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k0nr4d 03-10-2022 11:35 PM

As of 3pm yesterday, 1,46 mln refugees entered Poland. We're likely over 1,5 million now.
It is now impossible to rent a flat in any larger city in Poland. There are hundreds of people sleeping at train stations.

Luckily, the EU is helping out immensely by placing sanctions on Poland and cutting us off from EU funds :1orglaugh

Tasty1 03-11-2022 01:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by k0nr4d (Post 22976612)
As of 3pm yesterday, 1,46 mln refugees entered Poland. We're likely over 1,5 million now.
It is now impossible to rent a flat in any larger city in Poland. There are hundreds of people sleeping at train stations.

Luckily, the EU is helping out immensely by placing sanctions on Poland and cutting us off from EU funds :1orglaugh

In Holland there is a shortage of houses since WWII. Can't even house other refugees and even Dutch can't find a house or have money for a house (in most cities cost 5-10 years before getting a house. Has also to do with too much CO2 and N2 and therefor not allowed to build houses (In Germany the standards are 100x less strict). Green Khmer is very active in Holland and you spend years in camps. I would be heading to Germany. If you have skills and work for an online company, could try a digital nomad Visa Brazil or Curacao. Or maybe 4 year residency Mexico, if you are able to enter. But only if you have work, no social secutity there.

Next will be the wave of Africans if there is no food in Africa. Putin knows what he is doing. The sentiment about refugees from Syria turned quickly and Europe started building walls.

brassmonkey 03-11-2022 02:33 AM

oil, oil, and oil

sawaporn 03-11-2022 03:28 AM

They themselves do not know why go here to die.
We - Ukrainians rumbled greatly and support each other that they do not have a single chance.

Scrapper 03-11-2022 06:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tasty1 (Post 22976639)
In Holland there is a shortage of houses since WWII. Can't even house other refugees and even Dutch can't find a house or have money for a house (in most cities cost 5-10 years before getting a house. Has also to do with too much CO2 and N2 and therefor not allowed to build houses (In Germany the standards are 100x less strict). Green Khmer is very active in Holland and you spend years in camps. I would be heading to Germany. If you have skills and work for an online company, could try a digital nomad Visa Brazil or Curacao. Or maybe 4 year residency Mexico, if you are able to enter. But only if you have work, no social secutity there.

Next will be the wave of Africans if there is no food in Africa. Putin knows what he is doing. The sentiment about refugees from Syria turned quickly and Europe started building walls.

You nailed the Africa part. Stunned when I saw the (50-year) growth rate of Nigeria alone. My God, you Europeans really do need to build a huge wall.

brassmonkey 03-11-2022 07:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tasty1 (Post 22976639)
In Holland there is a shortage of houses since WWII. Can't even house other refugees and even Dutch can't find a house or have money for a house (in most cities cost 5-10 years before getting a house. Has also to do with too much CO2 and N2 and therefor not allowed to build houses (In Germany the standards are 100x less strict). Green Khmer is very active in Holland and you spend years in camps. I would be heading to Germany. If you have skills and work for an online company, could try a digital nomad Visa Brazil or Curacao. Or maybe 4 year residency Mexico, if you are able to enter. But only if you have work, no social secutity there.

Next will be the wave of Africans if there is no food in Africa. Putin knows what he is doing. The sentiment about refugees from Syria turned quickly and Europe started building walls.

you people love building walls like china LOL

MaDalton 03-11-2022 07:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by k0nr4d (Post 22976612)

Luckily, the EU is helping out immensely by placing sanctions on Poland and cutting us off from EU funds :1orglaugh

you are a smart person, you know that those 2 things have zero to do with each other

why are you doing this

O MARINA 03-11-2022 08:48 AM

Another Legendary Leo !

OnlyFans Sends 500 ETH Worth Approximately $1.3M to UkraineDAO
the OnlyFans representative said the donation to UkraineDAO is part of the company’s larger charitable effort to support Ukraine in its war against Russia.

