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Old 02-16-2009, 11:15 PM   #1
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World money system imploding right now ?

An unwind is taking form right now, this minute, (9:10PM ET) that may or may not be contained by international Central Bank action.

Even if central Europe does not financially implode the world money system today, it is just around the corner.

There are so many risks threatening us now that survival of any monetary status quo is doubtful.

Protect yourself.

It has hit the fan, right now, and all that is thanks to OTC derivative manufacturers and distributors.


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Old 02-16-2009, 11:16 PM   #2
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Does this mean no joins?
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:21 PM   #3
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Does this mean no joins?
means "no food"
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:21 PM   #4
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that would be scary.
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:22 PM   #5
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so one can eat ass or eat grass.
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:27 PM   #6
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Someone, apparently someone in Asia, wants dollars. A LOT of dollars. There is a forced-liquidation event underway that is massive, it is against all asset classes and it is spreading.
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:31 PM   #7
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I've been following this all night too. Eastern Europe is about to explode and take Western Europe with it. Last year Bernanke (illegally) opened swap lines with all these other central banks around the world (they pull out dollars automatically as needed) and that means if Europe goes down we go down too in the US.

Everyone is waiting for the European markets to open to see if the Euro continues to crash or if this crisis is contained for today (it will hit us).

Seriously, pull out some cash people. We could be seeing forced bank holidays soon which means you will, if the banks are closed, be stuck with limited debit card withdrawals only soon.
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:31 PM   #8
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do you have a url? There is nothing on bloomberg about it so far.
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:36 PM   #9
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At http://uk.finance.yahoo.com/ it shows FTSE is down around 1.5%, nothing too dramatic. Do you have a link to the unwind?...wait, isn't WANTING dollars good for the US (and world) economy? We're supposed to be preventing the dollar form being DUMPED, ne?
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:38 PM   #10
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do you have a url? There is nothing on bloomberg about it so far.
A few links here...

Quote:
RED ALERT: FX Dislocation In Process - Updated (11:47 PM)

8:17 CT

I do not know what is going on here, and I don't think I want to.

Someone, apparently someone in Asia, wants dollars. A LOT of dollars. There is a forced-liquidation event underway that is massive, it is against all asset classes and it is spreading.

It originated at approximately 7:15 CT this evening and originated out of Asia somewhere. All of the primary currency crosses got hit at once - Euro, Pound, Yen - all weakened dramatically against the dollar and it is still going on. The Asian stock markets got walloped at the same time in coordinated waves of forced selling.

At the same time the US futures markets got nailed as well, down some six handles on the /ES in a near-vertical drop. While this sounds "not that big" to move these markets in a coordinated fashion like this is a trillion-dollar enterprise - this is not some small company that went bankrupt, or even a large company.

There is no news coverage at the present time identifying the source of this but it is not small and contrary to some reports it is not "automatic selling"; this is forced liquidation.

Folks, if this translates into Eastern Europe where there are severe instabilities already brewing literally everything in the financial world could come apart "all at once."

The worse news is that if this happens Bernanke will have killed us (in the US) by extending those swap lines all over the planet during the last six months. These will become utterly uncollectable and they are massive, in the many hundreds of billions of dollars.

To those who are reading this, I hope if you're in the markets you are prepared for extreme levels of violence. You must expect that the authorities will try to arrest the destruction if they are able, but you must also be prepared for the possibility that we have reached a "critical mass" point beyond which "duck and cover" is the only winning strategy.

Unfortunately.

I hope I'm wrong; this is going to be a long night.
http://market-ticker.org/archives/80...n-Process.html


Quote:
An unwind is taking form right now, this minute, (9:10PM ET) that may or may not be contained by international Central Bank action.

Even if central Europe does not financially implode the world money system today, it is just around the corner.

There are so many risks threatening us now that survival of any monetary status quo is doubtful.

Protect yourself.

It has hit the fan, right now, and all that is thanks to OTC derivative manufacturers and distributors.

Respectfully yours,
Jim
http://www.jsmineset.com/
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:41 PM   #11
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At http://uk.finance.yahoo.com/ it shows FTSE is down around 1.5%, nothing too dramatic. Do you have a link to the unwind?...wait, isn't WANTING dollars good for the US (and world) economy? We're supposed to be preventing the dollar form being DUMPED, ne?
Wanting dollars is not a bad thing necessarily except that Bernanke has these damn swap lines which will drag us down with everyone else....
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:42 PM   #12
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is it on a real news source?
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:48 PM   #13
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is it on a real news source?
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:53 PM   #14
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is it on a real news source?
The sources I gave you are far more reliable than "real" news sources. When there is a dislocation like this you can count on the mainstream news to show up late and cover the aftermath.

I sat here and watched the Euro, and most other major currencies, go nearly straight down to the dollar tonight. Europe is on the brink of going tits up. We will see in a few hours if this have this contained or not. This week is going to be scary.
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:56 PM   #15
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Eastern European currencies crumble as fears of debt crisis grow

Currencies have crumbled across Eastern Europe on mounting fears of a debt crisis as foreign creditors withdraw from the region.

