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woj :)
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Hey Andrew, you want to do a link trade ;-)
Sriously, this is a great interview and I am soo looking forward for upcomign questions. I think this will be the Smartest Ambush Sleazy's done. Cheers!!! |
Interesting interview..good questions and answers
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oh man catching up on this thread almost broke my brain! All that math talk? Damn i'm glad it's only saturday. :)
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Great interview and company....
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Cool interview. Andrew, I hope you don't mind a couple of hardball questions...
1. Have you seen any effect of Myspace & other free services on A. Your Business & B. the overall sector. 2. What is the average retention sitewide on AFF and FF. 3. Which FFI sites retains the longest? 4. What's the ratio of free members to paid? We always hear stuff about Adult Friend Finder FF but we rarely hear about the other "900" sites in the protfolio we are able to promote. Tell us about them. |
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Here's a lovely example http://www.mlslistings.com/common/properties/propertyDetail.asp?open=0&page=1&mls_number=607576 &type=property&name= or go large with http://www.mlslistings.com/common/properties/propertyDetail.asp?open=0&page=1&mls_number=604406 &type=property&name=http://www.mlslistings.com/common/pr...property&name= I do have my eyes open for a ranch or farm though - somewhere I can motor around in a tractor and dig up stuff. :) |
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i may be an idiot but i think there is a fourth option: The player picks empty door number 1. The game host picks the other empty door. Switching will win the car. The player picks empty door number 2. The game host picks the other empty door. Switching will win the car. The player picks the car. The game host picks one of the two empty doors. Switching will lose. The player picks the car. The game host picks one of the two empty doors. Switching will lose. that would make it 50/50 its like the are counting the empty door collectively. |
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You HAVE to consider all the possibilities, even if two of them seem the same (Player picks the car). Either way, personally I'd always stick with my first guess even if it presents no advantage :2 cents: |
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I like how the second link's ad says "Classic in Professorville" Andrew, I have an ant farm I'll give you a good deal on :tongue: |
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yeah housing in bay atrea is toally fucked up, but prices are now fallinghte bubble is bursting. read this http://patrick.net/housing/crash.html#links |
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A: Myspace runs a 100% open model where people of all ages can post most anything. While they have had amazing growth, they have to rely almost entirely on mainstream advertisers for revenue. Its similar to TGPs vs paysites - people still pay for paysites because they don't want to weed through clutter and that service/content/etc is better. We continue to grow at an incredible rate. Q: What is the average retention sitewide on AFF and FF. A: Very high - we have a whole team who's responsible for customer happiness and retention. Q: Which FFI sites retains the longest? A: It really depends on your traffic source. ALT.com has a very long retention rate because it's a tight niche with many motivated members. OutPersonals.com is similar for gay men looking to hookup. Retention is also all about satisfying people - as our sites are so active, members know that they are getting their money's worth. We're really excited about the new launch of http://cams.com as it is turning out to have some of the highest repeat purchase rate measured. It's definitely a site that gets it revenue out of "life of member" than all up front. Q: What's the ratio of free members to paid? A: It all depends on traffic - some affiliates do 10-20 times better conversions than others. Q: We always hear stuff about Adult Friend Finder FF but we rarely hear about the other "900" sites in the protfolio we are able to promote. Tell us about them. A: Ya, we have about 25 sites for a very wide range of traffic - each is setup to help affiliates make the most of their traffic source. For example, many webmasters have lots of chinese, indian, korean, etc traffic that doesn't convert well. Many of our programs pay for free members to monetize non-english traffic. Here's a complete list of sites: https://secure.adultfriendfinder.com...=summary_sites |
great interview!
didn't jerry yang graduate from stanford as well? Quote:
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ALMOST... but at least you know when you buy a house on the "mainland," you also get the land it sits on. Not always the case in HI.:disgust |
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of a blur now between them. |
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That is by design, you would not know if you picked it right until you were offered a 2nd choice |
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Playing this game on that website does not give more insight. The programmer might be biased and use the wrong variables. |
Great umm, answers(?) to my questions.
You can easily be a Bush administration press agent. LOL Oh well, I should have expected that after I saw your post about what's behibd the doors. :1orglaugh Just keep doing what you are doing because you guys are doing it fantastically!:thumbsup |
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grown considerably over the past 10 years, there is much more to do. I have grown as well - from being key to the company to being a part of an amazing team. As we contine to bring in additional talent, I expect that my role will evolve again. |
Okay... here it comes... will Andrew answer #11????? Stay tuned. Same Bat time, same Bat channel.
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great interview! I liked the yahoo story! hehe... isn't that the MOST visited website on the net?
