Remember when I said the Atlantic is hot this season?
 

Tropical Storm Ivan is now Hurricane Ivan, now centered about 1040 miles east of the Windward Islands. It is moving west northwest at 21 mph, and is expected to strengthen and make a slightly northward turn within the next 24 hours. This route will take it between Puerto Rico and Venezuala, carry it along the south side of the Dominican Republic and Haiti, and it is expected then to turn again northward, bringing it up through the southeast corner of Cuba and upward toward Florida. Models at this time believe it may make landfall in southern Florida by Saturday evening, but at this time there is a great deal of error margin and speculation. Updates of this information will be made as the storm progresses.




:helpme

Another one for Florida??? Holy fuck.

However, I hold out some hope. From the models I'm seeing, it looks like that last northerly turn will be northEASTERLY. This means that while it will pass close by, it will remain in the ocean as it travels north, however, it may well make landfall up the coast.

I'll keep my eye on this as well.


signed-
GFY's resident weather junkie

Here's one of the models that shows a possibility for an oceanic rather than a Floridic storm.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/graphics.../AL0904W5+GIF/

We had the same thought at the same time.:1orglaugh

http://gofuckyourself.com/showthread...adid=352105&s=

osamas weather machine at work :O

bullshit.

Osama is attacking Florida because...?:winkwink:

Ivan has just been upgraded to a category 3 hurricane:helpme

Look, where there's one Bush, there's sure to be another. Get rid of one, and the other will come to claim the body.

Jesus Christ.

So much for florida's citrus industry this season. Housing costs are going to fall like a rock, and I bet many folks relocate somewhere a bit less...ummmm...windy.

Three hurricanes within a month of each other, the last two within a WEEK of each other. Insane! :(

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/...N/sat_ir_s.gif

It's gaining strength. What you're seeing there is the most recent composite Doppler radar images of hurricane Ivan. Note the development of the eye from a weak, seemingly borderless blob to a strongly defined circle.

This one is NOT going to be fun. It's still expected to continue to strengthen, since the waters are quite warm, and the more warmth, the better the convection, (as a general rule. Very occasionally this is not the case).

Still, though, it's too early to tell which direction it will go. Most models still say it could hit Florida or just skirt it. One or two models say that if it skirts Florida, it will do so on the east, and still another couple of models suggest that it will become a Gulf storm.

Watch this one closely folks.

Hurricanes, just like floods, El Nino/La Nina, and other water related natural disasters are cyclical in nature. Give it a year or two and it will be smooth sailing again for another decade or so.

I'm guessing due to global warming in general,

hurricanes are just bound to get worse each year.