| GreyWolf |
11-25-2007 03:51 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Coatsy
(Post 13418014)
Yea I've been seeing that, do you see this as a trend that will continue? Question is, for how long
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Only a gutty :2 cents: feeling Coatsy - it will continue for the foreseeable future and odds on, for longer than that.
We tend to think the current problems are attributable to eg. "wars", home price bubbles etc, but the problem is not new and has existed for 3-4 decades and has gradually been getting worse. The triggers may be the home market and wars, but it was inevitable it would happen at some time. In two one words - "unsustainable fantasy".
To even begin a remedy is a massive task and, who knows, but doubt this could be implemented in 10 years (at least to a level where a degree where signs of improvement are actually evidenced). During that time other countries holding dollar reserves will be spreading risk in other currencies - that makes it even more of an uphill struggle. (In practice, even now, major dollar reserve holdings have been dumped and these are bound to have an effect on the current scenario). Any recovery can't be entrusted soley to a government - it's beyond the level of any govt policy to cultivate actual wealth, but it can be at least a framework for possible recovery.
Again, only a gutty feeling, tho this has already been evidenced - the dollar will not be playing a role to the degree it once did as a reserve currency. Even now, there are more Euro denominated reserve currency holdings than there are in dollars, tho the ECB indicated that it is not their policy to have the Euro as a reserve currency.
Bottom line... the pulling or dumping of dollars will continue for a fairly long time - tho hard to say what that means in timescale - could be 3-5 years, tho could be much longer if there is not an action plan to resolve dollar problems and give investment confidence. That is going to be harder to do now when the hype won't work so well second time around.
Overall... this does little good for anyone, whether US resident or in other countries. As far as internet biz is concerned, - it won't be a option but to charge "real value" as opposed to selling in weaker dollars. Other international traders (and countries) don't deal only in dollars - the adult industry is no different.
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