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Old 07-15-2004, 01:24 PM   #1
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Major Earthquake to hit Los Angeles in the next 2 months

As you probbably know LA is supposed to have one of the biggest earthquakes ever by September. The experts that claim this have successfully predicted several other earthquakes in the past.

So think twice before coming to Southern California. Yeah sure, we got the hot babes and the beach but we also have the wrath of God. Nothing worse then when the earth shakes. Earthquakes don't care how old you are, what color you are, etc. They only care if your Korean and then they go after you
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Old 07-15-2004, 01:26 PM   #2
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I just hope it's not in the middle of the night! The last time the electricity went out and it's a bitch to see where ya going
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Old 07-15-2004, 01:30 PM   #3
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OMG! earthquakes are most definitely the con of So Cal. I barely felt the last earthquakes but I'm sure I'll feel the one coming,its gonna be a killer.
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Old 07-15-2004, 01:33 PM   #4
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california.. wow sept eh? how bad is one of the biggest? are we talking like an 8 or 9 ? maybe its time to get the hell out of dodge....


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Old 07-15-2004, 01:36 PM   #5
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There is always some nutjob out there predicting a big earthquake.

They happen all the time anyhow, not a huge deal. There are other more populated areas of the world that have more earthquakes more often, you just deal with it.

Still better than any hurricane or extreme weather out there.
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Old 07-15-2004, 01:39 PM   #6
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Old 07-15-2004, 01:45 PM   #7
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they have been saying that for years ......pffff
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:00 PM   #8
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people always have to put worry into others.. it seems like americans attack other americans with fear. pretty disturbing, but in some way, someone always makes money out of saying crap like that.. Ohh big earthquake coming, come on, and stock up on food and shelter and batteries etc. And people say porn is a nasty biz.. I think the fear biz is far beyond that.

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Old 07-15-2004, 02:02 PM   #9
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Yeah, and it will be caused by Planet X.
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:02 PM   #10
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I cannot understand why people live in cities where there's high earthquake risk...
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:09 PM   #11
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:11 PM   #12
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:19 PM   #13
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OS ANGELES (AFP) - A US geophysicist has set the scientific world ablaze by claiming to have cracked a holy grail: accurate earthquake prediction, and warning that a big one will soon hit southern California.






AFP/File Photo


*


Russian-born University of California at Los Angeles professor Vladimir Keilis-Borok says he can foresee major quakes by tracking minor temblors and historical patterns in seismic hotspots that could indicate more violent shaking is on the way.



And he has made a chilling prediction that a quake measuring at least 6.4 magnitude on the Richter scale will hit a 31,200-square-kilometer (12,000-square-mile) area of southern California by September 5.



The team at UCLA's Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics accurately predicted a 6.5-magnitude quake in central California last December as well as an 8.1-magnitude temblor that struck the Japanese island of Hokkaido in September.



"Earthquake prediction is called the Holy Grail of earthquake science, and has been considered impossible by many scientists," said Keilis-Borok, 82. "It is not impossible.



"We have made a major breakthrough, discovering the possibility of making predictions months ahead of time, instead of years, as in previously known methods."



If accurate, the prediction method would be critical in an area like California, which is criss-crossed by fault lines that have spawned devastating quakes over the years including ones which ravaged San Francisco in 1989 and Los Angeles in 1994.



That has given credence to his research, which was endorsed by a state panel, the California Earthquake Prediction Evaluation Council, earlier this month.



"Even two years back it was practically a dirty word to say earthquake prediction," said Nancy Sauer, an organiser of the annual conference of the Seismological Society of America which began Wednesday in Palm Springs.



The UCLA team -- made up of US, Japanese, Canadian, European and Russian experts in pattern recognition, geodynamics, seismology, chaos theory, statistical physics and public safety -- says it has developed algorithms to detect earthquake patterns.



The experts predicted in June an earthquake measuring 6.4 or higher would strike within nine months in a 496-kilometer (310-mile) region of central California, including San Simeon, where a 6.5-magnitude temblor struck December 22, killing two people.



In July, they said they predicted a magnitude 7.0 or higher quake in a region that included Hokkaido by December 28. The September 25 quake fell within that period.



Now they predict a major quake will hit an area that stretches across desert regions to the east of Los Angeles, home to around nine million people, including the Mojave desert and the resort town of Palm Springs, which lies near the notorious San Andreas fault.



That is where experts began gathering for the Seismological Society of America conference that looks sure to be dominated by passionate discussion of Keilis-Borok's prediction method.



