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Live Cams Question (Glass Ceiling? Math?)
This is legit business question, don't even click my sig links that's not why I'm here.
I've been increasing live cam revenue over time as I get free regs. Would you say there is no glass ceiling? For example: You work hard to get your sites going. You have some targeted and non targeted sites that send traffic steadily. Send traffic > You get free regs > convert to paying ... Repeat Assuming some free reg convert to paying and some of those rebill and some of those continue to rebill, it's safe to assume they will drop off eventually for various reasons. But I'm wondering if the overlap between acquitting new paying customers superseeds the drop offs, virtually eliminates a potential glass ceiling on sales? One Program I'm Promoing: This Year: 490 free reg / 1400 take home on one program I'm continuing to get free reg to the same tune on this one program. What would you say your prediction would be for this program next year? I'm probably going to get at least 1-3 free signups a day, so to make it easy, add another 500 free signups for the next year. Would you say add 25% to my next year's predictions? 50%? I wouldn't go higher than that. $1400 (this year) x 1.25 (my carryover and expectation rate) = 1750 (year 2) (year 3) 1750 x 1.25 = 2187.50 (year 4) 2187.50 x 1.25 = 2734.38 (year 5) 2734.38 x 1.25 = 3417.97 (year 6) 3417.97 x 1.25 = 4272.46 This is assuming everything I'm doing remains constant and no new work is being done on my sites, except to maintain them. I obviously won't sit back and watch, but I'm wondering if I'm even close to having the right idea? Thanks. |
All i see is that sign ups with the same traffic is never constant i used to get much better signups but just dropped to shit and the traffic is the same.
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What does 1.25 signify? Linear results projections are goals or pro forma.
If a 25% increase is your goal -- work toward it. In business, past performance is not an accurate predictor of future performance. Scalable factors generally considered are customer acquisition costs (maybe) and customer acquisition lifetime revenues (historicals) related to income contribution values and variable costs incurred. |
Quote:
Live Cam customers are extremely loyal when treated right. It's not uncommon for users to stick around for 5 years or even longer, meaning that even $100 a week customers are worth Tens of Thousands of dollars over time. "Whales" who fall in love with your models also stick around for a very long time (5 years or more). Just my 2 cents. |
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