O MARINA 03-11-2022 08:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by k0nr4d (Post 22976612)
As of 3pm yesterday, 1,46 mln refugees entered Poland. We're likely over 1,5 million now.
It is now impossible to rent a flat in any larger city in Poland. There are hundreds of people sleeping at train stations.



That's crazy. What % will go back home when things go back to "normal" ?

k0nr4d 03-11-2022 08:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaDalton (Post 22976703)
you are a smart person, you know that those 2 things have zero to do with each other

why are you doing this

I know they have nothing to do with each other. I'm not saying they do. It's over the 'rule of law' shit (which isn't really true, because a ton of court cases are being won against the gov't now over covid restrictions).

I was more implying that the timing for doing this is fucking ridiculous when there is a war going on over our border, and we took in as many refugees in 12 days as entire EU did during the migrant crisis a few years ago.

sawaporn 03-11-2022 09:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O MARINA (Post 22976724)
That's crazy. What % will go back home when things go back to "normal" ?

I doubt that there are more than 50, cities and infrastructure are completely destroyed here, this is a disaster. And the longer we are bombed, the stronger will be the humanitarian burden of the whole of Europe.

dave90210 03-11-2022 09:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sawaporn (Post 22976728)
this is a disaster

Only two more weeks of 8 years in Donbass.

sawaporn 03-11-2022 09:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dave90210 (Post 22976729)
Only two more weeks of 8 years in Donbass.

ну да, это наративы вашего ебаного росийского ТВ, типа бомбили 8 лет, та какая вам блять разница что тут было 8 лет??? какого хуя ты сюда влез пидрила ты конченый? ИДИ НАХУЙ и забери свое мясо с нашей земли

well, yes, these are the narratives of your fucking Russian TV, like they bombed for 8 years, what the hell difference does it make that it was 8 years here ??? what the fuck did you get in here faggot you goner? GO FUCK and get your meat off our land

dave90210 03-11-2022 09:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sawaporn (Post 22976731)
what the hell difference does it make

https://i.imgur.com/ZnTscpK.jpg

Quote:

Originally Posted by sawaporn (Post 22976731)
what the hell difference does it make

https://i.imgur.com/AJkW7vb.gif

k0nr4d 03-11-2022 10:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaDalton (Post 22976703)
you are a smart person, you know that those 2 things have zero to do with each other

why are you doing this

Or let me rephrase. The absurdity is that right now, some countries are blocking sanctions on Russia but voting for sanctions on Poland :1orglaugh

If Poland deserves the sanctions or not is another story, but it seems kind of stupid timing.

O MARINA 03-11-2022 11:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sawaporn (Post 22976728)
I doubt that there are more than 50, cities and infrastructure are completely destroyed here, this is a disaster. And the longer we are bombed, the stronger will be the humanitarian burden of the whole of Europe.

Today there is a video on youtube of press conference of 3 Russian Military Pilots captured.
Did you watch it, what do you think of it and can you explain it in short.
(I won't post it, it's 40+ min with translations and it's sick)

Klen 03-11-2022 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by k0nr4d (Post 22976765)
Or let me rephrase. The absurdity is that right now, some countries are blocking sanctions on Russia but voting for sanctions on Poland :1orglaugh

If Poland deserves the sanctions or not is another story, but it seems kind of stupid timing.

You sound like Croatian prime minister which think how there is conspiracy against him because there is bad things on time when he present "successes"

FapperX 03-11-2022 12:05 PM

As a fellow webmaster and resident in Turkey. I despise both NATO and Russia. Both bringing pain and war everywhere they go. It's sad for innocent people which is living under bombs. I hope the war ends soon and Ukraine's territorial integrity will not be damaged.

CAHEK 03-11-2022 01:12 PM

What the hell is going on?

