Every day you wake up, there is a 1 in 20,000 chance...

**Orga** · 08-23-2005, 04:14 AM

bullshit

**Harmon** · 08-23-2005, 04:15 AM

Originally posted by Orga

bullshit

Seriously... not a joke, and actual statistic... I will look for some proof, but saw this on History Channel last night. I was kind of impressed as well...

**dropped9** · 08-23-2005, 04:16 AM

think about this

**Harmon** · 08-23-2005, 04:17 AM

"Odds are you'll die somehow. For U.S. residents, here are some ways, and some odds the experts have applied to them:

Car Crash: 1-in-100

Electrocution: 1-in-5,000

Asteroid Impact: 1-in-20,000

Plane Crash: 1-in-20,000

Tornado: 1-in-60,000

Bite or Sting: 1-in-100,000"

SOURCE: Chapman & Morrison, Nature, 1994

**GatorB** · 08-23-2005, 04:18 AM

Originally posted by Harmon

... that the Earth will be hit by a NEO (Near Earth Object) at least a half a mile wide or larger, causing havoc in cataclysmic proportions. Think about THAT

So once every 55 years the earth is hit with by a mile wide NEO?

**Harmon** · 08-23-2005, 04:18 AM

Hey Headless, good morning you 400 lb. bag of amputated assholes... how ya doin Baby Huey?

**dropped9** · 08-23-2005, 04:19 AM

very good thank you

**OldSchoolJim** · 08-23-2005, 04:20 AM

how ya doin Baby Huey?

hahahahaha....someone remembers baby huey!

**Murderous** · 08-23-2005, 04:20 AM

1994?

For TODAYS numbers, simply multiply each 1 by 2 and divide each of the larger numbers by 3.

**Manowar** · 08-23-2005, 04:21 AM

Originally posted by Headless

think about this

**Harmon** · 08-23-2005, 04:22 AM

Originally posted by GatorB

So once every 55 years the earth is hit with by a mile wide NEO?

Listen man... playin the Lottery won't net you a win, even with statistics. It's all about the given data and of course a spin on randomality... here, look for yourself... it's everywhere:

GOOGLE IT

**Harmon** · 08-23-2005, 04:22 AM

Originally posted by 2getit

hahahahaha....someone remembers baby huey!

Of course I do - he stalks me daily because he's a fat load of shit and thinks I have the controlling vote over at Hostess cupcake company

**Rui** · 08-23-2005, 04:24 AM

Originally posted by Headless

very good thank you

WICKED!!!!!!!!!!

**Cassie** · 08-23-2005, 04:24 AM

everyday i have a 50-50 chance of tripping over my dogs, falling down the stairs and breaking my neck.

life is full of surprises. live everyday to the fullest.

**Ninja Scripts** · 08-23-2005, 04:24 AM

Originally posted by Harmon

Listen man... playin the Lottery won't net you a win, even with statistics. It's all about the given data and of course a spin on randomality... here, look for yourself... it's everywhere:

GOOGLE IT

Scientists say all kinds of retarded shit like that, doesn't make it true.

**Harmon** · 08-23-2005, 04:27 AM

Originally posted by Ninja Scripts

Scientists say all kinds of retarded shit like that, doesn't make it true.

Who are you? Thanks for your input...

**Dirty Dane** · 08-23-2005, 04:29 AM

Yes its a good way of abusing statistics without including the time, but only the damage effect.

For example there were no cars relative few years ago, so chance of getting killed in car accident was zero back then. And looking forward, I say there is a bigger chance that you will die on some highway between planet Mars and Earth, than getting hit by an asteroid.

**dropped9** · 08-23-2005, 04:33 AM

think about this one too

**sumphatpimp** · 08-23-2005, 04:35 AM

when I wakeup in the morning I am much more concerned with the probability of me getting laid, winning money or some other pleasant thing.
some geek with a phd, no life and couldn't get laid if he tried, spouting useless horseshit is meaningless.

**PixeLs** · 08-23-2005, 04:35 AM

...and what made you think I would like to know that?

**GatorB** · 08-23-2005, 04:35 AM

Originally posted by Harmon

Listen man... playin the Lottery won't net you a win, even with statistics. It's all about the given data and of course a spin on randomality... here, look for yourself... it's everywhere:

GOOGLE IT

WTF does that mean? 55 years= 20,000 days. So if on average every day we have a 1 in 20 K chance of being hit by a mile wide NEO then on average once every 55 years we should be hot by one but we aren't. Odds are more like 1 in 20 million at best.

**bhutocracy** · 08-23-2005, 04:38 AM

Originally posted by GatorB

So once every 55 years the earth is hit with by a mile wide NEO?

yeah lol what a load of shit. I wonder what happened to the ten extinction level events since 1500.

**Ninja Scripts** · 08-23-2005, 04:39 AM

Originally posted by GatorB

WTF does that mean? 55 years= 20,000 days. So if on average every day we have a 1 in 20 K chance of being hit by a mile wide NEO then on average once every 55 years we should be hot by one but we aren't. Odds are more like 1 in 20 million at best.

I saw them dig up a dinosaur bone the other day. They said it was 20 million years old. I believe em because they said it.

**reed_4** · 08-23-2005, 04:40 AM

what a fuckin probability you've made man.

**bhutocracy** · 08-23-2005, 04:41 AM

**dropped9** · 08-23-2005, 04:41 AM

**sumphatpimp** · 08-23-2005, 04:41 AM

just thought of something.
I am 57 years old.
you missed!

**GatorB** · 08-23-2005, 04:42 AM

Originally posted by Ninja Scripts

I saw them dig up a dinosaur bone the other day. They said it was 20 million years old. I believe em because they said it.

Actually it would have to be 65 million years old or older. Don't tell me you are one of those that believe the Earth is only 6000 years old?

**GatorB** · 08-23-2005, 04:45 AM

Originally posted by bhutocracy

Harmon could use this one too

**Ninja Scripts** · 08-23-2005, 04:46 AM

Originally posted by GatorB

Actually it would have to be 65 million years old or older. Don't tell me you are one of those that believe the Earth is only 6000 years old?

I don't know how old the earth is, but neither does anyone else. ;)

**bhutocracy** · 08-23-2005, 04:47 AM

heh.. i actually bought innumeracy.. good book if you're into that kinda thing.

**GatorB** · 08-23-2005, 05:12 AM

Originally posted by Ninja Scripts

I don't know how old the earth is, but neither does anyone else. ;)

It's about 4.5 billion years old.

Every day you wake up, there is a 1 in 20,000 chance...

Every day you wake up, there is a 1 in 20,000 chance...

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