"There is something going on," Sauer told the Desert Sun newspaper in Palm Springs. "People are at least willing to entertain the idea. It is not seen so much as junk science now."



Another seismic expert, University of Oregon professor Ray Weldon, was scheduled to present findings to the conference that appear to support Keilis-Borok's research by saying the San Andreas fault is about to enter a new and violent period of shaking.



The data, according to the Desert Sun, was gathered over 18 years around the famed fault, showing it is under high levels of stress.




*






"You could consider that support (for Keilis-Borok's research)," Weldon was quoted as saying. "But I dont lend any insight or support to a window of time."

But researchers still point to the fact that the science of earthquake prediction has been notoriously inaccurate and the geographic area targeted by the UCLA team for an imminent quake is very large.

"It is not specific," said Susan Hough, a seismologist for the US Geological Survey based in Pasadena, near Los Angeles. "Theyve made three predictions and two of them have been borne out."

Keilis-Borok himself acknowledged the caution expressed by some of his colleagues. "Application of non-linear dynamics and chaos theory is often counter-intuitive, so acceptance by some research teams will take time."

But if his latest prediction that the earth will move in the area around Los Angeles within the next five months proves accurate, his research could end up saving lives and transforming seismology.
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:20 PM   #14
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:23 PM   #15
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watch out im comin down & bustin up into the nike store, imma be crossin the border with 20 pairs of jordans
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:28 PM   #16
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Quote:
Originally posted by cherrylula
There is always some nutjob out there predicting a big earthquake.

They happen all the time anyhow, not a huge deal. There are other more populated areas of the world that have more earthquakes more often, you just deal with it.

Still better than any hurricane or extreme weather out there.
Yeah but these aren't nut jobs these are respected scientists that have been right the last several times
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:30 PM   #17
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watch out im comin down & bustin up into the nike store, imma be crossin the border with 20 pairs of jordans
Don't come to LA it's already to crowded. You will be raped at the border
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:32 PM   #18
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:33 PM   #19
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Great post of information Cory!

This is not the first time that I have heard about the earthquake coming in September.

Instead of living in fear, just be prepared for mother nature that no one can control. I am going to start packing the house with the emergency items.

Is it just me, or do these big earthquakes in Cali always hit in the early morning before dawn?

I hope the prices of homes will finally drop and that more people will move out of my native state
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:37 PM   #20
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Great post of information Cory!

This is not the first time that I have heard about the earthquake coming in September.

Instead of living in fear, just be prepared for mother nature that no one can control. I am going to start packing the house with the emergency items.

Is it just me, or do these big earthquakes in Cali always hit in the early morning before dawn?

I hope the prices of homes will finally drop and that more people will move out of my native state
I hear ya, more room on the freeways for us ?
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:44 PM   #21
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Quote:
Originally posted by Miss Shortcake
Great post of information Cory!

This is not the first time that I have heard about the earthquake coming in September.

Instead of living in fear, just be prepared for mother nature that no one can control. I am going to start packing the house with the emergency items.

Is it just me, or do these big earthquakes in Cali always hit in the early morning before dawn?

I hope the prices of homes will finally drop and that more people will move out of my native state
I hope they do hit early Shortcake. Honestly, people are always safer in the friendly confines of homes, rather than in rush hour traffic.

I just make sure no pictures hang above my bed and that I do not sleep near the glass window in my room.
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:49 PM   #22
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:50 PM   #23
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eh let the mojave shake, there's nothing out there anyhow.

Will be interesting to see what happens.
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:51 PM   #24
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Do some women in California have an orgasm during an earthquake?..... you know, what with all the vibration.


We don't get quakes here in Winnipeg. I have only experienced one in my life, while on vacation in Acapulco. It lasted for about 10 seconds and shook the hotel room pretty good, one of the beds moved about two feet out from the wall from the vibration.

It was pretty freaky.


I can only begin to imagine what some of you Californians who have lived through a big quake must feel like.
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Old 07-15-2004, 02:52 PM   #25
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Historically everytime there is a major earthquake you see people leave CA, the the Real Estate prices come down!

So it may be a good thing for some!
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Old 07-15-2004, 03:10 PM   #26
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Historically everytime there is a major earthquake you see people leave CA, the the Real Estate prices come down!

