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Obama's lead slips to 3 points - Reuters

10-19-2008, 04:02 AM

http://www.reuters.com/article/newsO...49G0V320081019

Democrat Barack Obama's lead over Republican John McCain in the presidential race has dropped to 3 points, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Sunday.

Obama leads McCain by 48 to 45 percent among likely U.S. voters, down 1 percentage point from Saturday. The four-day tracking poll, which has a margin of error of 2.9 points.

Pollster John Zogby said the numbers were good news for McCain, and probably reflected a bump following his appearance in the third and final presidential debate on Wednesday.

"For the first time in the polling McCain is up above 45 percent. There is no question something has happened," Zogby said.

He said the Arizona senator appeared to have solidified his support with the Republican base -- where 9 out of 10 voters now back him -- and was also gaining ground among the independents who may play a decisive role in the November 4 election.

Obama's lead among independent voters dropped to 8 points on Sunday from 16 points a day earlier.

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10-19-2008, 06:50 AM

Originally posted by xmas13

http://www.reuters.com/article/newsO...49G0V320081019

Democrat Barack Obama's lead over Republican John McCain in the presidential race has dropped to 3 points, according to a Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released on Sunday.

Obama leads McCain by 48 to 45 percent among likely U.S. voters, down 1 percentage point from Saturday. The four-day tracking poll, which has a margin of error of 2.9 points.

Pollster John Zogby said the numbers were good news for McCain, and probably reflected a bump following his appearance in the third and final presidential debate on Wednesday.

"For the first time in the polling McCain is up above 45 percent. There is no question something has happened," Zogby said.

He said the Arizona senator appeared to have solidified his support with the Republican base -- where 9 out of 10 voters now back him -- and was also gaining ground among the independents who may play a decisive role in the November 4 election.

Obama's lead among independent voters dropped to 8 points on Sunday from 16 points a day earlier.

That's a GOP slanted poll. Gallup has him up by 8 points
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#3

10-19-2008, 06:57 AM

all the mccain supporters I know just keep to themselves they dont talk 24/7 about him they will just show up and vote (they did register because they understand how voting works)

the obama supporters dont stop yapping and yelling and screaming "vote for change" (they will get change alright, pocket change that is)

and someone made a good point the other day tons of blacks are voting for obama because hes black and tons of whites are voting for mccain because hes white.

As of now no doubt obama is leading, but the race aint over till its over.

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10-19-2008, 07:00 AM

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/12 - 10/18 -- -- 48.8 43.8 Obama +5.0
Rasmussen Reports 10/16 - 10/18 3000 LV 2.0 51 45 Obama +6
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby 10/16 - 10/18 1210 LV 2.9 48 45 Obama +3
Hotline/FD 10/16 - 10/18 795 LV 3.5 48 41 Obama +7
Gallup (Traditional)* 10/15 - 10/17 2572 LV 2.0 49 47 Obama +2
Gallup (Expanded)* 10/15 - 10/17 2263 LV 2.0 50 46 Obama +4
IBD/TIPP 10/13 - 10/17 1093 LV 3.0 47 40 Obama +7
GWU/Battleground 10/12 - 10/16 800 LV 3.5 49 45 Obama +4

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Tat2Jr

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#5

10-19-2008, 07:03 AM

The day we get rid of the electorial college is the day these national polls mean anything what so ever. State by state. That's all that counts.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

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#6

10-19-2008, 07:06 AM

Originally posted by Tat2Jr

The day we get rid of the electorial college is the day these national polls mean anything what so ever. State by state. That's all that counts.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

And that is all that should count. And every state by state poll Ive seen has Obama winning in a land slide
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#7

10-19-2008, 07:06 AM

These polls are setting the country up for a chimpout of major proportions if Obama loses.

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#8

10-19-2008, 07:07 AM

I don't give a shit about national polls.

What I see is a candidate that is being forced to defend states that haven't been in play for 30+ years and not being able to campaign in the states he needs to win.

It's over "my friends" and all because he thought it would work to have a cute idiotic woman for a running mate.

Have you seen the news lately? 100,000 cam out to see Obama in St. Louis and another 75k in Kansas City and then Powell endorsing him this morning.
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#9

10-19-2008, 07:09 AM

Originally posted by spanky part 2

I don't give a shit about national polls.

What I see is a candidate that is being forced to defend states that haven't been in play for 30+ years and not being able to campaign in the states he needs to win.

It's over "my friends" and all because he thought it would work to have a cute idiotic woman for a running mate.

Have you seen the news lately? 100,000 cam out to see Obama in St. Louis and another 75k in Kansas City and then Powell endorsing him this morning.

i dont know anyone who switched to obama because of mccains VP choice, yes everyone i know hates his pick but none enough to vote for obama

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#10

10-19-2008, 07:10 AM

Originally posted by spanky part 2

I don't give a shit about national polls.

What I see is a candidate that is being forced to defend states that haven't been in play for 30+ years and not being able to campaign in the states he needs to win.

It's over "my friends" and all because he thought it would work to have a cute idiotic woman for a running mate.

Have you seen the news lately? 100,000 cam out to see Obama in St. Louis and another 75k in Kansas City and then Powell endorsing him this morning.

If McCain calls me his friend one more time I'm gonna flip out. How creepy? I don't even know the guy.

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#11

10-19-2008, 07:11 AM

EB, now you do. Me.
If Obama picked Hilary and Mccain picked somebody respectable - I'd vote Republican as usual.

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#12

10-19-2008, 07:12 AM

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#13

10-19-2008, 07:13 AM

Colin Powell just endorsed Obama. That should help things a little

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#14

10-19-2008, 07:14 AM

The danger is that Obama supporters will think he has it in the bag and not bother to vote. That said, Americans seem to take their right to vote alot more seriously than us non Americans so Im not sure how much of an issue this is. If this was outside the USA, he would badly need to play down his chances to make sure he gets his full vote out.

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#15

10-19-2008, 07:15 AM

Originally posted by LadyMischief

Colin Powell just endorsed Obama. That should help things a little

Ya a person who lied to the world to sell the Iraq war is aways a good endorsement.
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