- Weapons are now ESG
- Calling for assassination is normalized
- Asset forfeiture is social justice

k0nr4d 03-11-2022 01:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CAHEK (Post 22976888)
What the hell is going on?

- Weapons are now ESG
- Calling for assassination is normalized
- Asset forfeiture is social justice

We've lived in clown world for a few years now, this surprises you?

How's the situation looking in Russia? Empty shelves, stores closed and ATM lines like they show here or...? I completely accept that there is propaganda coming out of both sides so curious as to how it actually looks.

TACNet 03-11-2022 01:38 PM

I cant see how Putin thinks he is going to govern 40 million Ukranians who hate and despise him ???? Especially when they are all armed to the teeth with Nato weapons !

He might win the battle but strategically he's going to loose


Quote:

Originally Posted by ZTT (Post 22976367)
As inept as Russia is, I can't see how a few dozen second hand Migs are going to give Ukraine air supremacy against a country with thousands of aircraft in its arsenal. Again, maybe if that could be depleted by AA weaponry...

Yes I'd have to agree with you on that one. But I dont think we can take the view NOT to supply the Ukranians what they need because we think they are going to loose anyway

This is all about increasing the cost to Putin in whatever way possible.

Sexier 03-11-2022 01:51 PM

Meanwhile Putin is arresting some of his Fsb top dogs and firing army generals.

Sid70 03-11-2022 02:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by k0nr4d (Post 22976765)
Or let me rephrase. The absurdity is that right now, some countries are blocking sanctions on Russia but voting for sanctions on Poland :1orglaugh

If Poland deserves the sanctions or not is another story, but it seems kind of stupid timing.

The number one thing sanctions are being laid is closing shops on Sunday. Drive 100 km away meet 'unholy' CZ and enjoy Sunday shopping at Marks & Spencer that is LONG FUCKING GONE from Poland.

Sid70 03-11-2022 02:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by k0nr4d (Post 22976891)
How's the situation looking in Russia? Empty shelves, stores closed and ATM lines like they show here or...?

I do enjoy hearing it's happening now in Russia, MOAR please.

Tasty1 03-11-2022 02:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O MARINA (Post 22976724)
That's crazy. What % will go back home when things go back to "normal" ?

Being realistic. In about 5 years some might return if this isn't solved in a few weeks/2 months and everything destroyed. And when there is no crisis in EU at that time the educated will stay behind in EU causing a brain drain. No big private investments will be made soon in Ukrain. After 10 years most of the youth has a social life in a EU country and won't return.

J. Falcon 03-11-2022 02:18 PM

False Claims of U.S. Biowarfare Labs in Ukraine Grip QAnon

Quote:

The conspiracy theory has been boosted by Russian and Chinese media and diplomats.

Pro-Russian channels and QAnon conspiracy theorists think Moscow is launching airstrikes on Ukraine to destroy bioweapon-manufacturing labs in order to prevent the American infectious disease expert Anthony Fauci from creating a sequel to the COVID-19 virus.

This theory hangs on the entirely discredited idea that the coronavirus was designed as a bioweapon, perhaps by the U.S. government itself. And yet, the theory is being shared thousands of times, faster than regulated social media networks can yank the conspiracy theory down. On unregulated platforms, such as Telegram and 8chan, the conspiracy theory has become incredibly popular, racking up hundreds of thousands of hits each day.

The theory is now being actively contributed to, and promoted, by one Russian embassy, an official Russian state propaganda outlet, and media channels in Serbia and China.

The Russian government has laid the groundwork for this conspiracy for some time. In January, a Russian-language Telegram account warned that a “full-fledged network of biological laboratories has been deployed,” studying deadly viruses that are already making people sick in Kazakhstan with “American grants.” The Russian newspaper Izvestia ran a story in May 2020 making similar claims, and they have been repeated in pro-Russian Ukrainian news sites. A close advisor of Russian President Vladimir Putin himself has accused the United States of developing “more and more biological laboratories … mainly by the Russian and Chinese borders.”

