12th Hurricame of the season - GoFuckYourself.com

ElvisManson · 10-18-2005, 08:08 AM

It's Official. Ties the record for the most hurricanes in a season set in 1969.

Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on October 18, 2005
Wilma is being upgraded to a hurricane based on subjective Dvorak
classifications of t4.0 from all agencies...and objective T numbers
from UW/CIMSS of t4.5 since 09z. Another reconnaissance aircraft is
scheduled to be in the system this afternoon. Cold convection is
being maintained over the center...and strong upper-level outflow
channels continue to the northeast and southwest of the center.
Oceanic heat content ahead of Wilma is high. The only inhibiting
factor is the dry air mass in the Gulf and extreme northwestern
Caribbean...but the large and growing circulation of Wilma should
be able to keep much of this air from reaching the core. A high
likelihood of rapid strengthening is indicated by the SHIPS rapid
intensification index...and it is likely that Wilma will be a major
hurricane when it enters the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. As Wilma
accelerates northeastward late in the forecast period...wind shear
is forecast to increase...but there may not be enough of it to
weaken Wilma very quickly. However...it is Worth remembering that
there is little skill in long-range intensity forecasts.
The initial motion is estimated to be 320/5. There has been little
change to the track forecast thinking. The mid- to upper-level low
that had been off the Southern California coast is now moving
northeastward...and as it progresses high pressure over the Gulf of
Mexico is expected to weaken...allowing Wilma to move through the
northwestern Caribbean and enter the southeastern Gulf of Mexico in
about three days. Once Wilma moves north of the subtropical ridge
axis and encounters mid-level westerly flow...an acceleration
northeastward is expected. Model guidance has not changed much and
remains in very good agreement...and the official forecast is very
similar to the previous advisory and close to the dynamical model
consensus.
Wilma...the 12th hurricane of the season...ties the record for most
hurricanes in a season set in 1969.
Forecaster Franklin
forecast positions and Max winds
initial 18/1500z 16.5n 80.6w 65 kt
12hr VT 19/0000z 17.0n 81.2w 75 kt
24hr VT 19/1200z 17.7n 82.3w 90 kt
36hr VT 20/0000z 18.5n 83.5w 100 kt
48hr VT 20/1200z 19.6n 84.5w 105 kt
72hr VT 21/1200z 22.0n 85.5w 105 kt
96hr VT 22/1200z 24.0n 84.0w 100 kt
120hr VT 23/1200z 28.5n 78.5w 75 kt

sherie · 10-18-2005, 08:15 AM

Thank you Weather Man Brent!! :P

How was the party Saturday night?

Jay · 10-18-2005, 08:20 AM

Yeah and it looks like its heading right for us.....

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...tml?5day?large

Ace-wtf · 10-18-2005, 08:27 AM

what a crazy season

ElvisManson · 10-18-2005, 08:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sherie

Thank you Weather Man Brent!! :P

How was the party Saturday night?

it was Amazing... He had a new mummy and a bunch of new skulls and other artifacts on display. Cool people and the standard celebrity types.

mikie mike · 10-18-2005, 08:30 AM

Dam another hurricane

MacDaddyPlaya · 10-18-2005, 08:31 AM

Here we go again....ugh. At least its coming in from the west this time. Sorry for you west coast floridians but it should severely lessen the impact we will feel over here on the east coast.

JeffsDesigns · 10-18-2005, 08:31 AM

Just what we need...another Hurricane.

EroticySteve · 10-18-2005, 09:41 AM

I was just about to eat a slim jim but this next 'cane looks like it will bring enough excitement.

EroticySteve · 10-18-2005, 09:44 AM

Good news is that it has a chance of going over South Florida which would be good, there is very sparse population in the everglades.

WiredGuy · 10-18-2005, 12:00 PM

Damn, it certainly does seem like the end of the world with all these killer hurricanes.
WG

Evil Chris · 10-18-2005, 12:02 PM

I once drank 6 hurricanes in 6 hours.

