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-   -   Why the housing market will continue to crash (pic) (https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=603359)

mb 04-28-2006 11:09 AM

Why the housing market will continue to crash (pic)
 
Too many people getting in way over their heads are now being forced to sell...

http://photos1.blogger.com/blogger/4...031159_P03.jpg

This 3 bed/2.5 bath 2,482 sqft property in San Elijo Hills, a master planned community in San Marcos, North County San Diego, was purchased June 2005 for $750,000. After 10 months of subsiding on frozen burritos and watching TV from the 13 inch set back from the college dorm years, this proud homeowner finally started missing her payments and a notice of default was issued on 3/2006. Of course, the loan was a zero down, 80/20 loan with the 1st being $600,000 and the 2nd at $150,000.

This property is currently on sale for $779,750, listed since 4/10/06. FYI, the original owners bought this home in 11/2001 for $387,000 and sold it for a 90% profit over a 3.5 years of holding time. Apparently past performances do not guarantee future earnings and sometimes it is a bit too late to get into real estate.

QualityMpegs 04-28-2006 11:17 AM

Well, at least I will be buying a house once prices have dropped quite a bit. I should be buying a first home this summer.

clickclickclick 04-28-2006 11:26 AM

as long as ur not the last moron holding it, thats all that really matters.

fuck the market.

white-rob-like-whoa 04-28-2006 11:30 AM

Hahaha.. nice TV... even when I had a small living room I had a MASSIVE tv...

dynastoned 04-28-2006 11:31 AM

i predict mass foreclosure up the ass in the very near future. too many people on $50k a year income buying houses for $350k+..

CheneyRumsfeld 04-28-2006 11:33 AM

buying opportunity

clickclickclick 04-28-2006 11:34 AM

why are y'all so stupid

a slow market just means you gotta work harder to sell ur place.

geeze real estate is a slow market because its INDIVIDUALLY based.

SolidScripting 04-28-2006 11:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CheneyRumsfeld
buying opportunity


coming to a theater near you


:thumbsup


let's just hope the correction isn't TOO severe

dynastoned 04-28-2006 11:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CheneyRumsfeld
buying opportunity

damn straight. :thumbsup

DaddyHalbucks 04-28-2006 11:43 AM

Rhode Island leads the nation in foreclosures.

We had a huge run-up in prices --and now the decline.

Barefootsies 04-28-2006 12:08 PM

It's about time that realty market adjusted. They've been driving everything to the moon for years. It's time for it to become more realistic.

As for me.. a perfect buying opportunity is just around the corner.

:thumbsup

Sosa 04-28-2006 12:34 PM

some peple are just fucking stupid getting loans they know damn well they can't afford.

Furious_Female 04-28-2006 12:49 PM

lol I have that same Sony trinitron... used to be our kitchen TV, Sony does make the best TVs

But anyway, yeah... real estate prices continue to be out of control in NY... a widowed lady down the road from here sits with a small $179k house on the market asking/expecting $400k for it :1orglaugh My area is a rural, under developed, under advanced area 100 miles north of the city... I point and laugh when we drive by.

SilentKnight 04-28-2006 12:56 PM

Real estate is booming in our area lately....big time. Houses comparable to ours on the street are going for 60-80k higher than what we originally paid for ours 5 years ago. For a small town with a lacklustre economy - that's pretty good these days.

Manowar 04-28-2006 12:57 PM

thats one tiny tv

marketsmart 04-28-2006 01:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SilentKnight
Real estate is booming in our area lately....big time. Houses comparable to ours on the street are going for 60-80k higher than what we originally paid for ours 5 years ago. For a small town with a lacklustre economy - that's pretty good these days.

when the market does correct itself, it will be the areas that have had the largest growth that will be hit the hardest. california, arizona, nevada, etc..

slow growth areas like yours will not be as effected.. :2 cents:

mb 04-28-2006 01:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SilentKnight
Real estate is booming in our area lately....big time. Houses comparable to ours on the street are going for 60-80k higher than what we originally paid for ours 5 years ago. For a small town with a lacklustre economy - that's pretty good these days.


Yes, booming over the last 5 years. But no market is heading north these days. Everything is correcting itself. You see reports on median prices going up, but that's year-over-year which doesn't mean squat when looking at today's market. Inventory is what needs to be looked at. San Diego just set a new record for the most number of homes on the market EVER.

$5 submissions 04-28-2006 01:28 PM

Should be interesting to see how the market looks in about a year.

Dagwolf 04-28-2006 01:30 PM

To hell with houses, buy LAND! It's a limited edition collectible. They're not making it anymore.

Enema 04-28-2006 03:51 PM

The market around here booms every 10 years.

Just had a boom, so no more buying for 5 years. Time to throw cash at shares/stocks.

Violetta 04-28-2006 03:55 PM

haha... love that tv-rig

chaze 04-28-2006 03:59 PM

Ha funny stuff.

But it depends on the area, some spots will always go up no matter what the market does.

That's where I invest.

80/20 on a $750 house, shit that's crazy.

must of been $4000 a month interest only. :1orglaugh

woj 04-28-2006 04:09 PM

can't wait for the prices to drop so I can pick some RE up myself...

