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Gut Feeling On 2257 Enforcement?
i finally gave in - i was always one as a kid to succumb to peer pressure so it's time for my 2257 thread.
as most people know 2257 has been around a long time and was never enforced - i've yet to hear or see of any XXX movie studio, web company, content provider/producer who has ever had that knock at the door for a 2257 compliance inspection. i think with these yahoos in government most people are pretty sure there will be some activity. but how much? do you think there's already an order from the Attorney General to do a certain number of inspections within a certain period of time? 100? 200? 500? whacha think - how widespread is this attack on porn going to be? i have no idea. |
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George Bush is going to put all of us out of business. He's just taking his time doing it.
2257 is the end of the world, the sky is falling, get out now while you can! |
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DOJ brings in entry level people to knock on doors to inspect. They gotta be getting 40K a year or so in salary, right? And if they all live in Washington, DC...there's travel and living expenses to be covered...so let's say there's 10 DOJ guys doing this, they're at what...1 million a year to enfoce 2257? And assuming there's 10 guys, how long will it take before they knock on your door? Imagine how long it's gonna take to inspect, say, JUST Anabolic's records for the last few years...or Red Lights. So what does this turn into...a lottery? If you get picked for whatever reason...you better be ready. And geographics. I mean, if you're in, say, Seattle....but the DOJ knows the majority of the biz is in LA...does that mean you're "safe" in Seattle, but if you're in LA, get ready? Really, when you start thinking hard about this, it almost makes your head spin. |
They are already understaffed. There is no way they could hope to ever inspect everyone. I'd expect them to hit larger companies, companies that promote teens, or companies that someone brings to their attention.
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Thank God McDonalds is hiring.
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What if they were to go after 25-50 of the biggest adult companies (online and off) in a set of raids across the country. The trickle down fear after that kind of bust (and they will find reason to bust some people) would shake up the whole industry.
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I am leaning more towards an operation such as what was conducted in the 80's with miporn. Right after the regs go into effect a fairly massive and well organized swoop in coast to coast of a pre-compiled list of companies all on one day, and if history is a guide it will be on friday as well. |
What if this, what if that. We are ready just in case.
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I'm going to booby trap my doors and windows and make them come in after me. I'm going out like a SOLDIER!!!
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i suspect they will be going after small webmasters, too - because the government guys will look good if they can win on some of these cases fast. so those of us who can't afford the lawyer bills - and they'll be hefty - will have to take a plea. and then the gov can say "we closed X many pornsites" - it would cost them the least, and get some precedents going.
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Mutt,
Do not worry we are ready and getting excited to start enforcing |
To anyone interested in "guesstimating" the likely effect of 2257, I would say look beyond the plausible number of inspections, and look beyond the number of actual prosections likely to result from such inspections.
Obviously, for a company to find itself the direct subject of DOJ interest is the worst way to be affected by 2257. But let us not forget the lessons of Nipplegate. Only CBS/Viacom was fined -- but how many other companies were ultmately "touched" by what CBS/Viacom did, for having to worry about FCC actions, as mere contingencies. We need only to look at the thread activity on this board since the law was signed last week to know that we are already being affected. The disruption of "business as usual", simply for having this all to think about, could easily prove more costly to the industry -- in preemptive legal fees, anticipatory reconfiguration of operations, and the consequences of appearing to other businesses (outside of Adult) that we are under siege and a liability to work with. I'll quote myself from XBIZ Quote:
j- |
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It doesn't really matter who wins, you loose. |
my gut feeling is that you will not see random inspections.
you will see targeted inspections of producers they want to pinch. and the 2257 violation will be the leverage needed to get the plea. you have to understand something, this isn't going to be brain surgery. all they need to do is go to the web, see that ex: iforcedfuckedmygirlandmadeherdrinkpiss.com does not have proper 2257 posted on his site, and they go visit him. they already know he has a technical violation of 2257 by just going online and looking at his site. and the thing about flying enforcement agents all over the country? no, each state has it's own federal offices, by district. the 2257 busts are EASY to get done. |
I'd like to make a comment. We were among the first to consult with a certain attorney about adult laws. He now is the main one in the industry. We still listen to what he has to say, but I take it with a grain of salt. His job is to make money. The only way he can make money is to go to court. He has warned us of things over the years that had us in a full panic....and then nothing ever happened.
