Electoral-vote.com - Guess who's leading... - GoFuckYourself.com

FaberX · 10-17-2004, 03:08 PM

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Go Kerry!

dunefield · 10-17-2004, 03:08 PM

no...

pornJester · 10-17-2004, 03:09 PM

holla

Libertine · 10-17-2004, 03:10 PM

Neither one is leading. It's a dead tie.

MrJackMeHoff · 10-17-2004, 03:10 PM

Kerry 253 Bush 247

Thats a tie?

eroswebmaster · 10-17-2004, 03:11 PM

That is a huge change from last week. Kerry was like 211.

baddog · 10-17-2004, 03:12 PM

looks like FL will be the deciding factor again

Manowar · 10-17-2004, 03:14 PM

Lol, even if kerry was ahead - bush will still win

I hope kerry does win though

Libertine · 10-17-2004, 03:15 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by MrJackMeHoff
Kerry 253 Bush 247

Thats a tie?

Yup, since the margin of error more than covers the difference. Besides, 270 is the minimum needed to win.

Dildozer · 10-17-2004, 03:17 PM

Redneck states are voting for Bush. It figures.

baddog · 10-17-2004, 03:19 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by punkworld
Yup, since the margin of error more than covers the difference. Besides, 270 is the minimum needed to win.

Look at the chart, FL (27 votes) is shown to be a dead tie. Whoever wins that would get the 27 votes and victory . . . if you believe that chart.

Libertine · 10-17-2004, 03:21 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by baddog
Look at the chart, FL (27 votes) is shown to be a dead tie. Whoever wins that would get the 27 votes and victory . . . if you believe that chart.

Yup, that too.

pornguy · 10-17-2004, 03:22 PM

Florida is very often one of the deciding states.

There are a lot of people with a lot of money there.

The thing against Bush is that he fucked the Cubans just a few months ago. But for some reason some of them still love him. And he will puh for the old people and all the things he has done for them.

Babagirls · 10-17-2004, 03:24 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Dildozer
Redneck states are voting for Bush. It figures.

yep...

Kentucky: 57% Bush/38% Kerry

Tennesee: 58% Bush/39% Kerry

West Virginia: 50% Bush/44% Kerry/1% Nader (lol)

NoCarrier · 10-17-2004, 03:28 PM

New CNN/USA Today Poll

Oct. 14-16, 2004.

Bush 52%

Kerry 44%

http://pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm

cold_ice · 10-17-2004, 03:28 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by baddog
looks like FL will be the deciding factor again

Scary isn't it

Lane · 10-17-2004, 03:36 PM

http://www.electoral-vote.com/info/graph.html

FaberX · 10-17-2004, 03:39 PM

Now, what I don't fully understand is this:
I'm from Argentina, a country of 30 million, and in the last few elections, the only polls that where close where those that surveyed anywhere from 10,000 to 30,000 voters...
Here, they take a couple of days to post new polls where they usually poll just about 1000 potential voters... doesn't that smell shitty to you? I guess unless 'my' governor Jeb gets his hands real dirty, much more than in 2000, cons are gonna be for a great surprise come nov 2...

warlock5 · 10-17-2004, 03:40 PM

I hope this election is as close, or closer than the last want. I want Kerry to win a re-count just to piss off the people who told Gore supporters to "get over it" last time around.

DaLord · 10-17-2004, 03:40 PM

Well my sites are already flying Kerry banners so I'm doing what I can.

And I'm not even american but I will do what I can no matter what.
I have several american friends outside the adult business and they say their life is getting worse month by month. If I sit back and don't do something I would feel like a prick for ignoring the shit.

I might not be able to do much but something counts more than nothing.
And I can show the banners to 200.000 americans every day which is something.

Doctor Dre · 10-17-2004, 03:43 PM

Actually bush is really in the lead ... I think

nofx · 10-17-2004, 03:46 PM

i have faith in kerry

Paul Waters · 10-17-2004, 03:56 PM

The Florida fix is in again.