So it may be a good thing for some!
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Old 07-15-2004, 03:13 PM   #27
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Ive never got any huge earthquake arround here ... Feeling must be pretty bad
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Old 07-15-2004, 03:19 PM   #28
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it's your punishment for sending so many of your kind to the seattle area in the 80's and 90's and driving our real estate through the fucking roof.
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Old 07-15-2004, 03:23 PM   #29
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it's your punishment for sending so many of your kind to the seattle area in the 80's and 90's and driving our real estate through the fucking roof.
Yeah i guess we deserve that. How many faggots came to Seattle with their crappy band trying to be the next Pearl Jam
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Old 07-15-2004, 03:24 PM   #30
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Old 07-15-2004, 03:26 PM   #31
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I'l take earthquakes over tornados and hurricanes any day.
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Old 07-15-2004, 03:29 PM   #32
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I have made it through several Cali quakes ... all i can say is there is nothing more unnerving then when the most solid thing around you starts moving.

But i will be very Happy about the Real Estate ... we could use the drop!
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Old 07-15-2004, 03:31 PM   #33
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I'l take earthquakes over tornados and hurricanes any day.
Thank God we have none of it here. I have yet to see a funnel cloud touch down in or even near winnipeg, no quake except the computer game, and we're too far from the ocean for a hurricane.

All we have here are a couple of huge floods per century, 5 feet of snow in winter, and vicious mosquitos the size of cessnas in the summer.

Life is good.
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Old 07-15-2004, 03:35 PM   #34
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Thank God we have none of it here. I have yet to see a funnel cloud touch down in or even near winnipeg, no quake except the computer game, and we're too far from the ocean for a hurricane.

All we have here are a couple of huge floods per century, 5 feet of snow in winter, and vicious mosquitos the size of cessnas in the summer.

Life is good.
yea the only bummer is .. YOU LIVE IN FUCKING WINTERPEG
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Old 07-15-2004, 03:37 PM   #35
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I wouldnt doubt that prediction, it's been a long time coming.

Man if something like that hit the northeast US, there'd be serious serious troubles though..
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Old 07-15-2004, 03:42 PM   #36
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Hehe we had 2 just a few days ago, little small ones 3. somethings.
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Old 07-15-2004, 03:43 PM   #37
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yea the only bummer is .. YOU LIVE IN FUCKING WINTERPEG
And loving it.



The same house that costs $600,000 where YOU are costs $120k here.


nya.
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Old 07-15-2004, 03:46 PM   #38
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very good !
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Old 07-15-2004, 03:56 PM   #39
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thanks for making my day mahoney :-)
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Old 07-15-2004, 04:02 PM   #40
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Worst feature where I live this past year was the 181.3 inches of snowfall.. Sometimes theres some wind damage, but no quakes.
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Old 07-15-2004, 04:14 PM   #41
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how many casualties happen on average from a big earthquake in cali?



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Old 07-15-2004, 04:16 PM   #42
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And loving it.



The same house that costs $600,000 where YOU are costs $120k here.


nya.
ok thats it i'm moving to Canada
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Old 07-15-2004, 08:37 PM   #43
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Old 07-15-2004, 08:41 PM   #44
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I am taking vacation for the month of Aug., so good luck guys. I will be in Europe...

PS. I will come back when it is all over and buy a house (that still stands)
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Old 07-15-2004, 08:46 PM   #45
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This is what the world map we're all used to seeing looked like 450 Million years ago.



You can clearly see how things have changed.

Eventually the Pacific Plate which Los Angeles is on will move so far North that LA will be where San Francisco is.

The big one is indeed coming and coming big.
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Old 07-15-2004, 08:50 PM   #46
FlyingIguana
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better buy some duct tape
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Old 07-15-2004, 09:26 PM   #47
Rochard
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I doubt duct tape would help!

I lived through the 6.9/7.0 quake in San Fran back in 1989. I was in Pleasanton at the time.... The parking lot was an ocean with waves two feet tall - I am not kidding you.

If a 6.0 or higher was to hit LA..... Ouch.

I'm drivving into San Diego on the 6th..... Think I'll be okay?
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Old 07-15-2004, 09:28 PM   #48
reynold
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Even if you can predict an earthquake, how much protection would that really afford?
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Old 07-15-2004, 09:32 PM   #49
punker barbie
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Quote:
Originally posted by mahoney
I hear ya, more room on the freeways for us ?

That is one thing i do not miss about LA......

still that sucks i hope everyone is okay.
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Old 07-15-2004, 09:37 PM   #50
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nor cal is getting the next big one - 7.5

3 years after that LA with a 6.9

get your gear ready.
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