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Discuss what's fucking going on, and which programs are best and worst. One-time "program" announcements from "established" webmasters are allowed. |
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#1 |
Confirmed User
Industry Role:
Join Date: Nov 2003
Location: A secure undisclosed location...
Posts: 3,759
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![]() I will forwarn you, this is long but worth it if you're looking for a hot prospect!
Remember me if you make anything from this, it was just such a heads up like this that I made stupid money from Iridium. ![]() There is a wireless company called Motient in Lincolnshire that trades on the bulletin boards with a market capitalization of over $1B! http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=MNCP.PK Who has even heard of them locally? I know that there are some hedge funds invested in them, and they bought a firm that has a very favorable deal with the FCC and bandwidth allocation. I went to their site and did a bit of checking. My source here at Bear Stearns is a very smart guy, I can tell you that, and he knows how to read financials, but he probably does not want his name used here. A company that has $50MM in revenue (roughly) and a $1B market cap but trades on the pink sheets and is in Lincolnshire is unusual, you would have to admit! The website only lists one analyst now, Igor Volshteyn. I called him and he is now on the Investment Banking side of the house. The research analyst handling the stock is Chris Roberts of Tejas Securities Group, Inc., (512) 306-5257. I spoke to Chris and he explained what is going on with the stock. Chris explained that the value in Motient and the reason for the huge stock price increase since November is the expanded spectrum that they now have rights to. The first key date was November 8, 2004, Chris said. And guess what folks, the next key date is February 10, 2005, coming up next week!!! Chris elaborated: They own a significant chunk of wireless spectrum orders from FCC. The line has been blurred between satellite spectrum and cellular and broadband spectrum. Motient invested in MSV several years ago. November 8, 2004, was the big day, and the bigger date, Roberts says, is next week when they finalize the order Feb. 10th. The stock has gone from $10/share to $30/share since November. I asked Chris if the stock is undervalued even at $30/share and he said that yes, it is. The stock is trading at a 70% discount to traditional spectrum sale transactions and if the deal goes through, it could jump up significantly. The stock could be worth three times what it trades at now, Chris explained. Here is how he arrived at that number. If you value Motient's spectrum relative to Verizon and other carriers, that is how you get the undervaluation of Motient. Recent transactions have been at $2/MHz per POP (Population), an example that Chris cited being Verizon. "Right now, Motient trades at fifty cents per MHz per POP, about a 75% discount," Roberts said. The real opportunity is to sell the spectrum that may be worth billions and they may sell it to a major carrier and let them build it out, he indicated, since it is very costly to do your own build-outs. So, how did Motient come to own this additional spectrum?, I asked Chris. He said that MSV was originally a satellite company and they petitioned the FCC to add a cell phone component. So, they can offer voice service and with a satellite. "You get ubiquitous coverage from NYC to LA and where the cell drops off the satellite picks up," he said. No one else has that capability, he said. So when you look at the revenue and the financials, consider that the real business is the specturm holdings. If you are interested, check it out yourself or consult an expert, but please don't take my word for anything like this. And remember that Chris Roberts' point about the cost of spectrum transactions may be a long way from translating into stock price. I asked Chris if there is anything that could prevent the order from going through on the 10th of February. He said that other entities such as Cingular have expressed a concern for the ruling because it represents more competition. Cingular has lobbied the FCC to kill the ATC order and it has not succeeded in the past.
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Money NEVER $leep$... |
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#2 |
i have man boobies
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: van down by the river
Posts: 13,082
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thanks for the tip, i hope it pays off
just bought 10,000 shares because someone on gfy told me it was good
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333-765-551 |
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#3 |
Confirmed User
Join Date: Jan 2004
Posts: 2,052
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Look at United Airlines (UALAQ)
They are at $1.22 but should be $25 They reason they are down is because they went BK but have pulled out of it. The Gov't is going to bail out the retirement problems they have been having which is keeping their stock down. |
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#4 |
Too lazy to set a custom title
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Buffalo, NY
Posts: 35,218
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I have a better tip buy low sell high
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