I fear Bush wil win.

stocktrader23 · 10-17-2004, 04:15 PM

Few comments.

a) Even the guy that put up the polls that made Bush a big favorite said he didn't trust them. They always have Bush ahead by more than the other polling places. He said he left it because he made it a point to use the newest polls and theirs happened to be it.

b) I read somewhere that 2/3 undecides vote underdog on election day. They were saying that for Bush to win a state with 2% going to other candidates he'd need at least 50% of the vote. States like FL that are a coin flip or close would most probably go to Kerry.

c) Kerry will win.

kane · 10-17-2004, 04:59 PM

this site is pretty well researched but there are flaws in the polls. For example the polls of likely voters VS registered voters. The likely voter polls have bush with about a 6-8 point lead while the registered voter polls are almost dead even. Even the polling analyst say that what matters is registered voters because likely voters are more likely to not vote at all.

Also, many polls are taken during the daytime on weekdays. They don't call business or cell phone numbers so they often get stay at home moms/housewives and about 70% of them are republican shich can skew the polls.

the polls in the end, when they are this close, are really meaningless. Gore was down by about 9 points on election day and won the popular vote but lost it in florida.

I hope Kerry wins. I think it will most likely be a very close election and I think in the end it will come down to Florida and there will be big controversy.

Giorgio_Xo · 10-17-2004, 06:27 PM

Bush will carry all the Fundamentalist Christian and former slave owning states.

Bansheelinks · 10-17-2004, 06:41 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by stocktrader23
Few comments.

b) I read somewhere that 2/3 undecides vote underdog on election day. They were saying that for Bush to win a state with 2% going to other candidates he'd need at least 50% of the vote. States like FL that are a coin flip or close would most probably go to Kerry.

c) Kerry will win.

Undecides actually break 2:1 ratio in favor of the challenger.

However, Bush is pulling ahead nationally and has the momentum despite losing the debates. I'm coming more and more to the conclusion that the country has decided to vote him back in and it will be a slim Bush win, or perhaps he may pull away now.

If so, get ready for Republican control; get ready for our industry to be leaned on in ways you can't even imagine presently.

Then all the adult webmasters on here who supported Bush can wring their hands and rue the day they supported the Republican asshole machine, a machine which is anti-porn.

angelsofporn · 10-17-2004, 08:17 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Bansheelinks
Undecides actually break 2:1 ratio in favor of the challenger.

However, Bush is pulling ahead nationally and has the momentum despite losing the debates. I'm coming more and more to the conclusion that the country has decided to vote him back in and it will be a slim Bush win, or perhaps he may pull away now.

If so, get ready for Republican control; get ready for our industry to be leaned on in ways you can't even imagine presently.

Then all the adult webmasters on here who supported Bush can wring their hands and rue the day they supported the Republican asshole machine, a machine which is anti-porn.

well said

stocktrader23 · 10-17-2004, 08:35 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Bansheelinks
Undecides actually break 2:1 ratio in favor of the challenger.

However, Bush is pulling ahead nationally and has the momentum despite losing the debates. I'm coming more and more to the conclusion that the country has decided to vote him back in and it will be a slim Bush win, or perhaps he may pull away now.

If so, get ready for Republican control; get ready for our industry to be leaned on in ways you can't even imagine presently.

Then all the adult webmasters on here who supported Bush can wring their hands and rue the day they supported the Republican asshole machine, a machine which is anti-porn.

2/3 = two thirds = 2:1 ;)

Bush is not pulling away, he's been losing ground for weeks.

xclusive · 10-17-2004, 08:37 PM

This is fucking awesome guess the debates did more for kerry than I thought...

titmowse · 10-17-2004, 08:52 PM

whatever way it goes, it won't be pretty. these next couple of weeks are going to be insane.

Zprogramz · 10-17-2004, 09:05 PM

They both suck. We need to just forget the whole electon and start over again.

Z

Libertine · 10-18-2004, 03:04 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by stocktrader23
b) I read somewhere that 2/3 undecides vote underdog on election day. They were saying that for Bush to win a state with 2% going to other candidates he'd need at least 50% of the vote. States like FL that are a coin flip or close would most probably go to Kerry.

