Let's Make a Deal! - GoFuckYourself.com

rhizome · 10-22-2001, 12:17 PM

Suppose Lensman changed the rules of the Erasercash giveaway, and the winner is given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a McLaren F1; behind the others, donkeys. You pick a door, say number 1, and Lensman, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say number 3, which has a donkey. He then says to you, ``Do you want to pick door number 2?'' Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?

danevans · 10-22-2001, 12:36 PM

What do you have against donkeys?

Amputate Your Head · 10-22-2001, 12:38 PM

I actually prefer the donkey.

SleazyDream · 10-22-2001, 12:40 PM

isn't a donley a JACKASS?

B.Diker · 10-22-2001, 12:41 PM

how can lesman give a McLaren F1 for award ? it is over 650000$

i think you must have over 987555 sign ups to win a McLaren F1

funkmaster · 10-22-2001, 12:42 PM

... just about the same here. I´d rather have a donkey ... and than make him ride the F1 with Lens on the passengers seat ... uachahaha !!

------------------
Don't innovate - imitate!
... giving away mass traffic for free !!

rhizome · 10-22-2001, 12:49 PM

Okay, for all you donkey lovers, just imagine some locomotive you really don't want in place of the donkey; and for that matter, if you don't want a McLaren F1, just substitute that with your locomotive of choice. Now, do you make the switch?

Forest · 10-22-2001, 12:51 PM

make it a goat and Serge will get involved
;-)

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<A HREF="http://www.camscash.com" TARGET=_blank>http://www.camscash.com

free</A> LIVE feeds and a Voyeur house Too

Gary · 10-22-2001, 12:51 PM

So we got choice of donkey or a train?

Amputate Your Head · 10-22-2001, 12:58 PM

Now you don't like trains either...? You're a choosy bastard ain't ya?

danevans · 10-22-2001, 01:31 PM

Can the donkey be trained to say choo-choo as a locomotive?
btw, rhizome, could you please make it easier to understand - what's the point with that *switch* question anyway?
Call me a donkey but I don't get it

rhizome · 10-22-2001, 02:00 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by danevans:
Can the donkey be trained to say choo-choo as a locomotive?
btw, rhizome, could you please make it easier to understand - what's the point with that *switch* question anyway?
Call me a donkey but I don't get it

It's just a fun math problem modelled on the game show Let's Make a Deal which offered contestants the same choice.

Hypo · 10-22-2001, 03:10 PM

Switching the choice would be a good idea. The chances of winning increase that way.

Hooper · 10-22-2001, 03:12 PM

The monty hall game is super cool.

It doesn't matter what you do because the odds remain exactly the same.

You need to get colin in on this thread

rhizome · 10-22-2001, 04:05 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Hooper:
The monty hall game is super cool.

It doesn't matter what you do because the odds remain exactly the same.

You need to get colin in on this thread

What if I told you your odds increase from 1/3 to 2/3 if you switch?

hartman · 10-22-2001, 04:30 PM

what if i told you that you are wrong?

if the problem is solved using false logic the answer is that the chance of winning increase from 0.3333.. to 0.5, however this false logic is the same one that stipulates that since all pigeons are birds, all birds are pigeons ..
(or however you spell the damn birds..)

Kimmykim · 10-22-2001, 04:31 PM

Damn I thought someone had gay tapes of Monty Hall and Bob Barker together when I saw the title to this thread...

Hooper · 10-22-2001, 04:38 PM

Actually.. you're correct. The odds of winning when you switch go up to 66%.
http://www.io.com/~kmellis/monty.html

Blame gary for getting me high before my previous post ;-))

rhizome · 10-22-2001, 04:39 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by hartman:
what if i told you that you are wrong?

if the problem is solved using false logic the answer is that the chance of winning increase from 0.3333.. to 0.5, however this false logic is the same one that stipulates that since all pigeons are birds, all birds are pigeons ..
(or however you spell the damn birds..)

That's right. False logic would dictate that switching would increase your chances to .5 but correct math dictates that switching increases your chances to 2/3. I'm telling you, if you're ever faced with this problem in real life, then SWITCH!

Za Ha · 10-22-2001, 04:59 PM

I wish i had a donkey..

