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Shoehorn! 12-07-2004 05:45 AM

The Law of Truly Large Numbers
 
I was just reading about this, its pretty cool. It basically explains about odds and stuff, for example, did you know that there are around 16 million other people on the planet that share the same birthday as you? When you're in Vegas, and you're at the hotel with say 50,000 other people, there will be about 134 people with the same birthday as you. Unless of course you're born on leap year, then there will only be like 34 people with the same birthday. Anyway, this shit is pretty interesting. Now I have something else interesting for you, I am going to sleep. :glugglug

Violetta 12-07-2004 05:50 AM

I know ONE person that has the same birthday as I do. 9 of April

robfantasy 12-07-2004 05:53 AM

i sometimes wonder how many people in a large crowd has killed someone before. like someone standing next to you in line at the bank

Shoehorn! 12-07-2004 05:53 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Rockatansky
I know ONE person that has the same birthday as I do. 9 of April
Well, according to the law of truly large numbers, you don't know enough people, that should be reason enough to make the trip to Vegas for Internext. :)

Either that, or you know a lot of people, but you just don't know when everyones birthday is.

Shoehorn! 12-07-2004 05:59 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by robfantasy
i sometimes wonder how many people in a large crowd has killed someone before. like someone standing next to you in line at the bank
Actually, the odds of that would be very easy to find, on average. Obviously a place like Hawaii or another state with a large military population would have higher odds, but I think overall you could just find the numbers on how many people have served in battle over the last 60 or so years, find out how many people have died in all the battles in those 60 years while fighting the army from the country those people are from, and so on and etc. I am too tired to type anymore, but you get the idea. :glugglug

enter » 12-07-2004 06:17 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by TheSmutPeddlerDOTcom
Actually, the odds of that would be very easy to find, on average. Obviously a place like Hawaii or another state with a large military population would have higher odds, but I think overall you could just find the numbers on how many people have served in battle over the last 60 or so years, find out how many people have died in all the battles in those 60 years while fighting the army from the country those people are from, and so on and etc. I am too tired to type anymore, but you get the idea. :glugglug

Yeah, but there's probably more straight up murderers on the street than ex military. Good point though and cool post.

Fukeneh 12-07-2004 06:19 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by enter »
Yeah, but there's probably more straight up murderers on the street than ex military. Good point though and cool post.
i think there are more killers in/from the military, between vietnam and WWII.

yuvalus 12-07-2004 06:29 AM

yes it's called "the Bday problem"
is tates that in a room of 30 people there's 50% change that someone will have the same Bday like you!

Little King 12-07-2004 06:44 AM

I used to know someone with the same birthday as me. Everyone used to go to her party! Sucks.:(

Libertine 12-07-2004 07:38 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by yuvalus
yes it's called "the Bday problem"
is tates that in a room of 30 people there's 50% change that someone will have the same Bday like you!

Wrong on all accounts. In a group of 30 people, assuming birthdays are distributed equally through the year (which they aren't) chances of 1 birthday being shared by at least 2 of them is ~70%. In a group of 23, the chance is ~23%.

However, the chance of someone in a group of 30 sharing your specific birthday is obviously far smaller.

Quote:

Originally posted by TheSmutPeddlerDOTcom
I was just reading about this, its pretty cool. It basically explains about odds and stuff, for example, did you know that there are around 16 million other people on the planet that share the same birthday as you? When you're in Vegas, and you're at the hotel with say 50,000 other people, there will be about 134 people with the same birthday as you. Unless of course you're born on leap year, then there will only be like 34 people with the same birthday. Anyway, this shit is pretty interesting. Now I have something else interesting for you, I am going to sleep.

Wrong. There are seasonal variations, so some birthdays are less common than others.

Tuga 12-07-2004 07:51 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Little King
I used to know someone with the same birthday as me. Everyone used to go to her party! Sucks.:(
:1orglaugh :1orglaugh :1orglaugh

Fukeneh 12-07-2004 07:54 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by punkworld
Wrong on all accounts. In a group of 30 people, assuming birthdays are distributed equally through the year (which they aren't) chances of 1 birthday being shared by at least 2 of them is ~70%. In a group of 23, the chance is ~23%.

However, the chance of someone in a group of 30 sharing your specific birthday is obviously far smaller.




Wrong. There are seasonal variations, so some birthdays are less common than others.

interesting post.

Theo 12-07-2004 07:57 AM

You know a million people die everyday breathin' in second hand smoke

Libertine 12-07-2004 07:58 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by punkworld
In a group of 23, the chance is ~23%.
Obviously, this was a typo. In a group of 23, the chance is ~50%.

Meta Ridley 12-07-2004 08:07 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by TheSmutPeddlerDOTcom
I was just reading about this, its pretty cool. It basically explains about odds and stuff, for example, did you know that there are around 16 million other people on the planet that share the same birthday as you? When you're in Vegas, and you're at the hotel with say 50,000 other people, there will be about 134 people with the same birthday as you. Unless of course you're born on leap year, then there will only be like 34 people with the same birthday. Anyway, this shit is pretty interesting. Now I have something else interesting for you, I am going to sleep. :glugglug

Did you know your post has put me to sleep. :sleep


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