I don't recommend you trying that at home.

Anthony · 10-18-2005, 12:04 PM

My only regret is that I can't shoot any looters.

It will be a rainstorm by the time it hits the east coast.

Stallion · 10-18-2005, 12:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Anthony

My only regret is that I can't shoot any looters.

It will be a rainstorm by the time it hits the east coast.

Maybe one day you will get your chance.. lol

KRL · 10-18-2005, 01:15 PM

I'm not betting on these 5 day position forecasts. These predictions seem to always be off the mark by hundreds of miles.

ElvisManson · 10-18-2005, 01:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Anthony

My only regret is that I can't shoot any looters.

It will be a rainstorm by the time it hits the east coast.

I'd rather see you put an Arm Bar on them in a foot of water and watch em drown.

Forest · 10-18-2005, 01:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Anthony

My only regret is that I can't shoot any looters.

It will be a rainstorm by the time it hits the east coast.

since when has that ever stopped you

MickeyG · 10-18-2005, 02:11 PM

I bought a generator after the last one, fuck that losing power bullshit. I'll be chillin in the a/c watchin the big screen tv this time :D

JOELK · 10-18-2005, 02:19 PM

damn republicans and there global warming. lol. we are all doomed!!!

10-18-2005, 08:08 AM	#1
ElvisManson Looking California Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2001 Posts: 5,476	12th Hurricame of the season It's Official. Ties the record for the most hurricanes in a season set in 1969. Statement as of 11:00 am EDT on October 18, 2005 Wilma is being upgraded to a hurricane based on subjective Dvorak classifications of t4.0 from all agencies...and objective T numbers from UW/CIMSS of t4.5 since 09z. Another reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to be in the system this afternoon. Cold convection is being maintained over the center...and strong upper-level outflow channels continue to the northeast and southwest of the center. Oceanic heat content ahead of Wilma is high. The only inhibiting factor is the dry air mass in the Gulf and extreme northwestern Caribbean...but the large and growing circulation of Wilma should be able to keep much of this air from reaching the core. A high likelihood of rapid strengthening is indicated by the SHIPS rapid intensification index...and it is likely that Wilma will be a major hurricane when it enters the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. As Wilma accelerates northeastward late in the forecast period...wind shear is forecast to increase...but there may not be enough of it to weaken Wilma very quickly. However...it is Worth remembering that there is little skill in long-range intensity forecasts. The initial motion is estimated to be 320/5. There has been little change to the track forecast thinking. The mid- to upper-level low that had been off the Southern California coast is now moving northeastward...and as it progresses high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico is expected to weaken...allowing Wilma to move through the northwestern Caribbean and enter the southeastern Gulf of Mexico in about three days. Once Wilma moves north of the subtropical ridge axis and encounters mid-level westerly flow...an acceleration northeastward is expected. Model guidance has not changed much and remains in very good agreement...and the official forecast is very similar to the previous advisory and close to the dynamical model consensus. Wilma...the 12th hurricane of the season...ties the record for most hurricanes in a season set in 1969. Forecaster Franklin forecast positions and Max winds initial 18/1500z 16.5n 80.6w 65 kt 12hr VT 19/0000z 17.0n 81.2w 75 kt 24hr VT 19/1200z 17.7n 82.3w 90 kt 36hr VT 20/0000z 18.5n 83.5w 100 kt 48hr VT 20/1200z 19.6n 84.5w 105 kt 72hr VT 21/1200z 22.0n 85.5w 105 kt 96hr VT 22/1200z 24.0n 84.0w 100 kt 120hr VT 23/1200z 28.5n 78.5w 75 kt Last edited by ElvisManson; 10-18-2005 at 08:10 AM..

