ThunderBalls

I was curious to see if the percentages of the dealer busting on Party Pokers Blackjack was in line with computer simulations of blackjack. So I played 1378 hands, which I know isnt much but I found the results to be interesting to say the least. You can draw your own conclusion but it appears to me something funny is going on. To those who will say 1300 hands isnt enough to get accurate results with I agree, but it is odd none of the results came out better than established percentages.

Here's the results:
With an ace showing dealer busted 10 out of 105 times, or about 9.5%, close to computer simulations of 11.5%.

With a 10 card showing (K Q J or 10) dealer busted only 30 times out of 420, a percentage of 7.4%.
Normal computer simulations put the dealer busting at 21% with a 10 showing.

With a 9 card showing dealer busted 30 out of 132 times, 22.7%. Computer sims put the dealer busting 22.8%.

With an 8 card showing dealer busted 11 out of 84 times, or 13%. Computer sims put the dealer busting 24.5%.

With a 7 card showing dealer busted 11 time out of 116, or 9.4%. Computer sims put the dealer busting 26.2%.

With a 6 card showing dealer busted 20 out of 80 times, or 25%. Computer sims put the dealer busting 42.3%.

With a 5 card showing dealer busted 53 out of 159 times, or 33%. Computer sims put the dealer busting 41.6%.

With a 4 card showing dealer busted 30 out of 111 times, or 27%. Computer sims put the dealer busting 39.4%.

With a 3 card showing dealer busted 20 out of 80 times, or 25%. Computer sims put the dealer busting 37.4%.

With a 2 card showing dealer busted 9 out of 91 times, or 9.8%. Computer sims put the dealer busting at 35%.

pr0

With a 2 card showing dealer busted 9 out of 91 times, or 9.8%. Computer sims put the dealer busting at 35%.

pretty high dude

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Paparazzi

that's why I don't play much bj online anymore, I mean it's hard to break even on some sites even if you get 100% deposit bonus on $200-300 and play $1 each.

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Trax

ive learned the hard way too lol
but i couldnt underline it with stats

Irrum

So weird you bring this up, I was on it last night and my dealer kept busting like 90% of the time I was a happy camper!

djroof

thanks for that!

ThunderBalls

If you're referring to the dealer busting 35% of the time with a 2 showing, I didnt come up with that number. The numbers I gave are accepted as fact derived from millions of hands ran through computers.

flashfire

I dont trust BJ online

fuzebox

I know the statistical percentages, but personally the 2 freaks me right out, deuce is the dealers ace... Can never win against at 2

ThunderBalls

Another thing I found interesting. Out of the 105 times an ace showed the dealer had bj almost 60% of the time. When only 30% of the cards are face or 10's. YMMV