Obama: 237 - Romney: 196 - Toss-up: 105 - GoFuckYourself.com

Barefootsies · 09-26-2012, 05:16 AM

Electoral College Projections have Obama with a decent lead. It all comes down to the swing states.

SOURCE

Helix · 09-26-2012, 05:37 AM

It all depends on how they weight or skew the data. It is interesting.

Freaky_Akula · 09-26-2012, 05:55 AM

Qbert · 09-26-2012, 06:38 AM

Historically this poll has been highly accurate. It's a composite of multiple polls which reduces the margin of error.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...llege_map.html

BFT3K · 09-26-2012, 08:35 AM

http://electoral-vote.com/

BFT3K · 09-26-2012, 09:07 AM

Love her or hate her, this article is amazing...

Click to read

SmutHammer · 09-26-2012, 10:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Freaky_Akula

Why post these ads, If he is a candidate He isn't even in the race. If you vote for him, It just means your vote goes nowhere...

crockett · 09-26-2012, 11:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ed Hammer

Why post these ads, If he is a candidate He isn't even in the race. If you vote for him, It just means your vote goes nowhere...

Your vote goes no where anyway. Voting is just something to trick us into thinking our voices matter. The electoral college decides the president and those are usually tallied up long before any voting takes place.

bronco67 · 09-26-2012, 11:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BFT3K

Love her or hate her, this article is amazing...

Click to read

I totally agree. I personally know someone who gets all of their news from the NY Post and Fox, and thinks that Obama is the worst president in the history of the United States. Brainwashed.

kristin · 09-26-2012, 11:53 AM

I think this chart hasn't been updated lately. CNN hasn't updated theirs at all and has the same numbers. But if you look at other scoreboards they have more updated polls and show the percentages. The Huffpo's is pretty good but I always think they are a bit bias. They have Obama at 332 and Mitt at 191. Talking Points Memo is about the same as HuffPo's numbers.

Michael O · 09-26-2012, 02:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BFT3K

http://electoral-vote.com/

Super site been following it since the 2000 election.

kane · 09-26-2012, 03:13 PM

You know things aren't going good for Romney when today there was a story about how the republicans are putting together their own website that shows the "real" polling numbers. When you read how they come up with these numbers it is pretty obvious they are just making things up.

kane · 09-26-2012, 03:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JohnnyClips

I don't understand why the numbers keep changing? Doesn't make much sense

They aren't really changing and haven't changed much for months.

Check this site out. Look at the graph in the upper right hand corner. This guy is a statistician and has pretty much dead on in the last few presidential elections. He shows Obama has projecting to win between 295-315 electoral votes since the first of June. There are some jumps and dips that likely came from conventions, but overall Obama has had a steady lead for a while.

signupdamnit · 09-26-2012, 03:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ed Hammer

Why post these ads, If he is a candidate He isn't even in the race. If you vote for him, It just means your vote goes nowhere...

Ideally people would always vote for the candidate who best represents them. Although I can see why some people wouldn't. After all isn't that partly how Hitler came to power -- The votes were split three ways and in doing so it gave the Nazi party an edge? Still, ideally we would all be able to vote for the best man (or woman) regardless of the choices presented before us. I have a lot of respect for anyone who will vote for a third party and stick to their principles regardless of the pressure to do otherwise. If we all did this things would be better.

kane · 09-26-2012, 03:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ed Hammer

Why post these ads, If he is a candidate He isn't even in the race. If you vote for him, It just means your vote goes nowhere...

In a perfect world if enough people took 20 minutes out of their valuable time they spend posting about their daily bullshit activities on Facebook and watching Honey Boo Boo and read a guy like Johnson's site they might find themselves agreeing with him, or for that matter, some other third party candidate. If they then voted for that person we could be in a situation where that candidate might end up getting 5% of the popular vote which would qualify them to get the matching government money for the next election. With that money they could buy more ads and work on growing their grass roots base and potentially this 3rd party might actually make some noise.

As it sits right now my vote is pretty much useless. Obama is going to win my state easily. I can't for a million reasons bring myself to vote for Romney so I'm voting Johnson because I would like to see a 3rd party and because I am pretty libertarian and agree with him on many points.

The electoral college system is outdated and useless and it disenfranchises a lot of voters. It needs to be done away with it. If those who don't really like either Obama or Romney voted 3rd party we would have a 3rd party, but about half the people in this country are so apathetic they can't even be bothered to vote once every few years so it likely won't be happening any time soon.

baddog · 09-26-2012, 03:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Barefootsies

It all comes down to the swing states.