Tasty1 03-11-2022 02:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by k0nr4d (Post 22976726)
I know they have nothing to do with each other. I'm not saying they do. It's over the 'rule of law' shit (which isn't really true, because a ton of court cases are being won against the gov't now over covid restrictions).

I was more implying that the timing for doing this is fucking ridiculous when there is a war going on over our border, and we took in as many refugees in 12 days as entire EU did during the migrant crisis a few years ago.

They could build a wall between Poland and the rest of the EU also. There was a reason EU didn't take more people in from Syria, or even left people behind in Afghanistan. If politicians take in everyone they won't be reelected when the sentiment is gone. You think Dutch people want to wait 20 years for a house in Holland and the rest get an urgencyfor an house? That is why also many are stuck in camps in Greece, other countries don't want them. Another Merkel fail; Wir Schaffen Das. It is hard, but that is how the situation is.

J. Falcon 03-11-2022 02:22 PM

There's an even more extreme conspiracy theory out there, for the truly stupid and gullible, claiming that the whole war is a hoax.

Ukraine invasion: False claims the war is a hoax go viral

Quote:

Nearly two weeks after Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the flow of false or misleading information about the war hasn't let up and now there are some outlandish theories being shared online.

Some have begun to circulate claims the war is a hoax, a media fabrication, or has been exaggerated by the West in terms of its scale.

We've examined some of them.

O MARINA 03-11-2022 03:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by J. Falcon (Post 22976921)
for the truly stupid and gullible, claiming that the whole war is a hoax.


Yeah I saw, "crisis actors" "make up" also about a pregnant blogger Russia claims as fake news! bombing of a maternity hospital in Mariupol
https://www.insider.com/pregnant-ukr...vF-qCMUdbDwGW0


What about their young dying soldiers they are actors too?

k0nr4d 03-11-2022 04:42 PM

Refugees are now 10% of the population of Warsaw

askjoe 03-12-2022 08:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by k0nr4d (Post 22976891)
How's the situation looking in Russia? Empty shelves, stores closed and ATM lines like they show here or...?

No high gas prices (2,45$ gallon, 4,54L - 95 - diesel a bit less ).
Banks and atm open (have money like always).
Prices stable (or cheaper than before the shabang started.),
a little less foreign goods, but the russians have been producing their own
wines, cheeses, specialties, etc. for years (As in other countries, the domestic companies do
the same (italian recipe, indian recipe, etc. - Products produced in the own country.)
Nothing new.

Video from 6 days ago - 2 Supermarkets :

k0nr4d 03-12-2022 10:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by askjoe (Post 22977188)
No high gas prices (2,45$ gallon, 4,54L - 95 - diesel a bit less ).
Banks and atm open (have money like always).
Prices stable (or cheaper than before the shabang started.),
a little less foreign goods, but the russians have been producing their own
wines, cheeses, specialties, etc. for years (As in other countries, the domestic companies do
the same (italian recipe, indian recipe, etc. - Products produced in the own country.)
Nothing new.

Video from 6 days ago - 2 Supermarkets :

Anything from Moscow or large cities? Even during WW2 in Poland "the province" had no shortage of anything.

Whats the general mood like?

askjoe 03-12-2022 10:59 AM

Hi Konrad
Quote:

Originally Posted by k0nr4d (Post 22977254)
Anything from Moscow or large cities? Even during WW2 in Poland "the province" had no shortage of anything.

I think people in the EU, US, south america don´t know how it works in Russia.
I repeat. Russia has become less dependent on imports since 2014.
It has prepared for possible sanctions. It has increased its production (agriculture,
machinery, etc.). As you can see in the video , there is goods/food, just a little less
foreign goods. And what you see in the video is the normal everyday life (no matter
whether moscow or a small village somewhere in russia).

Quote:

Originally Posted by k0nr4d (Post 22977254)
Whats the general mood like?

Before describing the mood, you must first know what has happened so far.