Not to say it won't happen or that anybody should stick their heads in the sand. But we all need to be VERY low key. Eventually they WILL shut us all down. But it ain't gonna be from 2257 forms or watersports or fisting or any of the other hundred things I was warned were going to happen and never did. You have to use common sense. The govt. has a couple of options to put us out of business. I have seen it happen locally with topless bars. The first thing they try is raiding the clubs and shutting them down. Then it all goes to court and it's ruled to be unconstitutional to shut the clubs down. So what does the city or county or state govt. do? They start hitting the wallet. They pass law after law that requires the strip club owner to pay for a million licenses and they come up with regulations (like they did in Florida where you can't serve alcohol in a club with nudity in some places)....there's NOTHING in the constitution to stop them from that. Then if that doesn't work they go for the "nuclear option" and just pull over every car that leaves the club and takes em to jail for DUI. The 2257 is an attempt to do something similar to that in my opinion. Make all of our sites look like shit with a bunch of legal jibberish written all over them. But once they get done pussy footing around, they will go for the "nuclear option" which is they will shut our income off. Without credit card processors we are all done. It's just that simple. Recently this lawyer wanted me to join in a suit against IBill. That's just crazy!!! Why on earth would any of us want to go into a courtroom and EDUCATE the government on how we make money!!!! Please believe me....we are gonna have to jump through a bunch of hoops. But they are not gonna be able to shut us down with "pornography laws" without a long long court battle which they will eventually lose. Which is what the attorneys are watering at the mouth over. No, when they decide to shut us down they will just cut off our money. Why go around busting into double wide trailers to arrest "webmasters" when all they have to do is visit CC Bill and a couple of others and we are done? And think about this...what "if" they went another way? They could technically use the constitution to say that YES nudity is free speech and fucking bitches in the ass IS our constitutional right! BUT it is illegal to charge money for it!!! We would all be working at McDonalds! LOL! |
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no, so call "porn" isn't going anywhere. too many ordinary people want to buy it. people in $1000/night suites at AAA hotels with pay per view, and homeboxoffice, and the spice channel, etc etc etc. but "porn" that is unpalatable to ordinary people (not mainstream fucking and sucking) but nasty degrading shit, will be forced from the landscape (for a while). |
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2257 violations --> obscenity pleas --> RICO --> seizures --> filling government coffers
When looking at the past doesn't help predict the future just look at the revenue trail. |
I dont think that they will go after someone like CE, Adult.com or the bigger guys. They will go after the easier targets. The ones that dont have the money to defend themselves, and more likely do not have the paper work together.
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The GFY'ers? Good stuff, we need rid of the noobs and hobbyists in this industry :thumbsup Regards, Lee |
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yes, and people should know what got them pinched. rough sex "rape" videos. |
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Canadians can't be extridited to face charges in another country for something that's not a crime in Canada. That is, if Turkey passes a law that it's illegal to have a website period, Canada won't be deporting me there to face charges. Try for once to be relevant. |
I thought Acacia already took out online adult?
Oh shit, thats right, alot of you weren't here for that! Oh well. |
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good point. it is my understanding the the people extradicted were usa citizens doing business in the USA before they moved to canada. |
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A sudden shift of economic tide...
better find anophther job early on guys! |
I think you're all going to jail. All 2257 of you.
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Personally I don't think there will be a lot of surprise inspections.. I'm thinking this will be used to go after what they consider obscene content sites.. Before they didn't win many case on obscenity so this will be their way of winning these cases.
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agreed. get'em on a technical violation ostensibly looking for child porn, then trade that conviction for an obscenity plea to please congress. politics in action. |
Some of what Gonzales wants will have to be cut from the regs..
There are some proposed laws that the 'powers that be' know can't be enforced and must be tweaked... Being an affiliate of PE Cash, I would be required to have records of every performer in every video sold on the sponsor's site.. This is impossible and not even feasible.. So I can see some of G.'s wants and wishes pulled before it's a go. |
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