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Old 09-16-2004, 02:27 PM   #1
NoCarrier
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Hey Republican Fans : Polls Show Nov. 2 Race Even as Bush Bounce Fades

Nov. 2 Race Even as Bush Bounce Fades

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Two national polls on Thursday showed the race between President Bush and Democrat John Kerry deadlocked again as Bush's convention bounce faded, although the president has made headway in key swing states.

In polls certain to buoy the spirits of anxious Democrats, the Pew Research Center and Harris Interactive found equal levels of support for the two White House contenders as Kerry's support rebounded from the withering attacks he faced at the Republican convention that ended on Sept. 2.

The new surveys followed two other polls in recent days, by Investor's Business Daily and a Democratic group, Democracy Corps, that found the race essentially even again, just as it was for months before the two parties held their nominating conventions.

"Some of the negative attacks against Kerry are wearing off and he has stayed in the game because people are discontent with Bush on Iraq and the economy," said Andrew Kohut, director of the Pew Research Center for People and the Press.

"Unfortunately for Kerry, he's been unable to tap into that unhappiness, especially on Iraq," Kohut said, noting Bush still beats Kerry 52-40 percent on who was favored to lead the war in Iraq. "It's a mixed picture for Kerry, but that's better than what he had a few days ago."

Several other recent polls have shown Bush, who bounced to a double-digit lead in two polls after the Republican convention, with a four- to seven-point lead over Kerry.

A flurry of new state polls, meanwhile, showed Bush moving ahead in key states like Florida and Nevada and challenging Kerry in Democratic strongholds like New Jersey.

VOTERS UNSETTLED

"We went through a period for months where there was no air between these candidates in the polls, they were all the same, and now it's the opposite," Kohut said. "I think it shows the voters are unsettled, their thoughts about Kerry are unsettled and they are going back and forth."

A new National Annenberg Election Survey earlier this week found Bush gaining ground as a leader and in the war on terror, but his approval ratings among undecided and "persuadable" voters dropped below levels from before the Republican convention.

Kerry has sharpened his message and gone on the offensive against Bush this week on Iraq and the economy, challenging the president's credibility and his leadership on both issues

The changes in his campaign came as he faced a chorus of grumbling and complaints from fellow Democrats about his failure to develop a coherent message and respond quickly to attacks on his military record in Vietnam.

"I feel very comfortable with where we are," Democratic Party boss Terry McAuliffe said. "As it relates to the battleground states, I think we're in a very good position."

A Bush campaign spokesman declined immediate comment.

The Pew survey sampled voters in two waves. The first poll of likely voters, taken Sept. 8-10, found Bush with a 16-point lead. The second poll on Sept. 11-14, which had a 3.5 percentage point margin of error, found Bush with a statistically insignificant one-point lead. Among registered voters, it was deadlocked.

The Harris poll, which was conducted Sept. 9-13 and had a 3 point margin of error, found Kerry with a one-point lead. A Harris poll in June gave Bush a 10 percentage point lead.

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Old 09-16-2004, 02:29 PM   #2
NoCarrier
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Kerry and Bush running neck and neck in White House race: poll

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmp...p/us_vote_poll

WASHINGTON (AFP) - As the convention-time boost enjoyed by President George W. Bush began to wane, he and rival John Kerry were again running neck and neck less than two months ahead of the November 2 election.

According to the latest Harris Interactive poll posted on The Wall Street Journal's website Thursday, Kerry secured 48 percent of the intended vote, compared with 47 percent for Bush.

Independent candidate Ralph Nader garnered two percent of the hypothetical vote.

A slim majority of respondents (51 percent) said they do not believe Bush "deserves to be re-elected for another four years," compared with 45 percent who said they do, according to The Wall Street Journal.

Bush had enjoyed a slight lead of up to 11 points over Kerry in recent polls, as his party held its national convention in New York at the beginning of the month and as Kerry's records in Congress and Vietnam came under sustained attack.

The survey was the first by Harris Interactive since August, when Bush and Kerry each garnered 47 percent of the intended vote.

The September 9-13 poll of 1,018 adults has a three-percentage-point margin of error.
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Old 09-16-2004, 02:32 PM   #3
Jay_StandAhead
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damn polls, can the election take place already? this suspense is killing me.
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Old 09-16-2004, 02:35 PM   #4
Shooter
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Polls don't mean too much to me considering that we don't vote based on a simple majority. Anyone have a link to the site that has it broken down by each state so you can see who's leading in the Electoral College?
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Old 09-16-2004, 04:26 PM   #5
SleazeQueen
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LA Times has some good tools including this tracker my husband is in love with. He's always tinkering with it.

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics...,1851284.flash
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