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Old 10-31-2004, 01:25 PM   #1
Centurion
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Lastest vote count from electoral-vote.com

http://www.electoral-vote.com

Looking good..though for some reason they now have Ohio leaning Bush whereas almost every other poll I've seen has Kerry ahead in Ohio.

But even in this projection, Kerry has more than enough electoral votes to win!
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Old 10-31-2004, 01:30 PM   #2
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John Zogby (of the Zogby poll) was on the "Daily Show" last Thursday and after a little chit chat, John Stewart asked Zogby who is going to win. Without hesitation, Zogby says "Kerry."

Stewart then says "You're just saying that because this is a pro-kerry audience. If you were in front of a pro-Bush audience you'd say "Bush"."

Zogby said no he would not. He explained that Bush's numbers are terrible..That he can't break 48% in the most important swing states and that the undecideds tend to vote 2-1 for the challenger.

Zogby was also the one to have the most accurate poll for the 2000 Presidential election.
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Old 10-31-2004, 01:33 PM   #3
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wow. just yesterday, those numbers were switched lol
oh well.......2 more days for the *real* polls to come out
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Old 10-31-2004, 01:34 PM   #4
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this is the predicted outcome:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/pred/index.html
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Old 10-31-2004, 01:46 PM   #5
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I wonder if anyone has ever done a study on the historical accuracy of pre-election polls?

I'd like to see it.
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Old 10-31-2004, 01:52 PM   #6
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wow, thats looking pretty good
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Old 10-31-2004, 02:30 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally posted by WickedVenus
this is the predicted outcome:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/pred/index.html
I can settle for that..though I think New Mexico & Ohio will switch ownership come election day.
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Old 10-31-2004, 02:34 PM   #8
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I think its all going to come down to Florida once again, and we saw what happened last time.
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Old 10-31-2004, 02:50 PM   #9
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