Hungary?s forint fell to an all-time low on Monday, and Poland?s zloty slumped to the lowest in five years on plunging industrial output. Half of all loans to the private sector in Poland are in foreign currencies so borrowers face a severe debt shock after the 40pc fall of the zloty against the euro since August.

?We?re nearing the level were things could get out of hand,? said Hans Redeker, currency chief strategist at BNP Paribas.

The mushrooming crisis has already started to spill over into Germany's debt markets, lifting credit default swaps on German five-year bonds to a record 70 basis points. The gap between French and German CDS spreads has narrowed abruptly for the first time since the credit crisis began.

?Investors are beginning to ask whether Germany is going to have to pay for the rescue of Eastern and Central Europe,? he said.

A report by Moody?s released on Tuesday said the region?s banks were coming under severe stress as the property bust combines with a rising debt burden. ?Local currency depreciation is a major risk to East Europe banks,? it said.

There are contagion worries for Western banks that have lent $1.74 trillion (£1.22bn) to the ex-Soviet bloc -- split between $1 trillion in foreign loans and $700bn in local currency debt through subsidiaries.

Austria?s banks are the most exposed with the share of risk-weighted assets tied to the region reaching 54pc for Raffeisen and 38pc for Erste Bank. The exposure of Germany?s Bayern Bank is 48pc, Italy?s UniCredit is 45pc, and Swedbank is 29pc.

The region needs to roll over $400bn in foreign debts this year, equivalent to a third of total GDP, raising concerns that it may need a massive rescue programme from the International Monetary Fund and the European institutions.

Dominique Strauss-Kahn, the IMF?s chief, said he expected a ?second wave of countries to come knocking? after earlier bail-outs of Latvia, Hungary, Ukraine, and Belarus -- as well as Iceland and Pakistan. The fund is scrambing to raise more money to cover the possible eruption of major crises in several countries simultaneously. The Japanese have already agreed to supply an extra $200bn.

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development says East Europe may need as much as ?400bn (£358bn) in help this year to refinance loans and inject fresh capital into the banking system. Austrian-led efforts to create to a pan-EU fighting fund to tackle the crisis early have garnered little support so far.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/f...isis-grow.html
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:57 PM   #16
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WoW what a mess !
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:57 PM   #17
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The sources I gave you are far more reliable than "real" news sources. When there is a dislocation like this you can count on the mainstream news to show up late and cover the aftermath.

I sat here and watched the Euro, and most other major currencies, go nearly straight down to the dollar tonight. Europe is on the brink of going tits up. We will see in a few hours if this have this contained or not. This week is going to be scary.
Bloomberg is true 24 hr financial news so if they dont pick it its not real until then.
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:58 PM   #18
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Old 02-16-2009, 11:59 PM   #19
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Bloomberg is true 24 hr financial news so if they dont pick it its not real until then.
Your ignorance never ceases to amaze me
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Old 02-17-2009, 12:08 AM   #20
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Bloomberg is true 24 hr financial news so if they dont pick it its not real until then.
WOW!!!!!.....I can't believe you took the time out to not only type that shit but to actually hit submit.

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Old 02-17-2009, 12:08 AM   #21
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it happened to iceland, i don't see why it couldn't happen to hungary, they've been in a shit storm financially for awhile now.

then it could easily domino through eu
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Old 02-17-2009, 12:11 AM   #22
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Thank you just wanted a real news source. now we have one.
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Old 02-17-2009, 12:13 AM   #23
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it happened to iceland, i don't see why it couldn't happen to hungary, they've been in a shit storm financially for awhile now.

then it could easily domino through eu
It's not only Hungary. It's Hungary, Austria, Ireland, Poland, Estonia, Latvia, Sweden, UK, Spain, Italy, Greece.... Europe is fucked folks. I've said it here countless times... And if Bernanke leaves these swap lines open the US is going down too.
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Old 02-17-2009, 12:17 AM   #24
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Can someone explain this in laymans terms for financial simpletons such as myself? Primarily what it means to us. =)
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Old 02-17-2009, 12:43 AM   #25
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Can someone explain this in laymans terms for financial simpletons such as myself? Primarily what it means to us. =)
It means we are at the beginning of Great Depression 2.0.

Last edited by Ethersync; 02-17-2009 at 12:45 AM..
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Old 02-17-2009, 01:15 AM   #26
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Old 02-17-2009, 02:55 AM   #27
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Sky still falling?
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Old 02-17-2009, 03:23 AM   #28
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Sky still falling?
If the sky is synonymous with the fractional reserve banking system, then yes.

The question is: how fast?
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Old 02-17-2009, 03:27 AM   #29
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Oh noes world collapse! Financial Melt downs! Catastrophy, Anarchy! Hide your children!

If you live like me all this shit is just another day in the park...
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Old 02-17-2009, 03:47 AM   #30
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Old 02-17-2009, 03:48 AM   #31
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Oh noes world collapse! Financial Melt downs! Catastrophy, Anarchy! Hide your children!

If you live like me all this shit is just another day in the park...
So you live in a park?
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Old 02-17-2009, 03:50 AM   #32
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Does this explain why gold rallied this morning?
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Old 02-17-2009, 03:51 AM   #33
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So you live in a park?
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Old 02-17-2009, 07:27 AM   #34
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Does this explain why gold rallied this morning?
Yes, it is exactly why.

