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$5 submissions 05-19-2012 05:39 AM
Anyone here gonna SHORT FB stock in a week or so?
 
Anyone thinking of shorting FB stock in a week or so? Lots of downward pressure soon? See http://www.latimes.com/business/mone...,5818946.story

- Jesus Christ - 05-19-2012 05:42 AM
latimes.com using "epic fail" in a headline...

Can this country please just implode soon?
I'm getting tired of the slow burn.

$5 submissions 05-19-2012 05:47 AM
Quote:
This time the expected frenzy didn?t materialize. What accounts for the disappointing showing? A few things come to mind. Among the downsides of becoming a public company is that your dirty laundry gets a public airing. In the run-up to the IPO, Facebook?s linens were out on the clothesline for all to see.

There was broad coverage of the company?s slowing growth, and its difficulty in placing advertising on mobile devices, through which more than half its users access the website. It didn?t help that General Motors announced just days before the offering date that it was withdrawing all its paid advertising from Facebook out of doubts that the site is an effective advertising medium.
Another telling signal... 25% increase in shares for sale days before the IPO.

extreme 05-19-2012 08:22 AM
Not totally unlikely we'll see FB under $38 on monday...

grumpy 05-19-2012 08:27 AM
10% of current value is what you are looking for. Around $3 is still to high but then you are getting there. The crying starts Monday.

seeric 05-19-2012 09:29 AM
Anyone who knows anything about stocks and IPOs can see this is not going to materialize as hyped. I'm no stock genius, but at surface value, it would appear that they would need to grow their user base or revenues 10 times to perform at the hype elevels you're seeing. Growing the user base by even 2 or 3 times is more than the population of the earth. Lol. And well, growing revenues by ten times? There are only two ways to do that. More impressions and better CTR, whoring the member data further, and more on site aggressive advertising. There is a tolerance threshold on that though. I guess they can start charging a subscription fee monthly for an ad free Facebook. I think it's the next Groupon, even thou their business is completely different. Non tangible stock offerings just don't ever really do well for some reason.

$5 submissions 05-19-2012 12:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by seeric (Post 18954791)
Anyone who knows anything about stocks and IPOs can see this is not going to materialize as hyped. I'm no stock genius, but at surface value, it would appear that they would need to grow their user base or revenues 10 times to perform at the hype elevels you're seeing. Growing the user base by even 2 or 3 times is more than the population of the earth. Lol. And well, growing revenues by ten times? There are only two ways to do that. More impressions and better CTR, whoring the member data further, and more on site aggressive advertising. There is a tolerance threshold on that though. I guess they can start charging a subscription fee monthly for an ad free Facebook. I think it's the next Groupon, even thou their business is completely different. Non tangible stock offerings just don't ever really do well for some reason.
Exactly. VC money is probably poised on the SELL button and can't wait for the lock clock to run down....

beerptrol 05-19-2012 12:39 PM
It's still a better bet than AFF's stock


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