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Old 06-21-2006, 10:53 AM   #1
MikeB
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Los Angeles Ripe for MASSIVE Quake

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/13457472/

LONDON - The southern end of the San Andreas fault near Los Angeles, which has been still for more than two centuries, is under immense stress and could produce a massive earthquake at any moment, a scientist said Wednesday.

Yuri Fialko, of the Scripps Institution of Oceanography at La Jolla, Calif., said that given average annual movement rates in other areas of the fault, there could be enough pent-up energy in the southern end to trigger a cataclysmic jolt of up to 32 feet (10 meters).

"The observed strain rates confirm that the southern section of the San Andreas fault may be approaching the end of the interseismic phase of the earthquake cycle," he wrote in the journal Nature.

A sudden lateral movement of 23 to 32 feet (7 to 10 meters) would be among the largest ever recorded.

According to the U.S. Geological Survey, the earthquake that destroyed San Francisco in 1906 was produced by a sudden movement of the northern end of the fault of up to 21 feet (6.4 meters).

Fialko said there had been no recorded movement at the southern end of the fault ? the 800-mile-long (1,280-kilometer-long) geological meeting point of the Pacific and the North American tectonic plates ? since the dawn of European settlement in the area.

He said this lack of movement for 250 years correlated with the predicted gaps between major earthquakes at the southern end of the fault of between 200 and 300 years.

Elsewhere on the fault, there were average slippage rates up to a couple of centimeters a year that prevented the build-up of explosive pressure deep underground.

When these became blocked and then suddenly broke free, they produced tremors or earthquakes of varying intensity depending on the movement that had taken place before and the duration of the blockage.

USGS says the most recent major earthquakes in the northern and central zones of the San Andreas fault were in 1857 and 1906.

Three possible explanations
Fialko said there were three possible explanations for the lack of observed movement in the southern section: creepage under the surface that had no external manifestation, a scenario in which the section simply doesn't not move as much as the rest of the section, or a major blockage.

"Except for the first possibility above, the continued quiescence increases the likelihood of a future event," he wrote.


Making calculations based on a wide range of land and satellite observations, he discounted the idea of creepage and warned of impending disaster.

"Regardless of fault geometry and mechanical properties of the ambient crust, results presented in this study lend support to intermediate-term forecasts of a high probability of major earthquakes on the southern SAF system," Fialko said.
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Old 06-21-2006, 10:55 AM   #2
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We are WAY overdue.
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Old 06-21-2006, 10:57 AM   #3
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thats why i try not to go to cali

it will be the next atlantis
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Old 06-21-2006, 10:59 AM   #4
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I am about as ready as I can be with supplies. If I make it through the shaking, should be ok. lets just hope it doesnt shake for a few hundred more years.
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:00 AM   #5
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Well the west coast is way overdue for the "Big One" you got to be ready as hell or anything have all the supplies you need to last you for a few days.
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:01 AM   #6
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thats why i try not to go to cali

it will be the next atlantis
if i had bacon wrapped scallops you would come.
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:09 AM   #7
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I sleep in a helmet.
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:18 AM   #8
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OMG, my dream was real! Get the hell out of there everybody the earth is going to open up and swallow you whole!
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:18 AM   #9
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I may live on the shoreline sooner than I thought! Currently in Vegas...but if this story is true....Hmmm........
I best go buy some damn beach towels!
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:19 AM   #10
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We should make fliers and drop then from the sky. Maybe people will leave.
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:20 AM   #11
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I haven't been in a good one in a while. I was in the SF area during the 89 quake. Now that was something.
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:20 AM   #12
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Just wait until Palm Springs has beachfront estates... ;)
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:22 AM   #13
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.....
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:23 AM   #14
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and it shocks the shit out of me when people host here or in south florida.
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:26 AM   #15
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Fuck earthquakes. Bring them on, bitches!
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:26 AM   #16
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It's no surprise that we are due for an earthquake... heck, they call this earthquake zone the "Ring of Fire" for a very good reason! But I wouldn't spend my time worrying too much about if and when it will happen -- there are some things we just can't control, and if we worry about all the "what if's" out there, we'll go crackers! Live your life, prepare for what you can, and hope to be one of the "lucky ones" when doomsday arrives.
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:31 AM   #17
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...Dammm i hope not


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Old 06-21-2006, 11:33 AM   #18
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Yeah....we're screwed! Lol What I've always wondered is what do you do if you're driving and there's an earthquake? Do ya pull over? Lol I really don't know....
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:36 AM   #19
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Yeah....we're screwed! Lol What I've always wondered is what do you do if you're driving and there's an earthquake? Do ya pull over? Lol I really don't know....