The good news is things have settled down. There was clearly some sort of government intervention behind the scenes. The bad news is there has been no rebound after the intervention which is normally the case.

These are the currencies that got hit hard last night:

CZK
PLN
HUF
NZD
AUD
SEK
CAD
NOK
INR
EUR
BRL

Last edited by Ethersync; 02-17-2009 at 07:29 AM..
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Old 02-17-2009, 07:39 AM   #35
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Revolution time?
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Old 02-17-2009, 07:41 AM   #36
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Yes, it is exactly why.

The good news is things have settled down. There was clearly some sort of government intervention behind the scenes. The bad news is there has been no rebound after the intervention which is normally the case.

These are the currencies that got hit hard last night:

CZK
PLN
HUF
NZD
AUD
SEK
CAD
NOK
INR
EUR
BRL
I don't see much change in CAD. Only down about 2-3 cents from last week. Its pretty funny that this happened seeing as how everyone is predicting the dollar to fall.
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Old 02-17-2009, 07:48 AM   #37
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I don't see much change in CAD. Only down about 2-3 cents from last week. Its pretty funny that this happened seeing as how everyone is predicting the dollar to fall.
It seems a lot of people (especially on GFY!) did believe that but the "currency analysts" did pretty well with this one. And my man, Bill Gross! I remember him saying the Euro was overvalued at $1.60. Here is an article from July 2008.

------

Rising European interest rates have pushed the euro up nearly 35 percent against the dollar over the past three years, to a high of $1.60.

But a growing number of experts believe the economies of Europe will slump even further than the U.S., forcing the European Central Bank to reverse this month's interest-rate increase.

The euro will slip about 6.5 percent to $1.50 by year-end and then slide further to $1.45 by the middle of next year, according to the median of 37 currency analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News.

Gross, co-CEO of Pacific Investment Management Co. (Pimco), has turned bearish on the euro for the first time since the common European currency was created in 1999. Pimco runs the world's largest bond fund.

"We might have hit a point where the euro doesn't have a lot to stand on," Emanuele Ravano, co-head of European strategy for Pimco, tells Bloomberg.

"The euro is ultimately very overvalued. It could be quite a bit lower at some point over the next couple years."

Indeed, based on purchasing power parity, the euro is 30 percent overvalued against the dollar, according to the bond fund. Purchasing power parity means that $1 would buy the same amount of goods and services in the U.S. as its rate in euros would buy in Europe.

"When a currency gets between 25 and 30 percent overvalued, it tends" to revert to the mean, Ravano says. He says a euro drop to $1.5350 is in order.

The Economist's Big Mac Index, which measures purchasing power parity for the purchase of the McDonald's signature hamburger, points to the euro being 22 percent overvalued against the dollar.

As for economic growth, the 15 countries sharing the euro will produce an expansion of 1.4 percent next year, down from 1.7 percent in 2008, according to the median forecast of a Bloomberg survey.

The median U.S. estimate shows growth accelerating to 1.8 percent in 2009 from 1.5 percent this year.

French President Nicolas Sarkozy already has complained that the euro's strength is hurting European exports and could restrain economic growth. Exports from Germany, the continent's largest economy, plunged 3.2 percent in May, the most in four years.

"We're not far off the capitulation point for the euro," says Mitul Kotecha, head of foreign exchange research in London for the investment-banking unit of Credit Agricole.

He predicts the euro will drop to $1.52 by Sept. 30, and $1.45 by next April.

Falling European interest rates will drive the euro lower, experts say. The median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of economists suggests that the ECB will cut its key rate by 25 basis points to 4 percent by the middle of next year.

http://moneynews.newsmax.com/streett...17/113727.html
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Old 02-17-2009, 07:50 AM   #38
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anything happen?
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Old 02-17-2009, 08:28 AM   #39
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Old 02-17-2009, 08:47 AM   #40
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anything happen?
http://www.reuters.com/finance/markets
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Old 02-17-2009, 10:03 AM   #41
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Austria is getting skull fucked today.

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Old 02-17-2009, 10:05 AM   #42
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shit happens.

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Old 02-17-2009, 10:18 AM   #43
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Eric, Ice, can we still post hot chick pics on GFY when the whole world falls to shit ?
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Old 02-17-2009, 10:25 AM   #44
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Old 02-17-2009, 10:28 AM   #45
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Everything will be fine...
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Old 02-17-2009, 10:48 AM   #46
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Everything will be fine...
Seen it all before ...





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Old 02-17-2009, 11:56 AM   #47
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Everything will be fine...
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Seen it all before ...





yup yup okeedoke ...
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Old 02-17-2009, 12:04 PM   #48
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Does this mean no joins?
No No, everything is good. Joins haven't been better since are started tube advertising.
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Old 02-17-2009, 12:21 PM   #49
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If the sky is synonymous with the fractional reserve banking system, then yes.

The question is: how fast?
It's a good question...
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Old 02-17-2009, 12:32 PM   #50
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