RayBonga 04-28-2006 05:05 PM

http://www.palmtrees.ws/blog/entry-i...ing_bubble.gif

SilentKnight 04-28-2006 05:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RayBonga


:1orglaugh :1orglaugh

Good one :thumbsup

xNetworx 04-28-2006 05:09 PM

Scottsdale is getting waaaaaaaaaaaay overpriced. My buddy just bought a 1300 sq foot condo for 600k... preconstruction!! Granted its very modern and nice but still.. its fucking Arizona!

Scott McD 04-28-2006 05:10 PM

We are trying to find a place just now, but the prices are ridiculous...

SilentKnight 04-28-2006 05:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mb
Yes, booming over the last 5 years. But no market is heading north these days. Everything is correcting itself. You see reports on median prices going up, but that's year-over-year which doesn't mean squat when looking at today's market. Inventory is what needs to be looked at. San Diego just set a new record for the most number of homes on the market EVER.

That may be true in some locales, no doubt. Here locally the buyers are outnumbering the sellers 2:1 - one of our neighbours had 11 bids on their house and it sold within 4 days of being listed.

I'm just baffled what's fueling it lately. All the major industry has pulled out in recent years. The only employment left is mostly service sector crap (Burger King - min. wage). Mostly its considered a bedroom community, with commuters heading elsewhere each day.

Mind you - its a nice peaceful and quiet town and central to a lot of popular tourist destinations. Very little crime. Ideal place to raise kids.

$5 submissions 04-28-2006 05:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RayBonga

Hilarious! Any pics of "Mr. Internet Bubble"? When he popped back in 2000, I lost my dot bomb job and pushed me into webmastering full time :thumbsup

Drake 04-28-2006 05:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chaze
Ha funny stuff.

But it depends on the area, some spots will always go up no matter what the market does.

That's where I invest.

80/20 on a $750 house, shit that's crazy.

must of been $4000 a month interest only. :1orglaugh

Makes you wonder how she was able to secure that mortgage. I guess she made a really good income but had no savings at all to lean on, or lost her job.

minusonebit 04-28-2006 09:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mb
Too many people getting in way over their heads are now being forced to sell...

http://photos1.blogger.com/blogger/4...031159_P03.jpg

This 3 bed/2.5 bath 2,482 sqft property in San Elijo Hills, a master planned community in San Marcos, North County San Diego, was purchased June 2005 for $750,000. After 10 months of subsiding on frozen burritos and watching TV from the 13 inch set back from the college dorm years, this proud homeowner finally started missing her payments and a notice of default was issued on 3/2006. Of course, the loan was a zero down, 80/20 loan with the 1st being $600,000 and the 2nd at $150,000.

This property is currently on sale for $779,750, listed since 4/10/06. FYI, the original owners bought this home in 11/2001 for $387,000 and sold it for a 90% profit over a 3.5 years of holding time. Apparently past performances do not guarantee future earnings and sometimes it is a bit too late to get into real estate.


Fuck, people really are stupid. There is little if any hope for the human race these days.

latinasojourn 04-28-2006 11:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mb
Too many people getting in way over their heads are now being forced to sell...

http://photos1.blogger.com/blogger/4...031159_P03.jpg

This 3 bed/2.5 bath 2,482 sqft property in San Elijo Hills, a master planned community in San Marcos, North County San Diego, was purchased June 2005 for $750,000. After 10 months of subsiding on frozen burritos and watching TV from the 13 inch set back from the college dorm years, this proud homeowner finally started missing her payments and a notice of default was issued on 3/2006. Of course, the loan was a zero down, 80/20 loan with the 1st being $600,000 and the 2nd at $150,000.

This property is currently on sale for $779,750, listed since 4/10/06. FYI, the original owners bought this home in 11/2001 for $387,000 and sold it for a 90% profit over a 3.5 years of holding time. Apparently past performances do not guarantee future earnings and sometimes it is a bit too late to get into real estate.


interesting. i hope the prior owners did not carry the 2nd DT. if they did they did not get 90% profit, and unless they they traded up or did tax deferred exhange they might not have done very well at all.

very risky for sellers to do OWC with highly leveraged buyers.

Matt_WildCash 04-29-2006 12:52 AM

Yep same thing happened here in Australia, Double x 100 % price rise over 8 years amazing. When it dried up our share market went through the roof.

Now that the USA is slowing in the house market look for the USA share market to hit record highs over the coming 2 years.

$5 submissions 04-29-2006 08:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Matt_WildCash
Yep same thing happened here in Australia, Double x 100 % price rise over 8 years amazing. When it dried up our share market went through the roof.

Now that the USA is slowing in the house market look for the USA share market to hit record highs over the coming 2 years.

Good point. The reverse happened in 2000 when the Net bubble burst, people pulled out of stocks into housing. It might be time to go the other way again.

Kevin - The PNN 04-29-2006 09:52 PM

Yup - most people are house poor. They live paycheck to paycheck.

Choppa 04-30-2006 01:13 AM

yeah we had a similair surge here between 2002-2005 where home prices surged 90%...this is no gaurantee in this current economical crisis though

mb 04-30-2006 05:52 AM

Part of the problem is the print media. They spin the stories to reflect a "soft landing" or a "return to normal". This is simply not true. Things are tanking and inventories across the country are at record levels. They spin the stories because real estate related advertising is the largest % of ad revenue for newspapers.

marc

OldSchoolJim 04-30-2006 05:56 AM

I have been out looking since december...and i have seen MANY of the same houses STILL up for sale.....RE agent says 4 months is now the average in my part of Fla....lots of "reduced" signs is peeps yards....


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