do you think an Asteroid will hit Earth in the 21st century ? - GoFuckYourself.com

polish_aristocrat · 08-26-2006, 11:05 AM

anyone here interested a little in this subject?

from what I know, the chances for a big collision are minimal because they happen once every few millions years, but f.e chances for an impact similar in scale to the Tunguska Event aren't that small.....

Dirty Dane · 08-26-2006, 11:09 AM

Converting the damage of impacts, to risk, the chances of getting killed by asteroids are bigger than in traffic

Ron Bennett · 08-26-2006, 01:28 PM

I worry more about the human made type of falling objects, such as frozen toilet waste from jetliners.

Ron

jact · 08-26-2006, 01:31 PM

It's entirely possible that it can happen at any given moment. We had a very near miss a couple of years ago that we didn't even notice until it would have been far too late. We're only tracking what, 1% of the sky? And even if we do see it, we can't do fuck all about it.

Dirty Dane · 08-26-2006, 01:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ron Bennett

I worry more about the human made type of falling objects, such as frozen toilet waste from jetliners.

Ron

Eskimos do not fly

xclusive · 08-26-2006, 01:40 PM

It will happen when it happens not shit we can do about it, But could be in a minute could be in a thousand years but it will happen.

free4porn · 08-26-2006, 01:47 PM

Hope not but its certainly possible

donross · 08-26-2006, 01:52 PM

damn, if that happens.. that the end of the world..

fulyngu · 08-26-2006, 01:56 PM

Funny... I just watched a show today about the Mayan calendar and how it stops on Dec 21, 2012... Hmmm...

mikeyddddd · 08-26-2006, 02:58 PM

Indubitably

Fizzgig · 08-26-2006, 03:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mikeyddddd

Indubitably

Absopositindubitably.

Blogster · 08-26-2006, 03:04 PM

i doubt it

crockett · 08-26-2006, 03:11 PM

just a punk · 08-26-2006, 03:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by polish_aristocrat

do you think an Asteroid will hit Earth in the 21st century ?

As sooner as better.

NoCarrier · 08-26-2006, 03:14 PM

Here is a list of impact risk for the next 100 years.

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/

On the "Torino Scale" there is one in 2102 and it's at "1".

99.99840000% chance the asteroid will miss the Earth

1 :

A routine discovery in which a pass near the Earth is predicted that poses no unusual level of danger. Current calculations show the chance of collision is extremely unlikely with no cause for public attention or public concern. New telescopic observations very likely will lead to re-assignment to Level 0.

NoCarrier · 08-26-2006, 03:14 PM

polish_aristocrat · 08-26-2006, 03:22 PM

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/torino_scale.html

interesting explanation of the Torino scale.....

polish_aristocrat · 08-26-2006, 03:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoCarrier

99.99840000% chance the asteroid will miss the Earth

where did you get the exact probability?

and BTW how is this probability compared f.e to the probability that your tommorows plane from Chicago to New York will crash?

just curious

NoCarrier · 08-26-2006, 03:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by polish_aristocrat

where did you get the exact probability?

http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/

And click on the "Impact prob." link.

Quote:

Originally Posted by polish_aristocrat

BTW how is this probability compared f.e to the probability that your tommorows plane from Chicago to New York will crash?
just curious

Asteroids are objects that they can track. You can't predict that your plane will crash, but you can use statistics.

polish_aristocrat · 08-26-2006, 03:29 PM

interesing question is what would happen if a really big asteroid hit Earth and destroyed most of the human civilisation

let's say if 1% of mankind would survive, then how would the "new" civilisation look like f.e 100 years after the impact, assuming the Eart's climate would turn back to what we know today, after few decades

notabook · 08-26-2006, 04:41 PM

We (humanity) really only have to worry about 1,150 known asteroids; these are the only ones that can cause significant damage to us. Then out of those, there is a smaller percentage capable of causing catastrophic global climate change and wide-spread extinction. One of these massive asteroids will strike the Earth around every half million years, some obviously causing more damage than others. The SGS (Spaceguard Survey) should be done mapping the majority of asteroids as well as comets that can cause such devastating damage to our planet by 2008.

Not to be a cliché from bad space movies? but it really is just a question of when, rather than if, an asteroid or comet capable of removing humanity from this sphere comes hurdling through the solar system. The real question is can we stop it in time to preserve our species? I don?t think so; the best ?method? they have atm is to push the comet or asteroid using nukes (not direct strikes as it wouldn?t do much damage and could just make the problem worse by splitting the object into thousands of pieces). Maybe in a century we?ll have some way of dealing with killer rocks? but not now.

