The only poll that matters
 

Right here:

www.electoral-vote.com

Discuss.

Currently shows Bush leading in the three major swing states -- Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florda.

I can't even belive that....
Alaska is for bush? WTF
He wants to drill the fuck out of Alaska.

Drilling the fuck out of Alaska = jobs for Alaskan people.

FUCK! :(

Is this really news to anyone? I think several of us who actually aren't living in Neverland have been saying Bush is going to win for awhile.

What surprises me is that, according to these polls, Bush is actually doing BETTER in the swing states than he was before the debate. His numbers might have gone down overall, but that really doesn't mean much if the samples were taken from states that weren't gonna vote for him anyway. State by state tallies are the only real way to know what's going on.

thats a pretty interesting site, i didnt realize bush was up by that much

Thats a predictor and does not show true data..

Wowsa!!!

"Not a lot of change in the state polls right now. I installed new software yesterday to average recent polls per state going back 30 days. There was a create hue and cry that this was a bad thing because the race is in such a state a flux that polls that old are meaningless. In the middle of the day I changed the look-back parameter to 7 days, so now only polls within the past week are used. I agree with many readers that 30 days is too much. If I were a Republican, I would have said "I am going to stay the course, even though I am wrong." Fortunately, I am a Democrat so I can flip-flop all I want. Let's see how a 7-day look-back window works. The idea was to prevent the map from changing wildly every day. Averaging introduces some stability, but also introduces lag in responding to current events. Finding the right parameter might be tricky"

I wonder what you would be saying if it showed Kerry leading