People know that there is a military operation and they also see pictures on tv,
they don´t respond much to the accusations of the west, but they do respond a
little bit /some.

What was concealed or hidden in the "western" media ( dombass etc ) , the people in RU
have seen for 8 years.They are tired of people being slaughtered, families being torn
apart.It's not a small thing , it's really massacre there. Documented with videos,
pictures,drone footage, but that doesn't seem to bother the united nations.
The UN has not condemned nato and usa either.So.Anyway.


The general mood is:
Pity for the Ukrainian people who let themselves be manipulated by media and goverment and for the
russian soldiers who want to put an end to this in Ukraine.
They also do not feel hatred towards americans or eu.They know that Biden is not
America and EU just a little part of the continent.




At the moment, some Russians are even very concerned about the
counter-sanctions that the Russian government is going to impose next week.(Agains EU/WEST)

This may hit the eu very very hard.Russians are all over the world. No matter what the
sanctions will be, they will also affect their relatives abroad.

crockett 03-12-2022 11:37 AM

How many Russians here on GFY actually realize the reality of your situation in Russia yet? Do you guys understand you are now the new Iran, the new North Korea? This isn't gonna be a 3 months later Mcdonald's comes back and it's normal again.

Russia is dead as far as international investment goes, no one is going to risk their money in Russia so long as Putin is your leader. Even after Putin is gone, it will be a long time to make sure whoever is next isn't the same.

I don't think Russia's economy will recover in 20 years.. You guys are fucked. The smart Russians already left..

k0nr4d 03-12-2022 11:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 22977287)
How many Russians here on GFY actually realize the reality of your situation in Russia yet? Do you guys understand you are now the new Iran, the new North Korea? This isn't gonna be a 3 months later Mcdonald's comes back and it's normal again.

Russia is dead as far as international investment goes, no one is going to risk their money in Russia so long as Putin is your leader. Even after Putin is gone, it will be a long time to make sure whoever is next isn't the same.

I don't think Russia's economy will recover in 20 years.. You guys are fucked. The smart Russians already left..

I don't know man. They have oil, they have food, they have gas. They are hardly fucked. Banning facebook and instagram was a present for VK. They might not be able to buy oranges in winter anymore but i don't think they are seriously fucked in any way because the country is self-sustaining.

crockett 03-12-2022 11:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by k0nr4d (Post 22977291)
I don't know man. They have oil, they have food, they have gas. They are hardly fucked. Banning facebook and instagram was a present for VK. They might not be able to buy oranges in winter anymore but i don't think they are seriously fucked in any way because the country is self-sustaining.

Here is the problem for Russia.. Russia didn't run any of its own production for oil & gas. They handled very little of it. That's why all the big oil/gas companies were in Russia because they did it.

That's not something you just "nationalize" then figure out how to run it in 3 weeks. Their production will grind to a slow down.. Added to this they can have all the oil in the world but they can't ship any of it. The sanctions have stopped the shipping of Russian oil because no one will insure the ships even if Russia had a buyer.

Next.. how long do you think it will be before Ukraine guys start hitting Russia's oil/gas infrastructure just like the insurgents do in the middle east? Saudi Arabia just had a refinery attacked 2 days ago.. How long do you think it will be before Ukraine is doing these kinds of attacks inside Russia?

They won't do them now, because they still hope for some way out of this by diplomacy. However, once Ukraine loses Kyiv if they do, then it really free's Ukraine's defense forces up to actually start counter-attacking rather than just defending.. Holding Kyiv serves a purpose to bleed the Russian military and to provide morale for Ukraine. However, if it gets captured then it actually frees up Ukraine to start carrying out insurgent attacks inside Russia & Belarus

CAHEK 03-12-2022 11:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 22977287)
How many Russians here on GFY actually realize the reality of your situation in Russia yet? Do you guys understand you are now the new Iran, the new North Korea? This isn't gonna be a 3 months later Mcdonald's comes back and it's normal again.

