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Old 02-09-2009, 10:55 AM   #1
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:stop 15 Companies That Might Not Survive 2009

Who's next?

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/15-Com...-14279875.html

Interesting Article tells you which companies and why..
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Old 02-09-2009, 11:02 AM   #2
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Interesting read.
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Old 02-09-2009, 11:02 AM   #3
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Interesting, it says Chrysler might not survive 2009!
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Old 02-09-2009, 11:03 AM   #4
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Old 02-09-2009, 11:03 AM   #5
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Interesting list. Blockbuster has been a long time coming
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Old 02-09-2009, 11:21 AM   #6
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For you investment freaks::

Edward Altman came up with a scoring system that predicts bankruptcy for companies back in the 60s. It's called the Altman Z scoring system. it has better than 70% accuracy in predicting bankruptcy within 2 years. Every investment I make I run it through altman z.

Here are a few links.
Wiki. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Z-Score..._Analysis_Tool
White paper. http://www.nysscpa.org/cpajournal/old/16641866.htm
Book. http://www.amazon.com/Bankruptcy-Cre...02811&sr= 8-4
calculator. http://www.creditguru.com/CalcAltZ.shtml

This site has the altman z score calculated.
http://www.advfn.com/p.php?pid=finan...ymbol=NYSE%3AM

A few warnings I've had to discover myself.

1. It is not designed to work on financials.
2. there are two versions. One for manufacturers, one for non.
3. If a company has a large finance arm (GE, CAT) you should subtract out the financial receivables from the assets
4. You should subtract out goodwill and intangibles from assets
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Old 02-09-2009, 11:42 AM   #7
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I wonder how much the total job loss effect will be if all those companies do fail. Moreover, how many jobs will be lost due to the "multiplier effect" of the initial job losses.
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Old 02-09-2009, 11:50 AM   #8
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if you add those up its like 350.000 jobs on less then 30 companies
not good at all
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Old 02-09-2009, 11:54 AM   #9
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well thinking of it!!!!!!!!!!
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Old 02-09-2009, 11:56 AM   #10
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Sirius has been such a shame. So much potential in this arena but they just can't seem to get things off the ground. First Sirius and XM kill each other by overpaying for talent as competitors and then have to wait well over a year to merge. What a mess.

Six Flags and Blockbuster are two others I will be watching closely. Interesting times we are living in.
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Old 02-09-2009, 11:59 AM   #11
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did tube sites killed blockbuster.....(?)
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Old 02-09-2009, 12:02 PM   #12
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OMG buy Krispy kreme we can't lose them!!
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Old 02-09-2009, 12:02 PM   #13
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Never understood what the big deal about Krispy Kreme was. Yes the donuts are good but nothing that can kill the competitors who already have a market and clients that follow them day in and day out.
Krispy Kreme never had a unique product that makes them better then anyone else and with everyone going more healthy those fat filled donuts and nothing special.
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Old 02-09-2009, 12:06 PM   #14
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oh well, how it goes
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Old 02-09-2009, 12:12 PM   #15
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did tube sites killed blockbuster.....(?)
mininova, piratebay, torrentreactor, limeware, kazaa and others helped killing blockbuster....
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Old 02-09-2009, 12:20 PM   #16
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I'm the most surprised about Station Casinos, especially with how popular their two newest and biggest casinos are. The same family owns UFC as well.
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Old 02-09-2009, 12:23 PM   #17
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mininova, piratebay, torrentreactor, limeware, kazaa and others helped killing blockbuster....
price decay in dvd sales (not rental) was a partial reason too.
If Warner/Disney/Paramount/Universal are blowing out their top dvds at 1$ to 5$, why would you rent a dvd still?
The cheap VOD on TV & the internet did most of the rest for rental stores.
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Old 02-09-2009, 12:26 PM   #18
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Sirius has been such a shame. So much potential in this arena but they just can't seem to get things off the ground. First Sirius and XM kill each other by overpaying for talent as competitors and then have to wait well over a year to merge. What a mess.

