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its getting worse and worse every year, i noticed a couple regular paid spot buyers dropping out of the game recently because they could no longer turn a profit
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will76 - agreed - and having been around the biz for 10 years Ive seen all the excuses in the world for people that cant sell shit on a stick - what is going on here though is something that started Oct 20th or so - and affects at least 3 US processors - and has caused two major programs to try to swap out their cascade order but Im thinking that it was to no avail as they just swapped to another affected processor
While I totally agree that over years and years there has been the steady drop due to the free stuff and all other regular market forces - this downturn is way off the charts (literally - since I keep big charts) - the normal trend over the years has been around a 5% drop on some traffic a year - but easily made up for by doing something else/new - this drop in October was completely different and affected all types of traffic since it was on the processors' end - and was easily a sharp 20% drop overall - although I can make up for it with other programs - it was just interesting to see that it is(or seems to be) tied to something limited to the US credit card processing market |
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But these past few weeks have been some of my lowest CCB weeks I can remember. |
I also agree with Will to a degree. Plenty of people cry chicken little when they are off for a day week. But if there is a trend effecting multiple people, I give it a thought.
I know for me in the summer months, my sales dip 'maybe' 10-15% (knock on wood) over the years as long as my behavior is the same. But you have to look at it realistically as well. For example. Just as surfers are outside more, vacationing, etc. So are a lot of webmasters. So you are not hunched over your computer like you would be in the winter (i.e. you are not working as hard). But I know for me I made conscious efforts in the past few years to make sure behavior remained the same. When it did. Sales barely dented in summer. Or if I would have a slow month on clips or DVD, I would have a kick ass month somewhere else equally things out. But in this case, I have noticed lowest CCB's sales I can recall. :2 cents: |
While I tend to agree with Will76, I do believe this year has been a touch different. Its not just the holidays. This is the first time in my life that gas has been this high at x-mas, and all the foreclosures going on. People are not spending like normal, because every thing cost so much. On top of that, they are all watching their tv every night wondering when we will be plunged into another war.
We have all seen a bit of a downward trend over that last 3 or 4 months, but I believe this will change somewhere near the end of Jan. This is kind of like a rain storm. The first few hours, you stay indoors and saty dry. and if it last about 5 hours or so, you say fuck it. You run to the car and go to the movies or a friends to hang out. Because this is $$ we are talking, it will take a little longer, but you get the idea. |
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its not the same time all over the world, u know .... |
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Why do sales go up before christmas? are we talking department stores or porn ? Everything I am talking about is online porn. Lots of things affect mainstream businesses, especially offline ones. |
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Also I agree with the overall decline. Free porn is going to kill most traditional picture and video membership sites. thats a fact. But it is a slow gradual decline, wont happen over night and it wont be because of groundhog day or whatever other shit people blame their bad sales days on. |
we have a small site so it probably will not affect us as much but nothing has changed at all. Best week ever was the one where ccbill was late with the checks. It went back to normal after that. 90% of my traffic comes from me though and what little I get is very good. My best affiliate has gone down some so there are areas you can see it . If I did not have my own traffic it would suck a lot more
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all i have to say.... thank god for SEGPAY
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Phone Sex and Cam are still banging.
September was my biggest month ever.. October sucks (but I wasn't really marketing alot).. and November is going to end up beating September. as far as my regular porn goes, the big processors with rebills are keeping me afloat there.. but new porn sales on cookie cutter teen sites or blowjob sites.. not selling. Niche and Fetish, guys.. niche and fetish... |
been online since the end of 04, sales have been harder to get since the end of 05, now even harder.. too much competition on the web. We've been creative in order to maintain our cashflow and it AIN'T with an affiliate program. ( Affiliates count for 10-15% of our sales so it's really something we don't push anymore. The surfer is becoming a different animal and we are changing with the surfer
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I blame spyware. If you look through the serps, all the successful spammers with parasite doorways on high trust hosting are sending their traffic to exploits rather than FPAs for affiliate programs... They must be infecting thousands upon thousands of people every day, and then those people are effectively lost to the legit adult market until they do a reformat.
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Megarotic is #37 on alexa. Their last week average was #23. They will be a top 10 site I predict. Good luck trying to get people to pay $35 a month for a membership :2 cents: |
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