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Old 10-11-2008, 03:01 PM   #1
xmas13
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:2cents Lehman Credit-Default Swap Payout Could Climb as High as $365 Billion

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...101003050.html

In what may shape up to be the most expensive payout ever in the credit-default swap market, sellers of insurance against a debt default by Lehman Brothers will have to pay 91.375 cents on the dollar to settle the contracts.

The results of a settlement auction held Friday imply that banks, hedge funds, insurance companies and other writers of the insurance-like swaps would have to come up with as much as $365 billion for buyers of the protection. But many of the firms on the hook may have taken steps to offset their obligations, which could minimize the blow, industry experts said.

Swaps are basically insurance policies bought by investors to protect against an investment such as a corporate bond losing all value if the company falls apart. The unregulated nature of the market, in which investors essentially bet on the likelihood of a default by a bond issuer, makes it impossible to say who owes how much to whom. But it is safe to say that selling default protection through the swaps turned out to be costlier than anticipated.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Credit_default_swap

A credit default swap (CDS) is a swap contract in which a buyer makes a series of payments to a seller, and in exchange receives the right to a payoff if a credit instrument goes into default or on the occurrence of a specified credit event, for example bankruptcy or restructuring. The associated instrument does not need to be associated with the buyer or the seller of this contract.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:C...lus_ debt.png

Derivative notionals held 2008Q2 was $182 trillion.
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Last edited by xmas13; 10-11-2008 at 03:04 PM..
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Old 10-11-2008, 03:04 PM   #2
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$5 trillion dollars is what its going to cost to get all this shit sorted out... $700 billion is a joke...
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Old 10-11-2008, 03:18 PM   #3
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Anyone who thinks that even though we are printing up all this money we are going to go through a period of DEFLATION needs to pull their head out of their ass. We have a tidal wave of inflation on the horizon folks...
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Old 10-11-2008, 03:20 PM   #4
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$5 trillion dollars is what its going to cost to get all this shit sorted out... $700 billion is a joke...
Yup between 2 and 5 trillion sounds just about right. We already have Obama and McCain saying we need MORE bailouts. These clowns are clueless.
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Old 10-11-2008, 03:21 PM   #5
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$700 billion is a joke...
Yes it is...
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Old 10-11-2008, 03:21 PM   #6
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Anyone who thinks that even though we are printing up all this money we are going to go through a period of DEFLATION needs to pull their head out of their ass. We have a tidal wave of inflation on the horizon folks...
Jim Rogers agrees with you:

We Are Facing an 'Inflation Holocaust': Jim Rogers
http://www.cnbc.com/id/27097823
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Old 10-12-2008, 08:00 AM   #7
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http://www.independent.co.uk/news/bu...mb-958699.html

Finally some good news....
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Old 10-12-2008, 08:02 AM   #8
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it just keeps spiralling downwards
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Old 10-12-2008, 08:25 AM   #9
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Enough Said.

"Would you rather live like a king for a year or like a prince forever?"
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Old 10-12-2008, 12:13 PM   #10
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it just keeps spiralling downwards
Thats what i mean....... its great that it's spiralling down so we can watch it descend into the gutter. If it just collapsed instantly it would be kinda boring eh?

Then again, some say its better to burn out than fade away....
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