10-18-2005, 08:15 AM	#2
sherie Confirmed User Join Date: Feb 2002 Posts: 7,020	Thank you Weather Man Brent!! :P How was the party Saturday night? __________________ AIM sherierocks ICQ 127-296-286 Skype traffichor

10-18-2005, 08:20 AM	#3
Jay Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2001 Location: can I get there from here Posts: 1,131	Yeah and it looks like its heading right for us..... http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...tml?5day?large __________________ Jay <at> DateProfits.com \| Skype: onemarketpro

10-18-2005, 08:27 AM	#4
Ace-wtf Confirmed User Join Date: Jun 2005 Location: rolling for CASH Posts: 2,983	what a crazy season __________________ Don't miss out on the new HYPE!!! icq: 226370630

10-18-2005, 08:30 AM	#6
mikie mike Confirmed User Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: Puddle Town Posts: 459	Dam another hurricane __________________

10-18-2005, 08:31 AM	#7
MacDaddyPlaya Confirmed User Join Date: Nov 2004 Location: Just north of Cuba Posts: 1,785	Here we go again....ugh. At least its coming in from the west this time. Sorry for you west coast floridians but it should severely lessen the impact we will feel over here on the east coast. __________________ Sigless

10-18-2005, 08:31 AM	#8
JeffsDesigns Registered User Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 81	Just what we need...another Hurricane. __________________ SIG TOO BIG! Maximum 120x60 button and no more than 3 text lines of DEFAULT SIZE and COLOR. Unless your sig is for a GFY top banner sponsor, you may use a 624x80 instead of a 120x60. Let me repeat... A 120 x 60 button and no more that 3 lines of DEFAULT SIZE AND COLOR text.

10-18-2005, 09:41 AM	#9
EroticySteve Confirmed User Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: The Sunshine State Posts: 4,365	I was just about to eat a slim jim but this next 'cane looks like it will bring enough excitement. __________________ You deserve to make more money. I'll help you do that. Our affiliates earn up to $3/email or $107/sale email steve <at> eroticy.com - icq 290153464

10-18-2005, 09:44 AM	#10
EroticySteve Confirmed User Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: The Sunshine State Posts: 4,365	Good news is that it has a chance of going over South Florida which would be good, there is very sparse population in the everglades. __________________ You deserve to make more money. I'll help you do that. Our affiliates earn up to $3/email or $107/sale email steve <at> eroticy.com - icq 290153464

10-18-2005, 12:00 PM	#11
WiredGuy Pounding Googlebot Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2002 Location: Canada Posts: 34,488	Damn, it certainly does seem like the end of the world with all these killer hurricanes. WG __________________ I play with Google.

10-18-2005, 12:02 PM	#12
Evil Chris OG Industry Role: Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: 3rd from the Sun Posts: 13,235	I once drank 6 hurricanes in 6 hours. I don't recommend you trying that at home. __________________ It PAYZE to post on GFY chris at payze.com \| Skype chriswrp

10-18-2005, 12:04 PM	#13
Anthony Keyboard Warrior Join Date: Feb 2001 Location: One of the outer rings of Hell Posts: 9,653	My only regret is that I can't shoot any looters. It will be a rainstorm by the time it hits the east coast. __________________

10-18-2005, 01:15 PM	#15
KRL Entrepreneur Join Date: Oct 2002 Location: USA Posts: 31,429	I'm not betting on these 5 day position forecasts. These predictions seem to always be off the mark by hundreds of miles. __________________ If you would like to develop your domains, you can lease inexpensive foreign labor from the leaders in the field at iWebmasters.com TO LOWER YOUR COSTS AND INCREASE YOUR PRODUCTION! * * * * * * * * * * * * Domains Adult News KRL's Newsletter Biz Tips Just Listed Domains

10-18-2005, 02:11 PM	#18
MickeyG Confirmed User Join Date: May 2004 Location: South Florida Posts: 4,134	I bought a generator after the last one, fuck that losing power bullshit. I'll be chillin in the a/c watchin the big screen tv this time :D

10-18-2005, 02:19 PM	#19
JOELK Confirmed User Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 356	damn republicans and there global warming. lol. we are all doomed!!!