Check this out! Think I'll be sick! Today's Zogby Poll! - GoFuckYourself.com

Centurion · 11-02-2004, 01:08 PM

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews923.html

Current prediction is TIE!
251 for Kerry
251 for Bush

and this is what fucking blows me away.
SUDDENLY, Pennsylvania is a tie! (Kerry had a 5 point lead yesterday!)
BUT..VIRGINIA is also a tie (BUSH had a 5 point lead yesterday).

EVEN electoral-vote.com shows a tie:
http://www.electoral-vote.com

Centurion · 11-02-2004, 01:11 PM

Electoral-vote.com has New Jersey suddenly a tossup!
Kerry had a big lead yesterday.
How can polls fluctuate so wildly in 24 hours?

Mr.Fiction · 11-02-2004, 01:11 PM

New Jersey is not going to Bush.

hottoddy · 11-02-2004, 01:16 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Centurion
Electoral-vote.com has New Jersey suddenly a tossup!
Kerry had a big lead yesterday.
How can polls fluctuate so wildly in 24 hours?

Because they sample such a small group of people (typically a few hundred). The ratios aren't representative enough (too many women, liberals, etc.), hence the wild swings. Electoral-vote is just using this daily polling data to predict electoral outcome.

candyflip · 11-02-2004, 01:27 PM

Here's another bit from Zogby:

Zogby has polled Bush's job approval/disapproval rating in several states. This is often a key indicator of how an incumbent will do in his reelection campaign. An approval score substantially below 50% is indicates trouble ahead. Here are the approval/disapproval scores in some key states.

Colorado 46%/54%

Florida 46%/53%

Iowa 45%/55%

Minnesota 43%/56%

New Mexico 47%/53%

Nevada 49%/51%

Ohio 43%/49%

Pennsylvania 45/55%

Wisconsin 45%/55%

Centurion · 11-02-2004, 01:42 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by candyflip
Here's another bit from Zogby:

Zogby has polled Bush's job approval/disapproval rating in several states. This is often a key indicator of how an incumbent will do in his reelection campaign. An approval score substantially below 50% is indicates trouble ahead. Here are the approval/disapproval scores in some key states.

Colorado 46%/54%

Florida 46%/53%

Iowa 45%/55%

Minnesota 43%/56%

New Mexico 47%/53%

Nevada 49%/51%

Ohio 43%/49%

Pennsylvania 45/55%

Wisconsin 45%/55%

Hey..only FOUR more to 10,000!!

I hope some state like Colorado suprises everyone and goes for Kerry!

SpikeHeel · 11-02-2004, 01:50 PM

It's only in your mind when you know you're getting sick. I've practiced that since I was in my elementary days.

Centurion · 11-02-2004, 01:52 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by SpikeHeel
It's only in your mind when you know you're getting sick. I've practiced that since I was in my elementary days.

Good. so if they SHOULD announce tonite that Bush has won, it'll only be in my mind..right?

11-02-2004, 01:08 PM	#1
Centurion Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Dec 2002 Location: SeATtle Posts: 6,033	Check this out! Think I'll be sick! Today's Zogby Poll! http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews923.html Current prediction is TIE! 251 for Kerry 251 for Bush and this is what fucking blows me away. SUDDENLY, Pennsylvania is a tie! (Kerry had a 5 point lead yesterday!) BUT..VIRGINIA is also a tie (BUSH had a 5 point lead yesterday). EVEN electoral-vote.com shows a tie: http://www.electoral-vote.com __________________

11-02-2004, 01:11 PM	#2
Centurion Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Dec 2002 Location: SeATtle Posts: 6,033	Electoral-vote.com has New Jersey suddenly a tossup! Kerry had a big lead yesterday. How can polls fluctuate so wildly in 24 hours? __________________

11-02-2004, 01:11 PM	#3
Mr.Fiction Confirmed User Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: Free Speech Land Posts: 9,484	New Jersey is not going to Bush. __________________ Don't be lazy, protect free speech: ACLU \| Free Speech Coalition \| EFF \| IMPA

11-02-2004, 01:27 PM	#5
candyflip Carpe Visio Industry Role: Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: New York Posts: 43,064	Here's another bit from Zogby: Zogby has polled Bush's job approval/disapproval rating in several states. This is often a key indicator of how an incumbent will do in his reelection campaign. An approval score substantially below 50% is indicates trouble ahead. Here are the approval/disapproval scores in some key states. Colorado 46%/54% Florida 46%/53% Iowa 45%/55% Minnesota 43%/56% New Mexico 47%/53% Nevada 49%/51% Ohio 43%/49% Pennsylvania 45/55% Wisconsin 45%/55% __________________ Spend you some brain. Email Me

11-02-2004, 01:50 PM	#7
SpikeHeel Confirmed User Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: Venus Posts: 1,531	It's only in your mind when you know you're getting sick. I've practiced that since I was in my elementary days. __________________ 100% exclusive fetish content - 60% recurring CCBill program No pop-ups – No traffic leaks – No cross sells – Hosted galleries – Promo content - Free Hosting - ICQ: 228585136