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Old 06-24-2005, 01:25 PM   #1
Shoehorn!
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Does history really repeat itself - The Olduvai Theory

Lets hear it.

http://www.hubbertpeak.com/duncan/Olduvai.htm
http://www.oilcrash.com/articles/olduvai.htm
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Old 06-24-2005, 01:27 PM   #2
After Shock Media
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In those cases no.
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Old 06-24-2005, 01:27 PM   #3
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This site:
http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/

made me think of why we are truly in Iraq (if it wasn't obvious) and why the government would be interested in reinstating the draft in the near future.
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Old 06-24-2005, 01:29 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by psili
This site:
http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/

made me think of why we are truly in Iraq (if it wasn't obvious) and why the government would be interested in reinstating the draft in the near future.
Yup, reading that now (along with all the sources and links). Very interesting.
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Old 06-24-2005, 01:29 PM   #5
adonthenet
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nope....
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Old 06-24-2005, 01:31 PM   #6
strats
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Sure doesn't.
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Old 06-24-2005, 01:40 PM   #7
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Since this is a per-capita measure, growth rates of population vs. growth in energy production must be considered. If population growth exceeds energy production (as defined) then this in itself would cause the %age to fall. Similarly, 61% of the world's population lives in Asia, and a mere 5% in North America, 11% in europe. You will notice an inverse relationship between per-capita income and geographical location. Also, you will see an inverse relationship between prosperirty and population growth. What this means is that the areas where population is growing the fastest are the same places where the total energy consumed per-capita is much lower. So the data is doubly-skewed. Also, energy use per person is not well defined. If this ratio is related to oil/petroleum usage, then the data is again skewed by the emergence of new technologies and more effcient sources and uses of energy (ie the amount of energy required to produce a good ---> less usage per capita). All in all this sounds like a crack-pot theory which would only be championed by fear mongerers and those looking to profit from the volatile energy market.
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