No kidding? How odd.

Quote:

Originally Posted by JohnnyClips

People still vote??

Smart people do.

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett

Your vote goes no where anyway. Voting is just something to trick us into thinking our voices matter. The electoral college decides the president and those are usually tallied up long before any voting takes place.

Proof or ban.

Quote:

Originally Posted by JohnnyClips

I don't understand why the numbers keep changing? Doesn't make much sense

That is because you are dumber than a lump of coal.

kane · 09-26-2012, 03:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JohnnyClips

Do not vote

We do not need "leaders" who turn around and abuse their power. Government is not their to serve and protect you!

If you do not vote and hate the government then why do you wonder why the numbers keep changing? Why are you even following this?

baddog · 09-26-2012, 04:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kane

If you do not vote and hate the government then why do you wonder why the numbers keep changing? Why are you even following this?

I answered that in the post above yours.

kane · 09-26-2012, 04:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by baddog

I answered that in the post above yours.

LoL you summed him up perfectly there.

DTK · 09-26-2012, 04:12 PM

Funny thing about Rasmussusen is they're known to be republican biased lol.

RealClearPolitics aggregate polling data has it 265-191-82.

DTK · 09-26-2012, 04:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ed Hammer

Why post these ads, If he is a candidate He isn't even in the race. If you vote for him, It just means your vote goes nowhere...

Ahh the wasted vote bullshit. Voting your beliefs is never a mistake. Holding your nose and voting for the perceived lesser of two (dem/rep) evils? Mistake IMO...

arock10 · 09-26-2012, 04:35 PM

vote for johnson if your vote doesn't matter (thanks electoral college) otherwise vote for who you want to win if you live in the few battleground states that matter

09-26-2012, 05:16 AM	#1
Barefootsies Choice is an Illusion Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2005 Location: Land of Obama Posts: 42,635	Obama: 237 - Romney: 196 - Toss-up: 105 Electoral College Projections have Obama with a decent lead. It all comes down to the swing states. SOURCE __________________ Should You Email Your Members? Link1 \| Link2 \| Link3 Enough Said. "Would you rather live like a king for a year or like a prince forever?"

09-26-2012, 05:37 AM	#2
Helix Confirmed User Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: Michigan Posts: 5,973	It all depends on how they weight or skew the data. It is interesting. __________________ Free jscott !!! Free OneHungLo !!! Free Baddog !!!

09-26-2012, 05:55 AM	#3
Freaky_Akula Confirmed User Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 3,670	__________________

09-26-2012, 11:53 AM	#10
kristin GOO! Industry Role: Join Date: Sep 2002 Location: Back Home : ) Posts: 9,768	I think this chart hasn't been updated lately. CNN hasn't updated theirs at all and has the same numbers. But if you look at other scoreboards they have more updated polls and show the percentages. The Huffpo's is pretty good but I always think they are a bit bias. They have Obama at 332 and Mitt at 191. Talking Points Memo is about the same as HuffPo's numbers. __________________ Vacares rules. "Usually only fat guys have the kind of knowledge and ability that Kristin has." Last edited by kristin; 09-26-2012 at 11:55 AM..

09-26-2012, 04:12 PM	#20
DTK Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: The 510 Posts: 4,545	Funny thing about Rasmussusen is they're known to be republican biased lol. RealClearPolitics aggregate polling data has it 265-191-82. __________________ Arguing whether the Democratic or Republican party is better is like debating which steaming pile of shit is slightly less stinky.

09-26-2012, 06:38 AM	#4
Qbert Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Jun 2004 Location: Dark Side of the Moon Posts: 813	Historically this poll has been highly accurate. It's a composite of multiple polls which reduces the margin of error. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...llege_map.html

09-26-2012, 08:35 AM	#5
BFT3K Too lazy to set a custom title Industry Role: Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: Narnia Posts: 10,764	http://electoral-vote.com/

09-26-2012, 09:07 AM	#6
BFT3K Too lazy to set a custom title Industry Role: Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: Narnia Posts: 10,764	Love her or hate her, this article is amazing... Click to read

09-26-2012, 03:13 PM	#12
kane Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Aug 2001 Location: portland, OR Posts: 20,684	You know things aren't going good for Romney when today there was a story about how the republicans are putting together their own website that shows the "real" polling numbers. When you read how they come up with these numbers it is pretty obvious they are just making things up.

09-26-2012, 04:35 PM	#22
arock10 Confirmed User Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 6,218	vote for johnson if your vote doesn't matter (thanks electoral college) otherwise vote for who you want to win if you live in the few battleground states that matter __________________ Sup