10-22-2001, 12:17 PM	#1
rhizome Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Jan 2001 Posts: 788	Let's Make a Deal! Suppose Lensman changed the rules of the Erasercash giveaway, and the winner is given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is a McLaren F1; behind the others, donkeys. You pick a door, say number 1, and Lensman, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say number 3, which has a donkey. He then says to you, ``Do you want to pick door number 2?'' Is it to your advantage to switch your choice?

10-22-2001, 12:36 PM	#2
danevans Confirmed User Join Date: Jun 2001 Location: Europe Posts: 1,295	What do you have against donkeys?

10-22-2001, 12:38 PM	#3
Amputate Your Head There can be only one Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2001 Location: Somewhere else Posts: 39,075	I actually prefer the donkey.

10-22-2001, 12:40 PM	#4
SleazyDream I'm here for SPORT Industry Role: Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: Phone # (401) 285-0696 Posts: 41,470	isn't a donley a JACKASS?

10-22-2001, 12:41 PM	#5
B.Diker Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Oct 2001 Posts: 1,286	how can lesman give a McLaren F1 for award ? it is over 650000$ i think you must have over 987555 sign ups to win a McLaren F1

10-22-2001, 12:42 PM	#6
funkmaster So Fucking Banned Join Date: Sep 2001 Location: shell beach Posts: 7,938	... just about the same here. I´d rather have a donkey ... and than make him ride the F1 with Lens on the passengers seat ... uachahaha !! ------------------ Don't innovate - imitate! ... giving away mass traffic for free !!

10-22-2001, 12:49 PM	#7
rhizome Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Jan 2001 Posts: 788	Okay, for all you donkey lovers, just imagine some locomotive you really don't want in place of the donkey; and for that matter, if you don't want a McLaren F1, just substitute that with your locomotive of choice. Now, do you make the switch?

10-22-2001, 12:51 PM	#8
Forest Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2001 Location: Hollywood Fl. Posts: 9,005	make it a goat and Serge will get involved ;-) ------------------ <A HREF="http://www.camscash.com" TARGET=_blank>http://www.camscash.com free</A> LIVE feeds and a Voyeur house Too

10-22-2001, 12:51 PM	#9
Gary Confirmed User Join Date: Aug 2001 Location: Kimmykims couch Posts: 6,110	So we got choice of donkey or a train?

10-22-2001, 12:58 PM	#10
Amputate Your Head There can be only one Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2001 Location: Somewhere else Posts: 39,075	Now you don't like trains either...? You're a choosy bastard ain't ya?

10-22-2001, 01:31 PM	#11
danevans Confirmed User Join Date: Jun 2001 Location: Europe Posts: 1,295	Can the donkey be trained to say choo-choo as a locomotive? btw, rhizome, could you please make it easier to understand - what's the point with that switch question anyway? Call me a donkey but I don't get it

10-22-2001, 03:10 PM	#13
Hypo So Fucking Banned Join Date: Feb 2001 Posts: 1,104	Switching the choice would be a good idea. The chances of winning increase that way.

10-22-2001, 03:12 PM	#14
Hooper Confirmed User Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: A Free America Posts: 2,210	The monty hall game is super cool. It doesn't matter what you do because the odds remain exactly the same. You need to get colin in on this thread

10-22-2001, 04:30 PM	#16
hartman Registered User Join Date: Jun 2001 Location: Engelholm,Skane,Sweden Posts: 82	what if i told you that you are wrong? if the problem is solved using false logic the answer is that the chance of winning increase from 0.3333.. to 0.5, however this false logic is the same one that stipulates that since all pigeons are birds, all birds are pigeons .. (or however you spell the damn birds..)

10-22-2001, 04:31 PM	#17
Kimmykim bitchslapping zebras!!!!! Industry Role: Join Date: Jun 2001 Location: In a shack by the beach Posts: 16,015	Damn I thought someone had gay tapes of Monty Hall and Bob Barker together when I saw the title to this thread...

10-22-2001, 04:38 PM	#18
Hooper Confirmed User Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: A Free America Posts: 2,210	Actually.. you're correct. The odds of winning when you switch go up to 66%. http://www.io.com/~kmellis/monty.html Blame gary for getting me high before my previous post ;-))

10-22-2001, 04:59 PM	#20
Za Ha Confirmed User Join Date: Oct 2001 Location: Still lost Posts: 5,112	I wish i had a donkey..