Russia is dead as far as international investment goes, no one is going to risk their money in Russia so long as Putin is your leader. Even after Putin is gone, it will be a long time to make sure whoever is next isn't the same.

I don't think Russia's economy will recover in 20 years.. You guys are fucked. The smart Russians already left..

You probably never been in Russia. It’s going to be fine, enough of oil and gas reserves. I’m happy Mcdonalds left the building, no more junk food.

I can’t wait for Russian market to open and buy as much cheap shares in big companies for pennies it’s one lifetime opportunity.

America/Europe will suffer with refugees and high gasoline prices, let’s see how long they going to last. They are trying to get Iran to pump for oil, but they forgot it’s Russia ally. 😂

k0nr4d 03-12-2022 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 22977293)
Here is the problem for Russia.. Russia didn't run any of its own production for oil & gas. They handled very little of it. That's why all the big oil/gas companies were in Russia because they did it.

That's not something you just "nationalize" then figure out how to run it in 3 weeks. Their production will grind to a slow down..

But they WILL figure it out, because they have no choice but to figure it out. It's not re-inventing the wheel, i'm sure they have people that worked in the field and know how to do it. Maybe it will take a month, maybe 6, but they will figure it out. They were working on own CPU and stuff as well... they must have expected the sanctions - albeit maybe not so quickly - but they are in a better position then other countries should those other countries face similar sanctions.

Sexier 03-12-2022 12:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by k0nr4d (Post 22977297)
But they WILL figure it out, because they have no choice but to figure it out. It's not re-inventing the wheel, i'm sure they have people that worked in the field and know how to do it. Maybe it will take a month, maybe 6, but they will figure it out. They were working on own CPU and stuff as well... they must have expected the sanctions - albeit maybe not so quickly - but they are in a better position then other countries should those other countries face similar sanctions.

It looks like jet fuel start to be a problem


Korean Air said it canceled flights to Moscow because it can't refuel its planes there no more Jet fuel.

crockett 03-12-2022 12:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CAHEK (Post 22977295)
You probably never been in Russia. It’s going to be fine, enough of oil and gas reserves. I’m happy Mcdonalds left the building, no more junk food.

I can’t wait for Russian market to open and buy as much cheap shares in big companies for pennies it’s one lifetime opportunity.

America/Europe will suffer with refugees and high gasoline prices, let’s see how long they going to last. They are trying to get Iran to pump for oil, but they forgot it’s Russia ally. ��

If you can still access the internet a year from today.. Come back and tell us how your life is then and I'll tell you how mine is.

crockett 03-12-2022 12:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by k0nr4d (Post 22977297)
But they WILL figure it out, because they have no choice but to figure it out. It's not re-inventing the wheel, i'm sure they have people that worked in the field and know how to do it. Maybe it will take a month, maybe 6, but they will figure it out. They were working on own CPU and stuff as well... they must have expected the sanctions - albeit maybe not so quickly - but they are in a better position then other countries should those other countries face similar sanctions.

They expected sanctions, but they completely underestimated how deep they would go. I don't even think the west expected everyone to rally over this. Also, Putin never expected he'd be cut off from the "war fund assets" he had stashed in other countries. Last I saw, Russia had lost access to 50% of its reserve funds outside of Russia They were actively searching and blocking it as they find it.

CAHEK 03-12-2022 12:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 22977307)
If you can still access the internet a year from today.. Come back and tell us how your life is then.

Elon Musk Starlink internet satellites 🛰 are doing fine in Russia 👍

askjoe 03-12-2022 12:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CAHEK (Post 22977295)
I’m happy Mcdonalds left the building, no more junk food. ��




Quote:

Originally Posted by Sexier (Post 22977306)
It looks like jet fuel start to be a problem
Korean Air said it canceled flights to Moscow because it can't refuel its planes there no more Jet fuel.