If we were to see a comet or asteroid this century that is large enough to cause global climate change and wide-spread extinction, humanity would probably be destroyed in the process. There is some small chance you could survive the initial impact (depending on the size of comet or asteroid) but the many years of the sun being blocked out is going to destroy almost any chance of you able to successfully find food/and or hunt for survival. If you somehow managed to get the world to work together, you may just be able to save enough humans by putting them deep underground.

Even then? repopulating the planet with such a small genetic pool seems very unlikely. You may be able to sustain a small pool of humans for x number of years, but eventually (and probably sooner than later) the remainder of the human population will dwindle and dwindle until there simply just isn?t enough genetic variance to sustain a healthy population. More and more kids will start being born with more and more genetic abnormalities until the species eventually inbreeds itself into extinction. And that is story of how Moses saved Egypt from the robots.

blazi · 08-26-2006, 05:04 PM

thank God for Jupitor or many asteroids would have hit earth by now already!

polish_aristocrat · 08-27-2006, 02:14 AM

some video simulations

https://youtube.com/watch?v=e-R3xN-U3Bk

https://youtube.com/watch?v=Uwb3FDkxfgQ

https://youtube.com/watch?v=oB3G0rvCIJc

polish_aristocrat · 08-27-2006, 07:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by notabook

If we were to see a comet or asteroid this century that is large enough to cause global climate change and wide-spread extinction, humanity would probably be destroyed in the process. There is some small chance you could survive the initial impact (depending on the size of comet or asteroid) but the many years of the sun being blocked out is going to destroy almost any chance of you able to successfully find food/and or hunt for survival. If you somehow managed to get the world to work together, you may just be able to save enough humans by putting them deep underground.

Even then? repopulating the planet with such a small genetic pool seems very unlikely. You may be able to sustain a small pool of humans for x number of years, but eventually (and probably sooner than later) the remainder of the human population will dwindle and dwindle until there simply just isn?t enough genetic variance to sustain a healthy population. More and more kids will start being born with more and more genetic abnormalities until the species eventually inbreeds itself into extinction. And that is story of how Moses saved Egypt from the robots.

that's the part that fascinates me

I guess I should find a different forum though to discuss such things.

Klen · 08-27-2006, 07:25 AM

Asteroid will not hit us beause we going to blow it in orbit.

topshelfdesign · 08-27-2006, 07:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by polish_aristocrat

some video simulations

https://youtube.com/watch?v=e-R3xN-U3Bk

https://youtube.com/watch?v=Uwb3FDkxfgQ

https://youtube.com/watch?v=oB3G0rvCIJc

that second one is brutal i never thoguht about how it would look, looking down on to the earth

RichGuy · 08-27-2006, 07:37 AM

If it did - it'd be funny.

StuartD · 08-27-2006, 07:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by polish_aristocrat

some video simulations

https://youtube.com/watch?v=e-R3xN-U3Bk

https://youtube.com/watch?v=Uwb3FDkxfgQ

https://youtube.com/watch?v=oB3G0rvCIJc

yeah, I love those... particularly the 3rd one. Not that I want it to happen, but damn, it is well done.

SomeCreep · 08-27-2006, 07:47 AM

nooooope.

nAtuRaLbEautY · 08-27-2006, 08:24 PM

i don't think so...

SmokeyTheBear · 08-27-2006, 08:34 PM

asteroids hit earth every century im pretty certain

Barefootsies · 08-27-2006, 10:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by polish_aristocrat

anyone here interested a little in this subject?

from what I know, the chances for a big collision are minimal because they happen once every few millions years, but f.e chances for an impact similar in scale to the Tunguska Event aren't that small.....

rodney25 · 08-28-2006, 12:20 AM

Very little possiblity...

bl4h · 08-28-2006, 12:24 AM

we will all die from overpopulation and disease long before the next asteroid hits

polish_aristocrat · 08-28-2006, 02:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Barefootsies

yeah as said above, I need to find another board for it

now feel free to move on to a "would you hit it" thread or in "jimthefiend fucked my brother"

AsianDivaGirlsWebDude · 08-28-2006, 02:59 AM

Good topic...