Loads of people are saying this, but this isn't exactly a strong, proven theory. Just because in the past undecideds have tended to vote for the incumbent doesn't mean that will happen this time. In fact, the opposite could happen if people decide it would be a bad idea to switch commander-in-chief during war.

Another factor which may play a _very_ large role is that Bush is actually not making winning undecided voters his main goal, but is instead focusing on people already on his side. There are relatively few undecided voters this election, and higher voter turnout among republicans could well turn out to be the deciding factor.

10-17-2004, 03:08 PM	#1
FaberX Confirmed User Join Date: Sep 2003 Location: Miami Beach Posts: 181	Electoral-vote.com - Guess who's leading... http://www.electoral-vote.com/ Go Kerry!

10-17-2004, 03:08 PM	#2
dunefield www.barely18movies.com Join Date: Feb 2003 Location: Melbourne, Australia Posts: 10,920	no... __________________

10-17-2004, 03:09 PM	#3
pornJester Confirmed User Join Date: Mar 2001 Location: Florida Posts: 6,138	holla __________________ FreshBucks \| Webmaster Vault \| GayAW Trusted Names in Adult. ICQ 9157.3698

10-17-2004, 03:10 PM	#4
Libertine sex dwarf Join Date: May 2002 Posts: 17,860	Neither one is leading. It's a dead tie. __________________ /(bb\|[^b]{2})/

10-17-2004, 03:10 PM	#5
MrJackMeHoff Confirmed User Join Date: Mar 2004 Location: LOLLIPOP ISLAND =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= =-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-=-= Posts: 4,569	Kerry 253 Bush 247 Thats a tie? __________________

10-17-2004, 03:11 PM	#6
eroswebmaster March 1st, 2003 Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: Seat 4 @ Venetian Poker Room Posts: 20,295	That is a huge change from last week. Kerry was like 211. __________________ For rent - ICQ 127-027-910 Click here for more details

10-17-2004, 03:12 PM	#7
baddog So Fucking Banned Industry Role: Join Date: Apr 2001 Location: the beach, SoCal Posts: 107,089	looks like FL will be the deciding factor again

10-17-2004, 03:14 PM	#8
Manowar jellyfish Join Date: Dec 2003 Posts: 71,528	Lol, even if kerry was ahead - bush will still win I hope kerry does win though

10-17-2004, 03:17 PM	#10
Dildozer Confirmed User Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: Montreal Posts: 7,519	Redneck states are voting for Bush. It figures. __________________ Spam link here

10-17-2004, 03:22 PM	#13
pornguy Too lazy to set a custom title Industry Role: Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Homeless Posts: 62,911	Florida is very often one of the deciding states. There are a lot of people with a lot of money there. The thing against Bush is that he fucked the Cubans just a few months ago. But for some reason some of them still love him. And he will puh for the old people and all the things he has done for them. __________________ PornGuy skype me pornguy_epic AmateurDough The Hottes Shemales online! TChicks.com \| Angeles Cid \| Mariana Cordoba \| MAILERS WELCOME!

10-17-2004, 03:28 PM	#15
NoCarrier We need more free porn Join Date: Mar 2002 Location: Montreal Posts: 16,356	New CNN/USA Today Poll Oct. 14-16, 2004. Bush 52% Kerry 44% http://pollingreport.com/wh04gen.htm __________________

10-17-2004, 03:36 PM	#17
Lane Will code for food... Join Date: Apr 2001 Location: Buckeye, AZ Posts: 8,496	http://www.electoral-vote.com/info/graph.html __________________

10-17-2004, 03:39 PM	#18
FaberX Confirmed User Join Date: Sep 2003 Location: Miami Beach Posts: 181	Now, what I don't fully understand is this: I'm from Argentina, a country of 30 million, and in the last few elections, the only polls that where close where those that surveyed anywhere from 10,000 to 30,000 voters... Here, they take a couple of days to post new polls where they usually poll just about 1000 potential voters... doesn't that smell shitty to you? I guess unless 'my' governor Jeb gets his hands real dirty, much more than in 2000, cons are gonna be for a great surprise come nov 2...

