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Old 11-03-2004, 05:06 AM   #1
stocktrader23
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What do you think the chances are that the provisional and absontee ballots....

Favor Kerry by a much higher % than the rest of FL and OH votes were counted at?
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Old 11-03-2004, 05:08 AM   #2
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absentee of course. *
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Old 11-03-2004, 05:08 AM   #3
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Zero.
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Old 11-03-2004, 05:09 AM   #4
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Zero.
Pig shit.
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Old 11-03-2004, 05:36 AM   #5
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Provisional ballots were cast by "voters" who weren't (for whatever reason) allowed to cast a regular ballot. Kerry's camp claims 250,000 provisional ballots. The Bush camp claims about 120,000 provisional ballots. The first question is how many are there really? The next question is how many of those will be deemed valid votes and how many of those votes were rightfully disallowed to be cast normally?

If Kerry's numbers are accurate, all the provisional ballots would have to be deemed valid and Kerry would have to win them 193,110.5 to 56,889.5 just to break even.

If Bush's numbers are accurate since Bush's margin in Ohio is larger than his estimate of provisional ballots it would be impossible for Kerry to pull even much less win.
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Old 11-03-2004, 05:39 AM   #6
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Bush is your new president, start crying now.
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Old 11-03-2004, 05:44 AM   #7
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Oh, yeah. As for Florida, 99% of precincts counted and Bush won by 5%. Kerry doesn't have any hope at all left there.
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Old 11-03-2004, 05:47 AM   #8
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Originally posted by jas1552
Oh, yeah. As for Florida, 99% of precincts counted and Bush won by 5%. Kerry doesn't have any hope at all left there.
This isn't a who will win with the other ballots thread. I asked if everyone thinks they will break in the same % as the votes already counted. If they favor one or the other by a much higher margin there will be all kinds of drama.
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Old 11-03-2004, 07:41 AM   #9
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Can't really say. with all conspiracy going on.
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Old 11-03-2004, 08:05 AM   #10
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Kerry needs 90% + of the provisional ballots.

As far as I'm concerned its over.
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