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great interview to do. nice guy.
:thumbsup |
One other question: what type of hours do you work? Still 40+ hour weeks, more or less, same hours every day? I know of "newbies" and many successful people in the biz alike that still work tremendous hours (for example, I think Lars works hard, at least it seems so, even though he's already a complete success). In your position, you have the ability to have lots of time off, do you still work 5-7 day weeks?
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If you choose door number 1 and could switch to door number 2 and 3 would you take it? |
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http://www.milohedge.com/im/sinxy.gif |
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Two doors give a 2/3 chance of winning the car so I would switch from one to two doors any day. If one door is eliminated though this brings chances back to 1/2. No need to switch then. I could switch or I could not switch depending on the tone and reputation of the person asking me...example" Are you suuuuuuuure you dont want to switch even though I think you are wrong and wont get anything" yeah..then I would probably switch. :upsidedow This would not be based on mathematics but on psychology though. |
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As for me paying attention in the math class, go see for yourself. I'm too lazy to type it all out: http://www.cs.utoronto.ca/~sengels/c...ability1up.pdf |
Great ambush so far :thumbsup
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FACT: If you didn't pick the right door then when you switch it will always be behind the door you switch to. What are the odds that you picked the right door? |
Was nice meeting you Andrew in LA. Wish we had more time to chat maybe next show!
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Card game experiment Consider the problem as a card game where the goal is to end up with the ace of spades. Doing this may make the answer easier to understand and provides a way anyone can run a simple experiment. Take three cards including the ace of spades. Shuffle them and deal one to the "player" while you (the "host") keep two. Looking at the two, discard one so long as it is not the ace of spades. Should the player switch? To amplify the effect, do this again using the entire deck. Deal one card to the player while you keep 51 and (looking at the 51) discard 50 so long as none of them is the ace of spades. By switching, the player will nearly always win (51 out of 52 times). For a more thorough walkthrough of this experiment, consider two players. Player A and Player B take the 13 diamond cards out of a standard deck of cards. The cards are shuffled, and then Player A receives one card face-down and is not permitted to see the card's face. Player B receives the other 12 cards, and he may look at them. Both players are trying to wind up with the ace of diamonds in their hand. Question: Player A received one card. Player B received twelve cards. What are the chances that the ace is currently in Player B's hand? Answer: Twelve out of thirteen. Player B has twelve cards and can examine the card faces. At least eleven of them are not the ace. Player B takes out eleven non-ace cards from his hand and lays them down face-up. Question: Player B did not discard the ace (which he may not even have). No cards have moved from one hand to the other. Therefore, if the ace was in Player B's hand at the beginning, it is still there now. What are the chances that the ace is currently in Player B's hand? Answer: Since the chances depend only on whether or not he originally received the ace, the chances are still twelve out of thirteen. Player A now has an option: he can stay with the one card he was originally dealt (which he hasn't looked at), or he can switch his hand with Player B's hand, which was originally dealt twelve of the thirteen cards. Question: If the ace is currently in Player B's hand, Player A will win by switching hands. What are the chances that Player A will win by switching hands? Answer: Since the chances depend only on whether or not Player B originally got the ace, the chances are twelve out of thirteen. :thumbsup |
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The problem with your logic here is that you're counting the player picking the car twice....which is an error because he will only pick the car on the first try one time out of three, not two times out of four. Basically it's like this....switching only wins if you picked incorrectly the first time. You will pick incorrectly 2/3 of the time, so switching means you will win 2/3 of the time. If you read my earlier posts you'll see that I wasn't sold on this either, statistics or not, until I came across a logical explanation for why it's true. |
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loves to hang out in the affiliate department. http://photos.conru.com/conru/albums/35/735.27960.jpg |
I miss Cleo almost as much you, Andrew.
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how to communcation using sign language. Koko has do over 1000 signs, understands 2000 spoken words and has an IQ of around 80. I just think it's cool (http://koko.org). If we could just teach gorillas to use credit cards, I'm sure we'd create a site for them.... monkeymoney... bananabucks... http://koko.org/images/kokopix/06020...k_pencil_T.jpg |
You are definetly one of the guys I have looked up too. Great Interview, and great read.
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amazing read so far!
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I'm addicted to this little restaurant a block from the office that makes amazing breakfast food all day -- but they had the cheapest high school cafeteria silverware. So one night, we anonymously dropped off a crate of silverware for the whole place. Maybe I'm too much of a micromanager but it's much better eating breakfast with nice silverware. |
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TheProfessor's anwsers to all the questions have been excellent. :thumbsup to you all. |
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it was nice meeting you in vegas at the moviepost dinner andrew.. |
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