GoFuckYourself.com - Adult Webmaster Forum - Obama wins Dems nomination in Iowa?? We're fucked!!!

Quote:

Originally Posted by Snake Doctor (Post 13605219)

Yeah but that's just name recognition.
National polls are terribly unreliable at this stage of the game.

About a week before Super Tuesday the national polls will have relevance.

Quantify "terribly unreliable".

At what point time-wise are they relevant and to what degree? why one week? What data backs that up?

Maybe you could share stats on the average error in state primary polls one month prior, one week prior and the day before an election.

How often has a candidate had a 20% lead in polls one month prior to "Super Tuesday"? Be interesting to see.

Really I have no idea of the answer to any of those questions.