10-17-2004, 03:40 PM	#19
warlock5 Confirmed User Join Date: Jan 2004 Location: Uranus Posts: 2,808	I hope this election is as close, or closer than the last want. I want Kerry to win a re-count just to piss off the people who told Gore supporters to "get over it" last time around.

10-17-2004, 03:40 PM	#20
DaLord Confirmed User Join Date: Aug 2001 Location: Denmark Posts: 3,318	Well my sites are already flying Kerry banners so I'm doing what I can. And I'm not even american but I will do what I can no matter what. I have several american friends outside the adult business and they say their life is getting worse month by month. If I sit back and don't do something I would feel like a prick for ignoring the shit. I might not be able to do much but something counts more than nothing. And I can show the banners to 200.000 americans every day which is something.

10-17-2004, 03:46 PM	#22
nofx Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: Virgin Mary's womb Posts: 16,826	i have faith in kerry __________________ Often times I wonder why There's love and hate, theres live or die. When sickness comes I must decide: When feelings go, theres suicide.

10-17-2004, 03:56 PM	#23
Paul Waters Confirmed User Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Toronto, Ontario Posts: 4,402	The Florida fix is in again. I fear Bush wil win. __________________ Paul

10-17-2004, 04:15 PM	#24
stocktrader23 Let's do some business. Industry Role: Join Date: Jan 2003 Location: The dirty south. Posts: 18,781	Few comments. a) Even the guy that put up the polls that made Bush a big favorite said he didn't trust them. They always have Bush ahead by more than the other polling places. He said he left it because he made it a point to use the newest polls and theirs happened to be it. b) I read somewhere that 2/3 undecides vote underdog on election day. They were saying that for Bush to win a state with 2% going to other candidates he'd need at least 50% of the vote. States like FL that are a coin flip or close would most probably go to Kerry. c) Kerry will win. __________________ Hands Free Adult - Join Once, Earn For Life "I try to make a habit of bouncing my eyes up to the face of a beautiful woman, and often repeat “not mine” in my head or even verbally. She’s not mine. God has her set aside. She’s not mine. She’s His little girl, and she needs me to fight for her by keeping my eyes where they should be."

10-17-2004, 04:59 PM	#25
kane Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Aug 2001 Location: portland, OR Posts: 20,684	this site is pretty well researched but there are flaws in the polls. For example the polls of likely voters VS registered voters. The likely voter polls have bush with about a 6-8 point lead while the registered voter polls are almost dead even. Even the polling analyst say that what matters is registered voters because likely voters are more likely to not vote at all. Also, many polls are taken during the daytime on weekdays. They don't call business or cell phone numbers so they often get stay at home moms/housewives and about 70% of them are republican shich can skew the polls. the polls in the end, when they are this close, are really meaningless. Gore was down by about 9 points on election day and won the popular vote but lost it in florida. I hope Kerry wins. I think it will most likely be a very close election and I think in the end it will come down to Florida and there will be big controversy.

10-17-2004, 06:27 PM	#26
Giorgio_Xo Confirmed User Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Las Vegas, NV Posts: 4,263	Bush will carry all the Fundamentalist Christian and former slave owning states. __________________ Make Levees, Not War

10-17-2004, 08:37 PM	#30
xclusive Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Apr 2004 Location: Buffalo, NY Posts: 35,218	This is fucking awesome guess the debates did more for kerry than I thought... __________________ I support MediumPimpin.com / Shemp's Outlawtgp.com /

10-17-2004, 08:52 PM	#31
titmowse Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Jan 2001 Location: TEXAS Posts: 5,320	whatever way it goes, it won't be pretty. these next couple of weeks are going to be insane. __________________ I still love everybody

10-17-2004, 09:05 PM	#32
Zprogramz Confirmed User Join Date: Apr 2003 Posts: 1,360	They both suck. We need to just forget the whole electon and start over again. Z