I put down a pretty sizable wager at Ladbroke's that the earth will in fact be hit by an astroid this century. Those suckers are going to paying me out the butt when the planet is split in two.

You see, the odds they offered were - let's say, astronomical.

I can't wait to see their faces when I go in to collect. They were looking all smug when I placed my bet, and I'm sure that they thought I couldn't hear them snickering as I turned and walked out the door with my bet slip firmly in hand.

Well, we will see who has the last laugh...

ADG Webmaster

XMaster · 08-28-2006, 03:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by polish_aristocrat

some video simulations

https://youtube.com/watch?v=oB3G0rvCIJc

scary shit

polish_aristocrat · 08-28-2006, 03:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AsianDivaGirlsWebDude

Good topic...

I put down a pretty sizable wager at Ladbroke's that the earth will in fact be hit by an astroid this century. Those suckers are going to paying me out the butt when the planet is split in two.

You see, the odds they offered were - let's say, astronomical.

I can't wait to see their faces when I go in to collect. They were looking all smug when I placed my bet, and I'm sure that they thought I couldn't hear them snickering as I turned and walked out the door with my bet slip firmly in hand.

Well, we will see who has the last laugh...

ADG Webmaster

hm.... can I still place such bet? LadBrokes.com is my favorite bookie but nothing about it

and what were the odds and how they define an asteroid? does it have to kill at least 100 people or what ?

Ace_luffy · 08-28-2006, 03:15 AM

after that.....

ServerGenius · 08-28-2006, 03:18 AM

I'm more worried about hameroids hitting the earth.....

polish_aristocrat · 08-28-2006, 12:58 PM

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Impact_event

Rhesus · 08-29-2006, 12:55 PM

Interesting thread

polish_aristocrat · 08-30-2006, 05:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rhesus

Interesting thread

JayDeeZee · 08-30-2006, 05:54 AM

We'll find a way to shoot it first!

MaddCaz · 08-30-2006, 05:56 AM

21st? Entirely poossible.

notabook · 08-30-2006, 06:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JayDeeZee

We'll find a way to shoot it first!

Yeah.. with our mighty LASERS

polish_aristocrat · 09-07-2006, 09:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by KlenTelaris

Asteroid will not hit us beause we going to blow it in orbit.

thanks for your opinion, Sir

polish_aristocrat · 10-07-2006, 06:35 AM

cleanpussynow · 10-07-2006, 07:35 AM

I think that we are going to burn in hell,not asteroid,but human fulishnes.

cess · 10-07-2006, 07:37 AM

I seriously doubt that would happen.

08-26-2006, 11:05 AM	#1
polish_aristocrat Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Jul 2002 Posts: 40,377	do you think an Asteroid will hit Earth in the 21st century ? anyone here interested a little in this subject? from what I know, the chances for a big collision are minimal because they happen once every few millions years, but f.e chances for an impact similar in scale to the Tunguska Event aren't that small..... __________________ I don't use ICQ anymore.

08-26-2006, 01:28 PM	#3
Ron Bennett Confirmed User Join Date: Oct 2003 Posts: 1,653	I worry more about the human made type of falling objects, such as frozen toilet waste from jetliners. Ron __________________ Domagon - Website Management and Domain Name Sales

08-26-2006, 01:31 PM	#4
jact Confirmed User Join Date: Sep 2002 Location: Oakville, Canada Posts: 9,134	It's entirely possible that it can happen at any given moment. We had a very near miss a couple of years ago that we didn't even notice until it would have been far too late. We're only tracking what, 1% of the sky? And even if we do see it, we can't do fuck all about it. __________________ Free agent

08-26-2006, 01:40 PM	#6
xclusive Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Buffalo, NY Posts: 35,218	It will happen when it happens not shit we can do about it, But could be in a minute could be in a thousand years but it will happen. __________________ I support MediumPimpin.com / Shemp's Outlawtgp.com /

08-26-2006, 01:47 PM	#7
free4porn Confirmed User Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 4,654	Hope not but its certainly possible __________________ Switch To Fling Now! I'm on 1:201 paid signups sending little traffic! Make $$$ Free Porn

08-26-2006, 11:09 AM	#2
Dirty Dane Sick Fuck Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2004 Location: www Posts: 9,491	Converting the damage of impacts, to risk, the chances of getting killed by asteroids are bigger than in traffic

08-26-2006, 01:52 PM	#8
donross Confirmed User Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 1,295	damn, if that happens.. that the end of the world.. __________________ Email: [email protected] \| Skype: ross.alcazar

