry Role: Join Date: May 2001 Posts: 34,515	You know a million people die everyday breathin' in second hand smoke