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Kerry ISN'T Gonna Win Ohio, Here's Why

Check out the county list for Ohio -
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004//pa...001.html#39081

I'm looking at the precincts with the lowest % of reporting and seeing who's in the lead for those counties.

Well, by looking at it, Bush seems to be leading in more of counties that still have to finish reporting, so it can be assumed that in those counties, the "Bush Lead" trend will continue and he's definately gonna win those counties which give him more of a lead.

I was hoping to see a few more counties in there with strong Kerry support and like 50-80% more reporting to do, I guess that's not the case.

Kerry Won! bush funds CNN!

Ummm, after looking at that I think it is pretty safe to say that Bush will win Ohio, he has won, or is leading in every county

not sure why they haven't just predicted it. there a lot of absentee ballots out or something?

your right, Ohio is Bush. Election over

Congrats Bush

brutal... ah well...

Happy erection day !

God i hope bush doestn win ohio :(

Quote:

Originally posted by Slick
Check out the county list for Ohio -
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004//pa...001.html#39081

I'm looking at the precincts with the lowest % of reporting and seeing who's in the lead for those counties.

Well, by looking at it, Bush seems to be leading in more of counties that still have to finish reporting, so it can be assumed that in those counties, the "Bush Lead" trend will continue and he's definately gonna win those counties which give him more of a lead.

I was hoping to see a few more counties in there with strong Kerry support and like 50-80% more reporting to do, I guess that's not the case.

Only problem is Cleveland is a massive city compared to the other lower counted counties...

Bush
(Incumbent)
2,308,194 51% 0

Kerry
2,180,849 49% 0

-----

Not looking too good =/

Quote:

Originally posted by baddog
not sure why they haven't just predicted it. there a lot of absentee ballots out or something?

Didn't CNN annouced last time that, gore won FL? That might be why.. They want to be 100% sure before annoucing.

Quote:

Originally posted by baddog
not sure why they haven't just predicted it. there a lot of absentee ballots out or something?

Provisional votes come into it as well....

But Im affraid Bush has it.... :(

I noticed that earlier as well. I was just taking another look. Like mentioned the urban area has a larger population thats the last string of hope.

Bush
(Incumbent)
2,355,323 51% 0
Kerry
2,218,407 48% 0

:helpme

Quote:

The thing I am hoping is this...

Large late lines. This means large precints. The %'s you see are not of registered voters, but of precints that have turned their votes in.

So the large precints more than likely haven't turned in their votes yet. This could give a big jump in heavily democratic area.

It is the only hope I got...so i have to hold to it.

It's over if Kerry doesn't win Ohio.

Kerry's got it down to 97,000 behind in Ohio with 85% counted....down from 150K+ earlier