08-26-2006, 01:56 PM	#9
fulyngu Registered User Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 63	Funny... I just watched a show today about the Mayan calendar and how it stops on Dec 21, 2012... Hmmm... __________________ Fun Sex Sites

08-26-2006, 02:58 PM	#10
mikeyddddd Viva la vulva! Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: you can't please everyone, so you got to please yourself Posts: 16,557	Indubitably __________________ AdultStarProfits AmbyaCash AnilosCash AzianiGold ColdHardCash FlashTheMoney IdolBucks MediumPimpin NSCash Nubiles PussyCash ScoreCash Sextronix SpunkyCash TubeTitans Twistys

08-26-2006, 03:04 PM	#12
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08-26-2006, 03:11 PM	#13
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08-26-2006, 03:14 PM	#15
NoCarrier We need more free porn Join Date: Mar 2002 Location: Montreal Posts: 16,356	Here is a list of impact risk for the next 100 years. http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/ On the "Torino Scale" there is one in 2102 and it's at "1". 99.99840000% chance the asteroid will miss the Earth 1 : A routine discovery in which a pass near the Earth is predicted that poses no unusual level of danger. Current calculations show the chance of collision is extremely unlikely with no cause for public attention or public concern. New telescopic observations very likely will lead to re-assignment to Level 0. __________________ Last edited by NoCarrier; 08-26-2006 at 03:17 PM..

08-26-2006, 03:14 PM	#16
NoCarrier We need more free porn Join Date: Mar 2002 Location: Montreal Posts: 16,356	__________________ Last edited by NoCarrier; 08-26-2006 at 03:15 PM..

08-26-2006, 03:22 PM	#17
polish_aristocrat Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Jul 2002 Posts: 40,377	http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/torino_scale.html interesting explanation of the Torino scale..... __________________ I don't use ICQ anymore.

08-26-2006, 03:29 PM	#20
polish_aristocrat Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Jul 2002 Posts: 40,377	interesing question is what would happen if a really big asteroid hit Earth and destroyed most of the human civilisation let's say if 1% of mankind would survive, then how would the "new" civilisation look like f.e 100 years after the impact, assuming the Eart's climate would turn back to what we know today, after few decades __________________ I don't use ICQ anymore.

08-26-2006, 04:41 PM	#21
notabook Confirmed User Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Not a Library! Posts: 9,748	We (humanity) really only have to worry about 1,150 known asteroids; these are the only ones that can cause significant damage to us. Then out of those, there is a smaller percentage capable of causing catastrophic global climate change and wide-spread extinction. One of these massive asteroids will strike the Earth around every half million years, some obviously causing more damage than others. The SGS (Spaceguard Survey) should be done mapping the majority of asteroids as well as comets that can cause such devastating damage to our planet by 2008. Not to be a cliché from bad space movies? but it really is just a question of when, rather than if, an asteroid or comet capable of removing humanity from this sphere comes hurdling through the solar system. The real question is can we stop it in time to preserve our species? I don?t think so; the best ?method? they have atm is to push the comet or asteroid using nukes (not direct strikes as it wouldn?t do much damage and could just make the problem worse by splitting the object into thousands of pieces). Maybe in a century we?ll have some way of dealing with killer rocks? but not now. If we were to see a comet or asteroid this century that is large enough to cause global climate change and wide-spread extinction, humanity would probably be destroyed in the process. There is some small chance you could survive the initial impact (depending on the size of comet or asteroid) but the many years of the sun being blocked out is going to destroy almost any chance of you able to successfully find food/and or hunt for survival. If you somehow managed to get the world to work together, you may just be able to save enough humans by putting them deep underground. Even then? repopulating the planet with such a small genetic pool seems very unlikely. You may be able to sustain a small pool of humans for x number of years, but eventually (and probably sooner than later) the remainder of the human population will dwindle and dwindle until there simply just isn?t enough genetic variance to sustain a healthy population. More and more kids will start being born with more and more genetic abnormalities until the species eventually inbreeds itself into extinction. And that is story of how Moses saved Egypt from the robots. __________________

08-26-2006, 05:04 PM	#22
blazi Confirmed User Join Date: Feb 2003 Location: Closer now Posts: 4,321	thank God for Jupitor or many asteroids would have hit earth by now already! __________________ makingcoin.com - 100% payouts coinscuties.com

08-27-2006, 02:14 AM	#23
polish_aristocrat Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Jul 2002 Posts: 40,377	some video simulations https://youtube.com/watch?v=e-R3xN-U3Bk https://youtube.com/watch?v=Uwb3FDkxfgQ https://youtube.com/watch?v=oB3G0rvCIJc __________________ I don't use ICQ anymore.

