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Old 10-11-2008, 03:20 PM   #1
xmas13
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:2cents International Monetary Fund's chief economist Olivier Blanchard interview on Reuters

http://www.reuters.com/article/gover...36298520081011

ROME, Oct 11 (Reuters) - In a worst-case scenario, markets could fall at most another 20 percent but there is "practically zero" chance of another Great Depression, the International Monetary Fund's chief economist Olivier Blanchard was quoted as saying on Saturday.

"In a worst-case scenario, governments will need a few more weeks to take the correct measures and the markets could fall another 20 percent. Then, we'll turn around," Blanchard was quoted as saying in Italian daily Corriere della Sera. In Italy, the probability was greater because the euro zone economy was already lagging before the crisis.

He said 100 percent of global growth in 2009 was expected to come from emerging economies and added China would find itself in a stronger position as a result.

"The emerging nations will grow 6 percent next year and that will have political implications. One hundred percent of growth in 2009 will come from them," Blanchard was quoted as saying.

"There will be a shift in power. China will emerge from these events in a stronger position."
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Old 10-11-2008, 03:26 PM   #2
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Sorry for the title, I know the man was just quoted and the actual interview given in an Italian daily.
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Old 10-11-2008, 05:18 PM   #3
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It's not really obvious if it's good or bad news, another possible 20&#37; down doesn't sound THAT great, especially considering it's around 40% down as is...
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Old 10-11-2008, 05:25 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by woj View Post
It's not really obvious if it's good or bad news, another possible 20% down doesn't sound THAT great, especially considering it's around 40% down as is...
Well I think (and hope) what he means by zero chance of another great depression is that there won't be bread lines and 40% unemployment again....world governments have learned from past experience and will literally nationalize everything if they have to, at least temporarily.
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Old 10-11-2008, 05:32 PM   #5
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Looks like they are going to "internationalize" the financial system even more now, setting the stage for the world government.
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