Unless it is a huge earthquake you won't even notice it. If it is enough for you to notice, it might be a good idea to stop.
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:37 AM   #20
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Yeah....we're screwed! Lol What I've always wondered is what do you do if you're driving and there's an earthquake? Do ya pull over? Lol I really don't know....
http://www.abag.ca.gov/bayarea/eqmaps/traffic/

http://library.thinkquest.org/3669/3...akeprepar.html

"If you are driving during an earthquake, you should move to the shoulder. Stay away from overpasses, bridges, large buildings, and power lines. Stay in your car until the shaking stops."
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:37 AM   #21
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I haven't been in a good one in a while. I was in the SF area during the 89 quake. Now that was something.
So was I!

Stationed at Coast Guard Island. I was playing a pinball machine, and it started to go bust, for no reason at all.

And then the barracks started to sway back and forth.
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:44 AM   #22
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Great, tell me the this the day before I go there. So comforting :P
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Old 06-21-2006, 11:53 AM   #23
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Sahweeeet!!!!
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Old 06-21-2006, 12:11 PM   #24
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The end of the world is nigh - REPENT!!!
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Old 06-21-2006, 12:13 PM   #25
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Just wait till cali and baj are an island. talk about expensive realestate.
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Old 06-21-2006, 12:21 PM   #26
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i would fear north korea more than an earthquake...
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Old 06-21-2006, 01:32 PM   #27
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I hope me and the family are out of town when it hits.
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Old 06-21-2006, 01:42 PM   #28
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Yeah....we're screwed! Lol What I've always wondered is what do you do if you're driving and there's an earthquake? Do ya pull over? Lol I really don't know....
Drive as fast as you can. Most people will pull to the shoulder. See this as your one opportunity to get from the Valley to the LA Basin in less than 5 minutes during rush hour.
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Old 06-21-2006, 02:00 PM   #29
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Mother earth taking out the trash!
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Old 06-21-2006, 02:07 PM   #30
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I am scared
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Old 06-21-2006, 02:08 PM   #31
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I'm gonna buy some property on the faultline that way when the quake hits, I'll have beachfront properties... lol
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Old 06-21-2006, 02:10 PM   #32
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scary stuff and it will happen, its just a matter of when.
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Old 06-21-2006, 02:11 PM   #33
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breaking news................the world is not flat.....
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Old 06-21-2006, 02:51 PM   #34
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Drive as fast as you can. Most people will pull to the shoulder. See this as your one opportunity to get from the Valley to the LA Basin in less than 5 minutes during rush hour.
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Old 06-21-2006, 02:56 PM   #35
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Old 06-21-2006, 03:00 PM   #36
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Where I live and work can handle a 8.0. Odds are with me.
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Old 06-21-2006, 03:01 PM   #37
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thats why i try not to go to cali

it will be the next atlantis
Thank you VERY fucking much. Stay the hell AWAY from dem parts.
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Old 06-21-2006, 03:07 PM   #38
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There goes 3/4 of a mil in my real estate value
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Old 06-21-2006, 03:44 PM   #39
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Old 06-21-2006, 04:05 PM   #40
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must be a slow news day.. they've been saying this for years
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Old 06-21-2006, 04:12 PM   #41
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well I hope it doesn't happen in our lifetime and when it does, I hope we can deal with it better than any disaster in the past!
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Old 06-21-2006, 04:13 PM   #42
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death is eminent!!!!!!!!
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Old 06-21-2006, 04:19 PM   #43
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sometimes i wonder if the news told you guys to jump you would..
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