what are the chances of the US attacking Iran in the near future ?
 

:warning

Nada... no valid 'excuse' right now - and no credibility.

There is only a 17% chance of it happening.

->0.

for many reasons.

do you think Iran is doing gonna go all the way and try to squeeze out goodies from all the world like Korea did in order to stop ?
at this point what do they have to lose ? they either reach nuclear ability or get enough materialistic incentives not to reach it - it seems like there is no reason to stop.
the thing that worries me as what happens if they go to far and the US actually does attack ? they are gonna blast Israel and send suicide bombers to the US

sorry I'm not trying to make this a political of propaganda thread, I have an opportunity investing in real estate in Israel ,
and Iran in war with the US changes the demographic state of the whole region and effect my decisions

what are the chances of me caring

-17.333%, repeating of course.

2nd choice has the most number of votes...

Na.. they don't need "goodies" - they *prob* want nuclear capability, tho hard to say with the "face" and bs going on with both sides.

Iran prob is *the* power in the Middle East and it's damned unhealthy having the current scenario - tho you may remember this started with puppet govts and manipulation by the west - then an orchestrated invasion etc etc - so hardly a surprise there is friction now.

Suspect over time they will cool and settle down (assuming there is no interference from elsewhere) - no country can afford to do otherwise and no reason not to, and play a role within the international community.

Seriously doubt Iran is interested in being an Israeli aggressor, tho that is prob the reason for the nuclear capability - ie they know Israel has weapons and same with Pakistan and India... not forgetting the foul relationship with the US.

It prob does to even have to reach a stage of a nuclear standoff before shit can break out there tho - smell any aggression is enough to cause an eruption in that whole region and involve a good few more counties than those involved at the moment.

It's a hard decision Zester - kinda relies on stuff we can't predict and really depends on some smart management and no bs negotiation by everyone involved - at the moment neither the US president or the Iraqi guy are helping much (in fact, the reverse). Only my :2 cents: but I'd think it could be risky yet - too unbalanced aura around the region.


PS Na :-) Doubt Iran is sending bombers to the US - tho hard to say, there are now many others who may have a wish to do so for whatever reasons/motivations - not forgetting Al Queda.

.......... ?

Bush is waiting to wait until the very end of his term to go to war, how can you have elections if in a middle of world war 3....


That's a french conspiracy theory for you, oui oui ;-)

Iran released the British hostages, so that rachets down the tension a notch. Now the clock is only two minutes from midnight, not 30 seconds.

Sounds about right to me.

With as much money as Russia and China have invested in Iran I'd say the chances are 0% - unless someone like Bush is still in office who doesnt look at the future - it would mean the end of the US if they did attack Iran - more importantly - it's already a little too late as with enriched fuel already in existence in Iran, explosions would cause contamination to too many oil fields in countries nearby - cutting off the supply to the US and other dependant countries

first thing is iran NEEDS nuclear power to fight pollution and ease dependancy on oil..

secondly, if you look at the map, we have countries and armies completely surrounding Iran.. Pakistan, India, Iraq, Afganistan.. yada yada yada..

so if the US allies in the ME refuse to 'launch' attacks from their soil, it wouldn't be much of a problem.

Regardless if Iran, Syria, Russians, and the Chinese think they can take the the Americans, i highly doubt they could take all the western powers, and south asian allies.

I don't think the americans will attack.. it would make more sense dressing our soldiers in israeli uniforms and send them in from there..

R

Won't happen unless Bush is willing to attack North Korea at the same time.

Sure... it's possible Iran genuinely does want nuclear capability for peaceful reasons - tho, gutty feeling - if I was playing a roll in managing that country - I'd sure be interested (regrettably) in establishing a nuclear potential - for very obvious reasons :-)

Only doubts are in the background where the region is fairly unstable and the now current "management" of Iran is actually "unknown" - the Prime Minister may be vocal, but he is clearly not the principle decision-maker/manager - this stays with the clerics who gained popularity thanks, once again, to interference by the west.

BTW.. Hope all is well at SBR and best regards to Vince :winkwink:

the US can't. they have the power but not the legitimacy and Iran can go along way in it's current path, it is inevitable that Iran becomes powerful as long as it doesn't give a shit about clowns like bush trying to stay number 1.
I think you all will be better accepting Iran's rise to power instead of denying it.
it time you will see a powerful Iran is a good thing for the world.
give it a chance.

All is well, and i'll let him know :)

Yea, i have a gutty feeling too.. so does the rest of the world. The problem is, we're making ourselves seem MORE arrogant handling affairs that the region can probably handle themselves.. we can't keep attacking countries because they want what most western powers have

R

Not a chance, why too much at stake going that route

US should stop playing pussy fights. Bomb the shit out of Iran , and must show who is worlds superpower.

Dimplomacy doesn't work with lunatics. I don't know what they are waiting.