08-27-2006, 07:25 AM	#25
Klen Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2006 Location: Little Vienna Posts: 32,235	Asteroid will not hit us beause we going to blow it in orbit.

08-27-2006, 07:37 AM	#27
RichGuy Confirmed User Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 118	If it did - it'd be funny.

08-27-2006, 07:47 AM	#29
SomeCreep :glugglug Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Where the Wild Things Are Posts: 26,118	nooooope. __________________ Webair Hosting I use and recommend Webair for hosting.

08-27-2006, 08:24 PM	#30
nAtuRaLbEautY Confirmed User Join Date: May 2006 Posts: 6,107	i don't think so... __________________ Prime Outsourcing│offshore solutions│manual labor│staff leasing│full time employees starting at $695.00/month=managed and dedicated \| icq: 309570461 \| live chat

08-27-2006, 08:34 PM	#31
SmokeyTheBear ►SouthOfHeaven Join Date: Jun 2004 Location: PlanetEarth MyBoardRank: GerbilMaster My-Penis-Size: extralarge MyWeapon: Computer Posts: 28,609	asteroids hit earth every century im pretty certain __________________ hatisblack at yahoo.com

08-28-2006, 12:20 AM	#33
rodney25 Confirmed User Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 7,090	Very little possiblity... __________________ AFFORDABLE Hosting -- Extreme Dependability -- FULL Service ICQ ME for DAMN GOOD HOSTING DEALS: 5380773

08-28-2006, 12:24 AM	#34
bl4h Confirmed User Join Date: Jul 2006 Location: Philadelphia Posts: 1,282	we will all die from overpopulation and disease long before the next asteroid hits

08-28-2006, 02:59 AM	#36
AsianDivaGirlsWebDude Purveyor, Fine Asian Porn Industry Role: Join Date: Jul 2004 Location: San Francisco Bay Area Posts: 38,323	Good topic... I put down a pretty sizable wager at Ladbroke's that the earth will in fact be hit by an astroid this century. Those suckers are going to paying me out the butt when the planet is split in two. You see, the odds they offered were - let's say, astronomical. I can't wait to see their faces when I go in to collect. They were looking all smug when I placed my bet, and I'm sure that they thought I couldn't hear them snickering as I turned and walked out the door with my bet slip firmly in hand. Well, we will see who has the last laugh... ADG Webmaster __________________ Asian Diva Girls - Exclusive Photos and Videos Asian Diva Girls Affiliate Program (50% ccBill Revshare) Last edited by AsianDivaGirlsWebDude; 08-28-2006 at 03:00 AM..

08-28-2006, 03:15 AM	#39
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08-28-2006, 03:18 AM	#40
ServerGenius Confirmed User Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: Amsterdam Posts: 9,377	I'm more worried about hameroids hitting the earth..... __________________ \| http://www.sinnerscash.com/ \| ICQ: 370820 \| Skype: SinnersCash \| AdultWhosWho \|

08-28-2006, 12:58 PM	#41
polish_aristocrat Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Jul 2002 Posts: 40,377	http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Impact_event

08-29-2006, 12:55 PM	#42
Rhesus Confirmed User Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 2,009	Interesting thread

08-30-2006, 05:54 AM	#44
JayDeeZee Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 3,595	We'll find a way to shoot it first! __________________

08-30-2006, 05:56 AM	#45
MaddCaz Confirmed User Join Date: Mar 2006 Location: Illinois Posts: 9,483	21st? Entirely poossible. __________________ BigCocks.com - MatureWomen.com - Tranny.com - DrunkGirls.com - TeenGirls.com - MonsterCock.com and many more... Click here to see them all!

10-07-2006, 06:35 AM	#48
polish_aristocrat Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Jul 2002 Posts: 40,377

10-07-2006, 07:35 AM	#49
cleanpussynow I have traffic for sale! Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 159	I think that we are going to burn in hell,not asteroid,but human fulishnes. __________________ I'm seling my SIG hit me up please ICQ:439-609-78 ePassporte only

10-07-2006, 07:37 AM	#50
cess Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 2,921	I seriously doubt that would happen. __________________