Six Flags and Blockbuster are two others I will be watching closely. Interesting times we are living in.
Yep, when Sirius and XM were competing they overpaid for talent for sure. Stern is worth what they paid him because he brought with him millions of subscribers, but they paid people like Martha Stewart and Oprah and Jamie Foxx millions and I doubt they brought in many new subscribers and now they are stuck with those contracts.
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Old 02-09-2009, 12:28 PM   #19
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Never understood what the big deal about Krispy Kreme was. Yes the donuts are good but nothing that can kill the competitors who already have a market and clients that follow them day in and day out.
Krispy Kreme never had a unique product that makes them better then anyone else and with everyone going more healthy those fat filled donuts and nothing special.
seriously? you can't BEAT that fucking sugar waterfall!

dunkin donuts is ALL day old SHIT, krispy kreme is fresh off the donut conveyor belt!

any time I pass a krispy kreme with that light lit up, I stop and get a dozen

the issue with them though, is that everyone, but the south, is trying to be healthy, so that knocks sugar waterfalls and fried dough out of most diets
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Old 02-09-2009, 12:30 PM   #20
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I just pillaged my local Rite Aid during their going out of business sale.
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Old 02-09-2009, 12:59 PM   #21
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Interesting read.
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Old 02-09-2009, 01:22 PM   #22
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Interesting, it says Chrysler might not survive 2009!
That's a pity but we still gonna have the cars
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Old 02-09-2009, 01:38 PM   #23
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price decay in dvd sales (not rental) was a partial reason too.
If Warner/Disney/Paramount/Universal are blowing out their top dvds at 1$ to 5$, why would you rent a dvd still?
The cheap VOD on TV & the internet did most of the rest for rental stores.
Yep. When a new movie comes out on DVD many places will put it on sale for around $15. Blockbuster now charges $5 per rental. I know a lot of people who don't rent anymore, they just buy the movie. Also, they used to make a killing with late fees. When they got rid of that it had to hurt them.
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Old 02-09-2009, 01:39 PM   #24
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fuck those companies i want my income to continue
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Old 02-09-2009, 02:01 PM   #25
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Yep. When a new movie comes out on DVD many places will put it on sale for around $15. Blockbuster now charges $5 per rental. I know a lot of people who don't rent anymore, they just buy the movie. Also, they used to make a killing with late fees. When they got rid of that it had to hurt them.
They should set up something where you can download a movie for say 3 bucks and it will "expire" in 7 days or whatever from the download date. Dvd's can be ripped anyways so even if people make copies its not much different than what is going on now.
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Old 02-09-2009, 02:04 PM   #26
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did tube sites killed blockbuster.....(?)
I'd say Netflix did
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Old 02-09-2009, 02:12 PM   #27
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I'd say Netflix did
Yep - Netflix made the more convenient model and Blockbuster took absolutely forever to come out with their own version of it. Another instance of internet killing brick & mortar.

The one that amazes me on that list is Rite Aid. For a long time it seemed like almost every pharmacy around here was a Rite Aid, and Rite Aid's here are typically a lot bigger than CVS, so they just seemed to be doing pretty well. I guess Walmart entering the prescription market spelled bad news for pharmacies everywhere though.
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Old 02-09-2009, 02:36 PM   #28
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mininova, piratebay, torrentreactor, limeware, kazaa and others helped killing blockbuster....
Quote:
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Yep. When a new movie comes out on DVD many places will put it on sale for around $15. Blockbuster now charges $5 per rental. I know a lot of people who don't rent anymore, they just buy the movie. Also, they used to make a killing with late fees. When they got rid of that it had to hurt them.
All positive things on rental stores, just one was always negative; "late fees".
I hated those all the time
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Old 02-09-2009, 03:03 PM   #29
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No, not sbarro!!!!
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Old 02-09-2009, 03:05 PM   #30
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The drop in stock prices, is astounding.
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Old 02-09-2009, 03:09 PM   #31
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Half of them used to be the darlings of the stock market. Crazy.
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Old 02-09-2009, 03:14 PM   #32
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intersting info
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Old 02-09-2009, 03:15 PM   #33
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All positive things on rental stores, just one was always negative; "late fees".
I hated those all the time
I agree. I hated late fees. You were 10 minutes late getting a movie back and it cost you an extra days rental. I think that is what drove a lot of people to buy them. They figured if they rent it and are a day late taking it back it will cost them nearly the same as if they had bought it.
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Old 02-09-2009, 03:17 PM   #34
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I'd say Netflix did
For sure. Now for about $9 a month you can get a movie a week (or maybe even more) delivered to your house and you can watch a ton of movies online. It is a pretty good bargain for movie lovers.
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Old 02-09-2009, 03:18 PM   #35
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interesting for sure, there are big names included ... but why is there sirius, they have merged with xm already or not?
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Old 02-09-2009, 03:22 PM   #36
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Who would have thunk
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Old 02-09-2009, 04:11 PM   #37
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Very informative, thanks!
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Old 02-09-2009, 04:18 PM   #38
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interesting for sure, there are big names included ... but why is there sirius, they have merged with xm already or not?
Yes and trading at .11 per share. The merger took forever and talent was over paid. Add to that the auto shake down with the economy they took a serious beating.
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Old 02-09-2009, 04:27 PM   #39
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What's going to happen to the dealers and people that recently bought new Chrysler vehicles if they go under?