:1orglaugh

Claim those who do not know that flightradar exists
and repeats what reuters spreads :1orglaugh


Many of these companies that "leave" Russia can not do business due to sanctions,
pressure from the government and the people. Now they claim they boycott Russia.
Truth is, they want from everyone the money.
Specially from Russians.In this case, one airline

https://i.ibb.co/3RZNY2F/RU-Flighradar-12-03-2022.jpg

Quote:

Originally Posted by CAHEK (Post 22977309)
Elon Musk Starlink internet satellites �� are doing fine in Russia ��

Stop paying attention to this troll.Have pity. He just doesn't know any better.
Put on ignore like i did and save your time :thumbsup

Sexier 03-12-2022 12:53 PM

Claim those who do not know that flightradar exists
and repeats what reuters spreads :

I do not read or watch media , this is what was posted on NOTAM yesterday.

crockett 03-12-2022 01:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CAHEK (Post 22977309)
Elon Musk Starlink internet satellites 🛰 are doing fine in Russia 👍

Do you think Putin will let you keep those?

askjoe 03-12-2022 01:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrBaldBastard (Post 22977156)
Allow me...

World is round, USA and Russia aren't the only counties.

BTW:

The ban on finished products from Russia will lead to a retaliatory ban on the supply of
production components, causing an acute shortage of microprocessors for the entire
world. Russia accounts for 100 percent of the world's supply of various rare earths used
for these purposes. It will not be possible to abruptly replace [Russia] with an alternative
substrate production, and there is no way to replace rare earths from Russia.

Russia : 80 percent of the market for sapphire substrates - thin sheets of synthetic
corundum used in "every processor in the world" - including those made by AMD and
Intel.

The position is even stronger in special chip etching chemistry, which uses high-purity components.
Russia accounts for 100 percent of the world's supply of various rare earths used for these purposes.
The ONLY county you get your shit..no.sorry.. chip from.... ;-)


The time frame for guaranteeing the quality of those sapphire substrates that are needed
for microchips, for example, request 30 years of continuous production
. The facilities
where they can be manufactured must be located in an area where there is virtually no
seismic activity. That means, he said, that component products from companies in
seismically active California or Taiwan are "significantly inferior to those from Russia in
terms of quality and volume to the level required in the industry.


Who wants internet ? Must pay in Rubles.This is the world you live in and you are worried about oil...

Guess who will get those finished products ?
Here are the first 4 letters - CHIN


k0nr4d 03-12-2022 01:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 22977308)
They expected sanctions, but they completely underestimated how deep they would go. I don't even think the west expected everyone to rally over this. Also, Putin never expected he'd be cut off from the "war fund assets" he had stashed in other countries. Last I saw, Russia had lost access to 50% of its reserve funds outside of Russia They were actively searching and blocking it as they find it.

The more I think about the sanctions, the more I realize they are going to make Russia stronger. In the short term it will be inconvenient but it's people will not be starving, and they will move away from globalization and foreign supply chain. They will start making all own car parts, all own electronics, all own food, all own fuel, etc. It's not going to be an overnight process but in a year the sanctions will have done Russia a favor. In a year or two Russia will be able to do whatever the fuck they want, because sanctions will have no effect on it. No one is going to topple the government there over this shit. The worst thing this war has done for Russia is make them look weak and/or poorly organized in the eyes of the world.

