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#1 |
Confirmed User
Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: Los Angeles
Posts: 1,291
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Experts: Trump will win BIG in 2020.
Not even close.
Especially if he goes up against Biden. https://www.axios.com/trump-2020-pre...b7828afa5.html The big picture: Trump wins all three modelers. Economists predict that the tailwind is large. Ray Fair, a professor at Yale, "found that the growth rates of gross domestic product and inflation have been the two most important economic predictors — but he also found that incumbency was also an important determinant of presidential election outcomes." "Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, has looked at 12 models, and Mr. Trump wins in all of them." "Donald Luskin of Trend Macrolytics has reached the same conclusion in his examination of the Electoral College." |
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#2 |
Jägermeister Test Pilot
Industry Role:
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: NORCAL
Posts: 73,735
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I think it's way too early to begin polling for this... So much will happen between here and now.
And all of the other polls and models I've seen about this say the direct opposite.
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“The choice is no longer between right or left. The choice is between normal and crazy.” - Sarah Huckabee Sanders YNOT MAIL | THE BEST ADULT MAILING SOLUTION |
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#3 |
So Fucking Banned
Industry Role:
Join Date: Aug 2016
Posts: 27,033
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Good luck with that
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#4 |
Confirmed User
Industry Role:
Join Date: Feb 2016
Posts: 9,782
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None of these 3 said he would win 'big' nor did they say 'not even close'. They are basing their OPINION on past elections and the economy, which none had a fascist racist dictator involved.
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#5 |
Confirmed User
Industry Role:
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 8,860
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Very much doubt he could win "big". I think that is just Axios trying for traffic. They're trying to avoid the fate of Salon.
NYTimes, you're always posting about how their predictions are crap - now they're geniuses? I think if turnout is big, it will be very tough for Trump to win. I agree Biden is a much weaker candidate than he seems. |
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#6 |
in a van by the river
Industry Role:
Join Date: May 2003
Posts: 76,806
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In November, you can vote for America's next president or its first dictator. |
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#7 |
All Facts Matter
Industry Role:
Join Date: Jan 2012
Location: East Coast
Posts: 19,519
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![]() Make liberals cry again Trump 2020!
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#8 |
Too lazy to set a custom title
Industry Role:
Join Date: Dec 2011
Posts: 26,732
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Yes this is very desperate...carry on...
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#9 |
Biker Gnome
Industry Role:
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: cell#324
Posts: 23,200
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Last five presidents that had control over both houses, lost it during the midterms and went on to win their second term. You see, whatever you believe, Trump has a Patsy to blame, the Democratic Party
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Carbon is not the problem, it makes up 0.041% of our atmosphere , 95% of that is from Volcanos and decomposing plants and stuff. So people in the US are responsible for 13% of the carbon in the atmosphere which 95% is not from Humans, like cars and trucks and stuff and they want to spend trillions to fix it while Solar Panel plants are powered by coal plants think about that |
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#10 |
Videochat Solutions
Industry Role:
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Canada
Posts: 49,099
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#11 |
Too lazy to set a custom title
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
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#12 |
Too lazy to set a custom title
Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
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Oh, and the source for this is the NY Times. Isn't that the one you and your orange leader think is nothing but fake news?
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#13 |
Too lazy to set a custom title
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 29,032
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It wouldn't surprise me, because I truly believe the tipping point has been reached where the crazy idiots are outnumbering the smart, sane people. Not that it really matters anyway, because the electoral college will cancel out any fairness in voting.
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#14 |
Confirmed User
Industry Role:
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Europe
Posts: 4,325
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#15 |
Confirmed User
Industry Role:
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Europe
Posts: 4,325
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#16 |
Biker Gnome
Industry Role:
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: cell#324
Posts: 23,200
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Not according to the founding fathers, or are you against the Constitution ? You prefer mob rules? But only when it benefits your party? Fuck you , selfish fuck
__________________
Carbon is not the problem, it makes up 0.041% of our atmosphere , 95% of that is from Volcanos and decomposing plants and stuff. So people in the US are responsible for 13% of the carbon in the atmosphere which 95% is not from Humans, like cars and trucks and stuff and they want to spend trillions to fix it while Solar Panel plants are powered by coal plants think about that |
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Tags |
trump, wins, found, zandi, mark, outcomes, election, predictors, economic, incumbency, determinant, chief, presidential, looked, reached, macrolytics, conclusion, college, electoral, examination, trend, luskin, analytics, moody’s, models |