I almost bought a new Jeep Rubicon last year, now I am glad I didn't.
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Old 02-10-2009, 10:53 AM   #40
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What's going to happen to the dealers and people that recently bought new Chrysler vehicles if they go under?

I almost bought a new Jeep Rubicon last year, now I am glad I didn't.
good question.. not sure
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Old 02-11-2009, 09:00 AM   #41
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Well, that was fast.

CHICAGO (MarketWatch) -- Shares of Sirius XM Satellite Radio Inc. dropped 31% in morning trading Wednesday on reports that the company could be close to filing for bankruptcy protection.

The shares were down 3 cents at 8 cents. The stock traded in the $4 range two years ago.

Sirius XM is working with bankruptcy lawyer Mark Thompson of Simpson, Thatcher & Bartlett, and Joseph Bondi, a restructuring expert, to set up a Chapter 11 filing that could come in the next few days, the New York Times reported on its Web site Tuesday evening, citing an unnamed person it described as familiar with the situation.
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Old 02-11-2009, 09:06 AM   #42
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mininova, piratebay, torrentreactor, limeware, kazaa and others helped killing blockbuster....
Not really.... people are sick and tired of paying almost $6 to watch a movie for one night and then getting "late fee" charged to death because they were a couple days late... their whole business model was developed around late fees, and with that more or less gone, they have been on deathwatch ever since then.
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Old 02-11-2009, 09:09 AM   #43
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Netflix totally killed Blockbuster. Even with the ability to rip movies online and buy DVDs for $10 or so a pop, Netflix continues to do great. Blockbuster fucked their customers for years so when another option came along, their customers jumped on it with a big FU.
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Old 02-11-2009, 09:34 AM   #44
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I haven't been to a BlockBuster in years.
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Old 02-11-2009, 10:04 AM   #45
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Netflix totally killed Blockbuster. Even with the ability to rip movies online and buy DVDs for $10 or so a pop, Netflix continues to do great. Blockbuster fucked their customers for years so when another option came along, their customers jumped on it with a big FU.
Another thing is that netflix has a lot more options than Blockbuster. I like a lot of independent movies and documentaries and things like that and Blockbuster just doesn't carry those.
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Old 02-11-2009, 10:36 AM   #46
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Netflix totally killed Blockbuster. Even with the ability to rip movies online and buy DVDs for $10 or so a pop, Netflix continues to do great. Blockbuster fucked their customers for years so when another option came along, their customers jumped on it with a big FU.
Well said... Netflix even has the xbox 360 streaming now for 9$ unlimited streaming who would pay for blockbuster
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Old 02-11-2009, 10:38 AM   #47
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I thought Sirius/ XM might make it. The combined company is a monopoly, right?

All they need is some capital, it would seem to be a reasonable investment.

Yes, the high cost of talent hurt them. Howard Stern is a great draw, but at some price he makes no sense. Maybe by paying Stern $500 million --they tried to grow too fast. Factor in the recession, when people are cutting back on non-essential services, and... kaboom.
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Old 10-19-2010, 10:59 AM   #48
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aw man, the original article is gone. I wanted to see how it turned out.
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Old 10-19-2010, 11:05 AM   #49
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Originally Posted by Elli View Post
aw man, the original article is gone. I wanted to see how it turned out.
http://money.usnews.com/money/blogs/...vive-2009.html

50 bankruptcies
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Old 10-19-2010, 11:07 AM   #50
gleem
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Join Date: Jun 2001
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Originally Posted by ADL Colin View Post
Well, that was fast.

CHICAGO (MarketWatch) -- Shares of Sirius XM Satellite Radio Inc. dropped 31% in morning trading Wednesday on reports that the company could be close to filing for bankruptcy protection.

The shares were down 3 cents at 8 cents. The stock traded in the $4 range two years ago.
HA! you could have become a millionaire today with a $50,000 investment on Sirius stock back then.
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