As with everything, some people will gain and some people will lose in Russia. Companies doing international business in Russia will lose out - but other companies like Russian fast food chains, grocery store chains, even cola knockoffs will all gain because their sales will go up. On top of that, things like cars etc will just be privately imported by companies. There won't be an official Mercedes/VW/BMW/Toyota dealership maybe, but you will sure as shit be able to buy any car. They will just get purchased from a dealer in China or some other country and shipped over, and sold to you from a private dealership. Deals will be struck for car parts as well. It will be more expensive and maybe more people will be driving Lada instead of VW, but it's not like they are going back to horses and wagons. Everything will be available and will just come in as private import from countries that aren't sanctioning them.

crockett 03-12-2022 01:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by k0nr4d (Post 22977325)
The more I think about the sanctions, the more I realize they are going to make Russia stronger. In the short term it will be inconvenient but it's people will not be starving, and they will move away from globalization and foreign supply chain. They will start making all own car parts, all own electronics, all own food, all own fuel, etc. It's not going to be an overnight process but in a year the sanctions will have done Russia a favor. In a year or two Russia will be able to do whatever the fuck they want, because sanctions will have no effect on it. No one is going to topple the government there over this shit. The worst thing this war has done for Russia is make them look weak and/or poorly organized in the eyes of the world.

As with everything, some people will gain and some people will lose in Russia. Companies doing international business in Russia will lose out - but other companies like Russian fast food chains, grocery store chains, even cola knockoffs will all gain because their sales will go up. On top of that, things like cars etc will just be privately imported by companies. There won't be an official Mercedes/VW/BMW/Toyota dealership maybe, but you will sure as shit be able to buy any car. They will just get purchased from a dealer in China or some other country and shipped over, and sold to you from a private dealership. Deals will be struck for car parts as well. It will be more expensive and maybe more people will be driving Lada instead of VW, but it's not like they are going back to horses and wagons. Everything will be available and will just come in as private import from countries that aren't sanctioning them.

That will make everything more expensive in Russia.. It will fuel inflation which is already out of control.

k0nr4d 03-12-2022 01:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 22977330)
That will make everything more expensive in Russia.. It will fuel inflation which is already out of control.

I disagree. The main thing fueling inflation in the west is fuel costs. If diesel costs more, it costs more to deliver products like food. If gas costs more, all businesses have higher operating costs etc. Since business have higher costs they sell products for higher price. Since everything is more expensive staff requires raises to be able to survive. Since staff requires higher wages, you must raise prices - and the circle closes. It all kind of stems from fuel costs.

What Russia has now, in the short term, is a fucking shit storm but within a year or two they will be in a much better place then before all this started. Yes, Russia has high inflation right now but they will come out of the high inflation much faster then the west will.

crockett 03-12-2022 02:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by k0nr4d (Post 22977331)
I disagree. The main thing fueling inflation in the west is fuel costs. If diesel costs more, it costs more to deliver products like food. If gas costs more, all businesses have higher operating costs etc. Since business have higher costs they sell products for higher price. Since everything is more expensive staff requires raises to be able to survive. Since staff requires higher wages, you must raise prices - and the circle closes. It all kind of stems from fuel costs.

What Russia has now, in the short term, is a fucking shit storm but within a year or two they will be in a much better place then before all this started. Yes, Russia has high inflation right now but they will come out of the high inflation much faster then the west will.

Dude you’re crazy if you think Russia ends up in a better position. This is the end of Russia as being relevant to anything more than making threats about nuclear war for at least 20+ years.

This was self inflicted destruction of a country because the leader is a lunatic. There will be no bright days for Russia’s foreseeable future.

Russia can’t even reopen their stock market. They will soon start defaulting on loans. Putin is threatening to nationalize assets of companies which pulled out.

Russia is now a blackhole as an economy. The worst part is Russia’s economy is still “falling” it hasn’t yet reached the bottom.

It might be argued that Russia could brush it off if they could have quickly taken Ukraine and ended the war with a new puppet state. However Russia’s losses on the battlefield show how bad Russia’s military is and how much in disrepair their military is in.

They lost a fucking corvette navel ship to fucking shore fire. One of their newest most modern ships was destroyed by GRAND fire from a shore based attack.

Not only has Russia’s economy been destroyed, they are currently destroying their own military and will not have the ability to rebuild. Russia has been shown to be a paper tiger and the laughing stock of the world.

This is not a short term fuck up. It’s the end of the current state of Russia as even a regional power.


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