Quote:
Originally posted by Mr Dickovitch
The Democrats will spend all their time and money pretending they didn't lose instead of trying to determine why they did lose. This is why they will lose the next elections too.
If you think the Republicans are the ones cheating you are insane.
http://www.washtimes.com/op-ed/20041...3921-1812r.htm
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to say that the dems will lose again in the next election is a pretty bold prediction. I often read about how the dems have no focus, no platform and no hope but, really, kerry was within 100K votes of winning and the repubs - with the same platform they have now - barely won in 2000 ( lost the popular vote and should have lost florida ) . If you look back history has shown that after 8 years of one party the people are ready for a change. There are exceptions. Bush 1 got elected after regan but regan was very very popular when he left office. I think the repubs can win again in 2008 if three things happen. 1. bush has to be very popular and have a strong job approval rating going into the election year 2. they have to come up with a strong candidate. Cheney will not run ( and could never win if he did ) so they will have to pull out someone else. I still think that sometime in the next 1-2 years cheney will step down for health reasons and be replaced by guliani and he will run in 2008 and 3. the dems would have to put up a pretty weak candidate.
The #1 reason Kerry lost is that he went hard after the young voters. Clinton did this both times he ran and it worked great, the young people voted in big numbers for him. Kerry tried to do the same. He bragged about registering 20 million first time voters and really courted the 18-22 year olds. And then on election day the young voters stayed home. Only 1 in 20 people 18-22 actually voted this year. Kerry went after the young, and the young could not be bothered to vote for either candidate.
Do the dems have some platform problems? yes. The #1 problem the party has as a whole is thier base. The repubs know thier base ( the wealthy, big business and conservative christians ) and they play to it. The dems seem to have an ever shifting base and try, with each new election, to redefine that base. For the dems to win in 2008 the first thing they need to do is define thier base and go after it in 2006. If they can elect some new senetors and congressmen in that election it will be a big step forward for them. If bush is popular, doing well and the repubs have a good candidate the dems better have the next JFK in order to win. It will be interesting to see.
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