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-   -   Anyone a gambler? (https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=1150285)

candidpro 09-17-2014 06:28 PM

Anyone a gambler?
 
I met a guy who is a handicapper and he claims to almost never loose. I guess the guy is a pro and that's all he does as a job, betting $10,000 or so a week. In baseball this season he says he is around 50-8, he will give me his picks for a fee so I'm wondering is it worth it? Does anyone here gamble or use someone like this? Anyone able to make money this way?

420 09-17-2014 06:30 PM

That's called a tout. Go to covers and read up. You don't need to pay for picks. Might as well flip a coin.

DBS.US 09-17-2014 06:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by candidpro (Post 20228597)
I met a guy who is a handicapper and he claims to almost never loose.

Real winners don't talk about it.:2 cents:

kane 09-17-2014 06:40 PM

The best handicappers in the world run around 58% accuracy at their best. Anyone who claims to be better than that for a long run is full of shit.

The reason they are selling their picks is because that way they can get paid when you lose.

Adult-biz 09-17-2014 06:45 PM

If his strike rate is as high as he says it is and he proofs his bets to an independent source (so everything is verified), then yes it`s absolutely worth it (depends also on what he will charge you against what you are prepared to stake so to ensure that value remains).

Betting successfully is often about value and exploiting generous bookmaker pricing on a horse/a sporting event etc.

We have much success also and only posted a thread about it yesterday - https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=1150207

Silk at ChimpoutTraffic 09-17-2014 07:41 PM

Go for it. Post them picks here ;)
I'll take UCLA

L-Pink 09-17-2014 08:01 PM

I have a system for you, guaranteed 75% success rate. Make the exact opposite bet I do.

Arnox 09-17-2014 08:08 PM

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zeljko_Ranogajec

ErectMedia 09-17-2014 08:12 PM

They don't build em based on winners. I toss money on lotto, sports, casino but only what I'm fine with losing on an occasional basis. I've seen guys drop their entire rent/mortgage payment and talk like it's a sure double up only to lose their ass. Like anything fun good in small doses but excess is a disease. :2 cents:

Jet Set Cat 09-17-2014 08:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by candidpro (Post 20228597)
says he is around 50-8

:1orglaugh:1orglaugh:1orglaugh

candidpro 09-17-2014 09:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kane (Post 20228605)
The best handicappers in the world run around 58% accuracy at their best. Anyone who claims to be better than that for a long run is full of shit.

The reason they are selling their picks is because that way they can get paid when you lose.

Well he says he doesn't bet every game, just ones he feels very strongly that he can win.

I was thinking of buying a few and just betting a few hundred to see how it is, then if they are winners, keep upping the bet. What do you guys think?

djroof 09-17-2014 11:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DBS.US (Post 20228602)
Real winners don't talk about it.:2 cents:

That's right!

kane 09-18-2014 01:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by candidpro (Post 20228681)
Well he says he doesn't bet every game, just ones he feels very strongly that he can win.

I was thinking of buying a few and just betting a few hundred to see how it is, then if they are winners, keep upping the bet. What do you guys think?

You could win. If it is a small sample size anything could happen. How much you would win depends a lot on how much you will win VS how much you bet and how often you do. A lot of people likely could pick a few games accurately here and there, but it is something that very few people can sustain over the long run.

NewOldPlayer 09-18-2014 02:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by candidpro (Post 20228597)
I met a guy who is a handicapper and he claims to almost never loose. I guess the guy is a pro and that's all he does as a job, betting $10,000 or so a week. In baseball this season he says he is around 50-8, he will give me his picks for a fee so I'm wondering is it worth it? Does anyone here gamble or use someone like this? Anyone able to make money this way?

Don't be an idiot. If his picks are that good, he wouldn't need to sell you them.

He'd be making a fortune by betting on his own picks.

Wake the fuck up.

Losers in this world always try to make money on their knowledge of nothing, hoping they will meet somebody dumber than themselves, in hopes to sell them something.

Run.

Then read some books by real authors and gain your own knowledge before you get old.

Feng-PD 09-18-2014 02:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NewOldPlayer (Post 20228804)
Don't be an idiot. If his picks are that good, he wouldn't need to sell you them.

He'd be making a fortune by betting on his own picks.

Wake the fuck up.

Losers in this world always try to make money on their knowledge of nothing, hoping they will meet somebody dumber than themselves, in hopes to sell them something.

Run.

Then read some books by real authors and gain your own knowledge before you get old.

Agree, its the same for those SEO experts out there :1orglaugh:1orglaugh

bushwacker 09-18-2014 03:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by candidpro (Post 20228597)
I met a guy who is a handicapper and he claims to almost never loose. I guess the guy is a pro and that's all he does as a job, betting $10,000 or so a week. In baseball this season he says he is around 50-8, he will give me his picks for a fee so I'm wondering is it worth it? Does anyone here gamble or use someone like this? Anyone able to make money this way?

He makes money of suckers like you. "A fool and his money are easily parted"

CurrentlySober 09-18-2014 04:18 AM

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0417217/

A very good film about this exact subject :thumbsup


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